Result
1:1
27/09/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 6
- Referee: Ahmadov R. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 28', 1 - 0, Abbasov R. ⚽,
- 43', Msanga A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Qarayev Q. ↓, Cohen B. ↑,
- 46', Keyta H. ↓, Rodrigues N. ↑,
- 46', Mammadov O. ↓, Suleymanov E. ↑,
- 54', Andrade P. 🟨,
- 56', Wanderson 🟨,
- 69', Hasanalizada B. 🟨,
- 73', 1 - 1, Boli C. ⚽,
- 74', Simakala B. ↓, Iskandarov U. ↑,
- 78', Bruno Franco 🟨,
- 85', Suleymanov E. 🟨,
- 85', Bruno Franco ↓, Buludov O. ↑,
- 89', Shuaibu A. ↓, Ismayilov H. ↑,
- 90', Iskandarov U. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Shamakhi
32.5% | Draw
30.2% | Araz Naxçıvan
37.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shamakhi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shamakhi's performance.Araz Naxçıvan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Araz Naxçıvan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shamakhi than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shamakhi that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Araz Naxçıvan than the current prediction. (+7.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Araz Naxçıvan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Shamakhi - Araz Naxçıvan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.79 ↓
(3.39) |
3 ↓
(3.29) |
2.44 ↑
(2.06) |
10.1%
(8.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 4).
- In recent matches, Shamakhi has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Araz is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Shamakhi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Araz could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shamakhi won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Shamakhi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Shamakhi won against Araz Naxçıvan?
Shamakhi has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Araz Naxçıvan won against Shamakhi?
Araz Naxçıvan has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shamakhi - Araz Naxçıvan were as follows:
17.05.2025
Shamakhi
-
Araz Naxçıvan
0:1
14.03.2025
Araz Naxçıvan
-
Shamakhi
1:1
19.10.2024
Shamakhi
-
Araz Naxçıvan
0:1
10.08.2024
Araz Naxçıvan
-
Shamakhi
1:0
Latest results of Shamakhi
Latest results of Araz Naxçıvan
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Turan Tovuz | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10:4 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | Araz | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10:9 | 1 | 14 |
| 3 | Qarabag | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:2 | 9 | 13 |
| 4 | Zira | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 14:7 | 7 | 13 |
| 5 | Sumqayit | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Imisli FK | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 8 |
| 7 | Neftci Baku | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | Sabah Baku | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 8 |
| 9 | Shamakhi | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 6 |
| 10 | Karvan | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:11 | -7 | 5 |
| 11 | Gabala | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:8 | -2 | 4 |
| 12 | Kapaz | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2:20 | -18 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
