Result
0:1
18/03/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Andrade P. 🟨,
- 15', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 56', 0 - 1, Veremeev V. (Own goal),
- 64', Adilkhanov E. ↓, Tircoveanu A. ↑,
- 64', Mammadov O. ↓, Msanga A. ↑,
- 71', Keyta H. ↓, Boli C. ↑,
- 72', Simakala B. ↓, Ramon Machado ↑,
- 75', Paro I. ↓, Bruno Franco ↑,
- 79', Balau D. ↓, Shuaibu A. ↑,
- 79', Apolinario R. ↓, Fernandes R. ↑,
- 81', Fernandes R. 🟨,
- 82', Santos F. ↓, Isgandarov U. ↑,
- 84', Rzayev A. ↓, Maharramli R. ↑,
- 85', Ahmadli T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Shamakhi
39.9% | Draw
29.8% | Araz Naxçıvan
30.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shamakhi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shamakhi's performance.Araz Naxçıvan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Araz Naxçıvan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shamakhi than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shamakhi that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Araz Naxçıvan than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Araz Naxçıvan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Shamakhi - Araz Naxçıvan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↓
(2.69) |
3.05 ↓
(3.18) |
3 ↑
(2.39) |
9.9%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Shamakhi - Araz Naxçıvan?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Shamakhi (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Shamakhi will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shamakhi won 0.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Araz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Shamakhi won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.7:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Shamakhi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Shamakhi won against Araz Naxçıvan?
Shamakhi has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Araz Naxçıvan won against Shamakhi?
Araz Naxçıvan has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shamakhi - Araz Naxçıvan were as follows:
21.12.2025
Araz Naxçıvan
-
Shamakhi
2:0
27.09.2025
Shamakhi
-
Araz Naxçıvan
1:1
17.05.2025
Shamakhi
-
Araz Naxçıvan
0:1
14.03.2025
Araz Naxçıvan
-
Shamakhi
1:1
19.10.2024
Shamakhi
-
Araz Naxçıvan
0:1
Latest results of Shamakhi
Latest results of Araz Naxçıvan
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 30 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 72:21 | 51 | 75 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 61:22 | 39 | 59 |
| 3 | Turan Tovuz | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 39:20 | 19 | 56 |
| 4 | Zira | 30 | 12 | 13 | 5 | 39:32 | 7 | 49 |
| 5 | Neftci Baku | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 48:31 | 17 | 47 |
| 6 | Araz | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 38:54 | -16 | 40 |
| 7 | Sumqayit | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 39:42 | -3 | 38 |
| 8 | Shamakhi | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 27:32 | -5 | 35 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 22:39 | -17 | 32 |
| 10 | Kapaz | 30 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 24:58 | -34 | 24 |
| 11 | Gabala | 30 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 26:46 | -20 | 20 |
| 12 | Karvan | 29 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 21:59 | -38 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
