Burgos Promesas vs Arandina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8 Burgos Promesas - Arandina
Result
3:1
24/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Ventosa E. ,
  • 23', 1 - 1, Alonso Gomez I. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 68', 2 - 1, Ruiz I. ,
  • 89', 🟥,
  • 90+2', 3 - 1, Sagredo Garcia P. ,

Chances of winning


Burgos Promesas
35.9%
Draw
34.4%
Arandina
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.7% 26.4% 21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5% 26% 21.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Burgos Promesas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Burgos Promesas's form might have worsened.
  • Arandina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arandina's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos Promesas than the current prediction. (+16.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Burgos Promesas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arandina than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arandina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Burgos Promesas - Arandina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.55
    (1.79)
    2.66
    (3.5)
    3.08
    (4.22)
    9.4%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Burgos Promesas - Arandina?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Burgos Promesas (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burgos Promesas won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Burgos Promesas won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 0.7:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Burgos Promesas won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Burgos Promesas - Arandina were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Arandina - Burgos Promesas 0:0
    13.04.2025 Burgos Promesas - Arandina 1:0
    24.11.2024 Arandina - Burgos Promesas 1:0
    Latest results of Burgos Promesas
    Latest results of Arandina
    17.05.2025 Arandina - Burgos Promesas 0:0
    04.05.2025 Arandina - Becerril 3:4
    20.04.2025 Briviesca - Arandina 2:2
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2