Bolivar vs Aragua – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Venezuelan Segunda Division Bolivar - Aragua
Result
1:0
14/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga FUTVE 2 - Round 25
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldFIFA+

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 68', 1 - 0, ,
  • 90+2', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Bolivar
57.7%
Draw
29.5%
Aragua
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.1% 30.6% 27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1% 30.6% 27.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bolivar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bolivar's performance.
  • Aragua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aragua might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolivar than the current prediction. (-15.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bolivar that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aragua than the current prediction. (+14.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aragua could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Bolivar - Aragua Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (2.18)
    3.75
    (3)
    8.69
    (3.35)
    -9.7%
    (9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent form of Bolivar has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Aragua's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Aragua may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Aragua has had a series of home games.
    • Bolivar is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bolivar won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Bolivar won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bolivar - Aragua were as follows:
    03.08.2025 Aragua - Bolivar 0:1
    08.06.2025 Bolivar - Aragua 1:1
    20.04.2025 Aragua - Bolivar 0:0
    Latest results of Bolivar
    07.09.2025 Monagas B - Bolivar 3:0
    03.09.2025 Angostura - Bolivar 0:0
    15.08.2025 Dynamo Puerto - Bolivar 3:0
    Latest results of Aragua
    07.09.2025 Aragua - Dynamo Puerto 1:1
    03.09.2025 Aragua - Deportivo Miranda 1:0
    17.08.2025 Aragua - Monagas B 3:0
    Venezuelan Segunda Division Table
    2025

    Occidental
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Trujillanos27167433:151855
    2Barquisimeto28148640:231750
    3Titanes27127841:311043
    4El Vigia271141234:30437
    5Frontera271051240:41-135
    6Heroes de Falcon27781231:41-1029
    7Puerto Cabello B27671423:39-1625
    8Urena285101328:50-2225


    Oriental
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Miranda281412243:232054
    2Maritimo28139654:252948
    3Dynamo Puerto28138733:211247
    4Aragua28811923:19435
    5Bolivar288101023:36-1334
    6Mineros287111025:32-732
    7Monagas B28841633:53-2028
    8Angostura28571625:50-2522

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