Result
2:0
21/12/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 16
- Referee: Hajiyev F. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 55', 1 - 0, Andrade P. ⚽,
- 72', Paro I. ↓, Buludov O. ↑,
- 74', Ahmadzada M. 🟨,
- 74', Agcabayov A. 🟨,
- 77', Ahmadzada M. ↓, Rodrigues N. ↑,
- 77', Adilkhanov E. ↓, Shuaibu A. ↑,
- 77', Mammadov O. ↓, Suleymanov E. ↑,
- 87', 2 - 0, Boli C. ⚽,
- 87', Veremeev V. ↓, Mansumov D. ↑,
- 89', Apolinario R. ↓, Ismayilov B. ↑,
- 90', Boli C. ↓, Cohen B. ↑,
- 90', Diniyev C. ↓, Qarayev Q. ↑,
Chances of winning
Araz Naxçıvan
41.1% | Draw
31.2% | Shamakhi
27.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Araz Naxçıvan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Shamakhi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Araz Naxçıvan than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shamakhi than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Araz Naxçıvan - Shamakhi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↑
(2.17) |
2.9 ↓
(2.99) |
3.27 ↑
(3.26) |
10.5%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Araz Naxçıvan - Shamakhi?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Araz will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Araz (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Araz won 3.
- Araz is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Shamakhi is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Shamakhi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Araz won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Araz won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Araz Naxçıvan won against Shamakhi?
Araz Naxçıvan has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shamakhi won against Araz Naxçıvan?
Shamakhi has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Araz Naxçıvan - Shamakhi were as follows:
27.09.2025
Shamakhi
-
Araz Naxçıvan
1:1
17.05.2025
Shamakhi
-
Araz Naxçıvan
0:1
14.03.2025
Araz Naxçıvan
-
Shamakhi
1:1
19.10.2024
Shamakhi
-
Araz Naxçıvan
0:1
10.08.2024
Araz Naxçıvan
-
Shamakhi
1:0
Latest results of Araz Naxçıvan
Latest results of Shamakhi
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 22 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 45:15 | 30 | 53 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 39:16 | 23 | 46 |
| 3 | Turan Tovuz | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 27:14 | 13 | 41 |
| 4 | Zira | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 38 |
| 5 | Araz | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
| 6 | Neftci Baku | 21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 30:20 | 10 | 31 |
| 7 | Sumqayit | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 31:30 | 1 | 31 |
| 8 | Shamakhi | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23:26 | -3 | 26 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 18:25 | -7 | 21 |
| 10 | Gabala | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 19:29 | -10 | 16 |
| 11 | Kapaz | 22 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 17:45 | -28 | 16 |
| 12 | Karvan | 22 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 14:45 | -31 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
