Ourense CF vs Arandina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
28/01/2024 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 20

Chances of winning


Ourense CF
53.3%
Draw
28.9%
Arandina
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.2% 23.8% 12.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.3% 22.4% 11.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ourense CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ourense CF's form might have worsened.
  • Arandina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arandina's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+15%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ourense CF, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arandina than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arandina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ourense CF - Arandina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.39)
    3.16
    (3.75)
    5.11
    (7.4)
    9.6%
    (12.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • Ourense CF is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Arandina is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Arandina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Ourense CF is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Ourense CF won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ourense CF - Arandina were as follows:
    16.09.2023 Arandina - Ourense CF 0:0
    Latest results of Ourense CF
    Latest results of Arandina
    20.01.2024 Arandina - Compostela 0:0
    14.01.2024 Covadonga - Arandina 2:1
    10.01.2024 Arandina - Zamora 0:0
    06.01.2024 Arandina - Real Madrid 1:3
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Fabril34219461:204172
    2Oviedo B341610850:351558
    3UD Ourense341510940:34655
    4Numancia341411944:331153
    5Coruxo FC341571246:37952
    6Gimnastica Segoviana341491137:36151
    7Real Avila341481248:52-450
    8Salamanca341481243:36750
    9Rayo Cantabria341115863:501348
    10Bergantinos341391244:37748
    11Atl. Astorga341291341:43-245
    12Marino de Luanco3411121131:26545
    13Valladolid Promesas341291359:58145
    14Langreo3411101335:41-643
    15Sarriana341171642:42040
    16Burgos CF B348121438:55-1736
    17Lealtad34772031:54-2328
    18UD Samano34362523:87-6415

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
          Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
          Relegation