Covadonga vs Arandina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1 Covadonga - Arandina
Result
2:1
14/01/2024 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 18

Chances of winning


Covadonga
31.6%
Draw
30.7%
Arandina
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.5% 29.9% 28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2% 28.2% 30.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Covadonga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Covadonga's form might have worsened.
  • Arandina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arandina's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Covadonga than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Covadonga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arandina than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arandina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Covadonga - Arandina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.91
    (2.16)
    2.99
    (3)
    2.44
    (3.15)
    8.9%
    (11.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Arandina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Arandina have a series of home games.
    • Arandina will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Covadonga won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Covadonga - Arandina were as follows:
    03.09.2023 Arandina - Covadonga 2:1
    Latest results of Covadonga
    17.12.2023 Rayo Cantabria - Covadonga 0:0
    10.12.2023 Covadonga - Real Avilés 0:3
    02.12.2023 Real Oviedo B - Covadonga 5:0
    26.11.2023 Covadonga - Pontevedra 3:1
    Latest results of Arandina
    10.01.2024 Arandina - Zamora 0:0
    06.01.2024 Arandina - Real Madrid 1:3
    10.12.2023 Arandina - Rayo Cantabria 1:1
    07.12.2023 Arandina - Cádiz 2:1
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1SD LogronesCD Estepona1 : 2, 1 : 1
    2CacerenoReal Avila2 : 0, 0 : 2
    3BalearesTeruel2 : 5, 1 : 1
    4NumanciaGetafe B0 : 1, 2 : 0
    5Union MalacitanoTorrent0 : 2, 1 : 2
    6CF TalaveraUtebo FC5 : 2, 0 : 1
    7Eibar BSabadell0 : 1, 1 : 1
    8UCAM MurciaDep. Fabril3 : 1, 0 : 0
    9Sant AndreuRayo Majadahonda1 : 2, 0 : 0
    10Real AvilesAntoniano2 : 2, 0 : 0

    Final
    1CD EsteponaCacereno2 : 5, 1 : 0
    2TeruelNumancia1 : 0, 0 : 0
    3TorrentCF Talavera0 : 2, 1 : 1
    4SabadellUCAM Murcia0 : 0, 2 : 1
    5Rayo MajadahondaReal Aviles0 : 4, 0 : 2