Ourense CF vs Arandina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1 Ourense CF - Arandina
Result
2:0
28/01/2024 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 20

Chances of winning


Ourense CF
53.3%
Draw
28.9%
Arandina
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.2% 23.8% 12.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.3% 22.4% 11.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ourense CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ourense CF's form might have worsened.
  • Arandina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arandina's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+15%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ourense CF, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arandina than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arandina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ourense CF - Arandina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.39)
    3.16
    (3.75)
    5.11
    (7.4)
    9.6%
    (12.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • Ourense CF is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Arandina is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Arandina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Ourense CF is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Ourense CF won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ourense CF - Arandina were as follows:
    16.09.2023 Arandina - Ourense CF 0:0
    Latest results of Ourense CF
    Latest results of Arandina
    20.01.2024 Arandina - Compostela 0:0
    14.01.2024 Covadonga - Arandina 2:1
    10.01.2024 Arandina - Zamora 0:0
    06.01.2024 Arandina - Real Madrid 1:3
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1SD LogronesCD Estepona1 : 2, 1 : 1
    2CacerenoReal Avila2 : 0, 0 : 2
    3BalearesTeruel2 : 5, 1 : 1
    4NumanciaGetafe B0 : 1, 2 : 0
    5Union MalacitanoTorrent0 : 2, 1 : 2
    6CF TalaveraUtebo FC5 : 2, 0 : 1
    7Eibar BSabadell0 : 1, 1 : 1
    8UCAM MurciaDep. Fabril3 : 1, 0 : 0
    9Sant AndreuRayo Majadahonda1 : 2, 0 : 0
    10Real AvilesAntoniano2 : 2, 0 : 0

    Final
    1CD EsteponaCacereno2 : 5, 1 : 0
    2TeruelNumancia1 : 0, 0 : 0
    3TorrentCF Talavera0 : 2, 1 : 1
    4SabadellUCAM Murcia0 : 0, 2 : 1
    5Rayo MajadahondaReal Aviles0 : 4, 0 : 2