Araçatuba vs Comercial SP – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
14/03/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Paulista A4 - Round 10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Araçatuba
32.2%
Draw
31.8%
Comercial SP
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.7% 31.4% 31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2% 30.2% 30.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Araçatuba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • Comercial SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Araçatuba than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Araçatuba, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comercial SP than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Comercial SP, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Araçatuba - Comercial SP Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.83
    (2.48)
    2.87
    (2.9)
    2.54
    (2.86)
    9.6%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista B and 11).
    • Araçatuba is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Comercial SP has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Araçatuba
    Latest results of Comercial SP
    Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4 Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter de Bebedouro ✔ 1283118:41427
    2Sao Caetano ✔ 1282218:81026
    3Penapolense1273215:9624
    4Barretos EC1264210:7322
    5Lemense1262413:9420
    6Sao-Carlense1254314:11319
    7Jacarei FC1254310:8219
    8Taquaritinga1253415:10518
    9Tanabi1245310:6417
    10ECUS SP124539:6317
    11Comercial1242613:13014
    12Jabaquara122379:16-79
    13Vocem121656:12-69
    14Colorado Caieiras121566:16-108
    15Nacional SP122197:20-137
    16AEA Aracatuba121296:24-185

          Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation ~ Paulista B

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Inter de Bebedouro is Qualified for Paulista A4 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Sao Caetano is Qualified for Paulista A4 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)