Result
1:2 penalties
27/08/2025 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Rio - Quarter-finals
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 12', 1 - 0, Caio Hones ⚽,
- 17', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- Penalties (3 - 4)
- 1, (Pen),
- 1, (Pen),
- 2, (Pen),
- 2, (Pen),
- 3, (Pen),
- 3, (Pen),
- 4, (Pen),
- 4, (Pen),
- 5, (Pen),
- 5, (Pen),
- 6, (Pen),
- 6, (Pen),
Chances of winning
Nova Iguaçu
53.2% | Draw
31.7% | Araruama
15.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nova Iguaçu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Araruama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Araruama might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nova Iguaçu than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Araruama than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Araruama could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Nova Iguaçu - Araruama Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↓
(1.75) |
2.89 ↓
(3.3) |
6.04 ↑
(4.43) |
9.5%
(10%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Araruama may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Nova Iguaçu is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nova Iguaçu won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Nova Iguaçu won against Araruama?
Nova Iguaçu has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Araruama won against Nova Iguaçu?
Araruama has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nova Iguaçu - Araruama were as follows:
23.08.2025
Araruama
-
Nova Iguaçu
1:1
Latest results of Nova Iguaçu
Latest results of Araruama
Draw
20251/8-finals| 1 | CEAC/Araruama | Sampaio Correa FE | 3 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Olaria | Nova Iguacu | 0 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 3 | Cabofriense | Boavista | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | America RJ | Audax RJ | 2 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 5 | Goncalense | Marica | 0 : 0, 0 : 3 |
| 6 | Duque de Caxias | Madureira | 1 : 0, 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Campo Grande | Bangu | 0 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Resende | Portuguesa RJ | 0 : 0, 2 : 3 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | CEAC/Araruama | Nova Iguacu | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Cabofriense | America RJ | 2 : 2, 0 : 3 |
| 3 | Marica | Madureira | 2 : 1, 4 : 0 |
| 4 | Bangu | Portuguesa RJ | 0 : 1, 0 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | CEAC/Araruama | America RJ | 0 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Marica | Portuguesa RJ | 1 : 1, 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | America RJ | Portuguesa RJ | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
