Shamakhi vs Araz Naxçıvan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Azerbaijan Premier League Shamakhi - Araz Naxçıvan
Result
1:1
27/09/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 6
  • Referee: Ahmadov R. (Aze)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
azerbaijanAzerbaijanCBC Sport

Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
107
Shots on target
45
Corner Kicks
92
Yellow Cards
25
Total shots
107
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
62
Corner Kicks
92

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 28', 1 - 0, Abbasov R. ,
  • 43', Msanga A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Qarayev Q. , Cohen B. ,
  • 46', Keyta H. , Rodrigues N. ,
  • 46', Mammadov O. , Suleymanov E. ,
  • 54', Andrade P. 🟨,
  • 56', Wanderson 🟨,
  • 69', Hasanalizada B. 🟨,
  • 73', 1 - 1, Boli C. ,
  • 74', Simakala B. , Iskandarov U. ,
  • 78', Bruno Franco 🟨,
  • 85', Suleymanov E. 🟨,
  • 85', Bruno Franco , Buludov O. ,
  • 89', Shuaibu A. , Ismayilov H. ,
  • 90', Iskandarov U. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Shamakhi
32.5%
Draw
30.2%
Araz Naxçıvan
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.2% 28% 44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1% 27.9% 45%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shamakhi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shamakhi's performance.
  • Araz Naxçıvan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Araz Naxçıvan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shamakhi than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shamakhi that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Araz Naxçıvan than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Araz Naxçıvan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Shamakhi - Araz Naxçıvan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.79
    (3.39)
    3
    (3.29)
    2.44
    (2.06)
    10.1%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 4).
    • In recent matches, Shamakhi has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Araz is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Shamakhi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Araz could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shamakhi won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Shamakhi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shamakhi - Araz Naxçıvan were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Shamakhi - Araz Naxçıvan 0:1
    14.03.2025 Araz Naxçıvan - Shamakhi 1:1
    19.10.2024 Shamakhi - Araz Naxçıvan 0:1
    10.08.2024 Araz Naxçıvan - Shamakhi 1:0
    Latest results of Shamakhi
    19.09.2025 Zira - Shamakhi 2:1
    14.09.2025 Shamakhi - Karvan 3:0
    29.08.2025 Sumgayit - Shamakhi 1:1
    24.08.2025 Shamakhi - Sabah 1:2
    16.08.2025 Neftchi Baku - Shamakhi 1:1
    Latest results of Araz Naxçıvan
    Azerbaijan Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Turan Tovuz960313:7618
    2Qarabag751113:31016
    3Zira944115:10516
    4Araz944114:13116
    5Sabah Baku843112:5715
    6Sumqayit942313:9414
    7Imisli FK933310:9112
    8Neftci Baku81617:619
    9Shamakhi823310:11-19
    10Gabala81258:11-35
    11Karvan91266:19-135
    12Kapaz91086:24-183

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