Arantxa Rus vs Paula Badosa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Bad Homburg Arantxa Rus - Paula Badosa
Result
0:2
23/06/2024 at 08:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Bad Homburg (Germany), grass - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
17
Double Faults
44
1st Serve Percentage
62%59%
1st Serve Points Won
58% (19/33)87% (26/30)
2nd Serve Points Won
40% (8/20)48% (10/21)
Break Points Saved
33% (2/6)100% (2/2)
1st Return Points Won
13% (4/30)42% (14/33)
2nd Return Points Won
52% (11/21)60% (12/20)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/2)67% (4/6)
Max Points In Row
47
Service Points Won
51% (27/53)71% (36/51)
Return Points Won
29% (15/51)49% (26/53)
Total Points Won
40% (42/104)60% (62/104)
Max Games In Row
15
Service Games Won
56% (5/9)100% (8/8)
Return Games Won
0% (0/8)44% (4/9)
Total Games Won
29% (5/17)71% (12/17)

Chances of winning


Arantxa Rus
26.9%
Paula Badosa
73.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.3% 65.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8% 67.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arantxa Rus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arantxa Rus's form might have worsened.
  • Paula Badosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paula Badosa's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arantxa Rus than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arantxa Rus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paula Badosa than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paula Badosa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Arantxa Rus - Paula Badosa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.54
    (2.78)

    1.3
    (1.45)
    5.3%
    (4.9%)
    What is the prediction for Arantxa Rus - Paula Badosa?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Rus will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Badosa will win (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Rus is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Badosa is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Badosa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Badosa is a favorite.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Rus won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.
    Latest results of Arantxa Rus
    Latest results of Paula Badosa
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Bye
    2Kudermetova V. (LL)Siniakova K. (Q)0 : 2
    3Osaka N. (WC)Danilovic O. (Q)2 : 0
    4Kostyuk M.Navarro E. (5)0 : 2
    5Andreeva M. (3)Bye
    6Frech M.Tauson C.1 : 2
    7Tomljanovic A. (Q)Noskova L.0 : 2
    8Vekic D.Shnaider D. (6)2 : 0
    9Alexandrova E. (8)Bencic B.2 : 0
    10Putintseva Y.Sakkari M. (WC)0 : 2
    11Azarenka V. (Q)Siegemund L. (WC)2 : 0
    12ByeSwiatek I. (4)
    13Svitolina E. (7)Mertens E.2 : 0
    14Krueger A. (LL)Haddad Maia B.0 : 2
    15Fernandez L.Maria T. (WC)2 : 0
    16ByePaolini J. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Siniakova K.2 : 0
    2Osaka N.Navarro E. (5)0 : 2
    3Andreeva M. (3)Tauson C.2 : 1
    4Noskova L.Vekic D.2 : 1
    5Alexandrova E. (8)Sakkari M.2 : 1
    6Azarenka V.Swiatek I. (4)0 : 2
    7Svitolina E. (7)Haddad Maia B.1 : 2
    8Fernandez L.Paolini J. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Navarro E. (5)2 : 1
    2Andreeva M. (3)Noskova L.0 : 2
    3Alexandrova E. (8)Swiatek I. (4)0 : 2
    4Haddad Maia B.Paolini J. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Noskova L.2 : 1
    2Swiatek I. (4)Paolini J. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1Pegula J. (1)Swiatek I. (4)2 : 0