Result
0:2
14/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Stars League - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Iraq | Al Iraqiya Sports |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 45+2', 0 - 1, Chobanov M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 80', Hzair A. 🟥,
- 90+8', 0 - 2, Luqman G. ⚽, Ededem E. (A),
Chances of winning
Al-Naft
26.5% | Draw
34% | Arbil
39.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Naft has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Naft's form might have worsened.Arbil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Naft than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Naft, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arbil than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Al-Naft - Arbil Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.4 ↑
(2.72) |
2.65 ↓
(3.09) |
2.28 ↓
(2.49) |
11%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Naft won 1.
- Al-Naft is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Arbil has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Arbil may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Al-Naft won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 0.9:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Naft won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Naft won against Arbil?
Al-Naft has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arbil won against Al-Naft?
Arbil has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Naft - Arbil were as follows:
05.02.2026
Arbil
-
Al-Naft
3:1
16.04.2025
Arbil
-
Al-Naft
2:3
28.01.2025
Al-Naft
-
Arbil
0:2
12.05.2024
Al-Naft
-
Arbil
0:1
07.05.2023
Al-Naft
-
Arbil
0:2
Latest results of Al-Naft
Iraqi Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 32 | 22 | 8 | 2 | 51:20 | 31 | 74 |
| 2 | Al Shorta | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 61:30 | 31 | 67 |
| 3 | Erbil | 32 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 46:26 | 20 | 66 |
| 4 | Al Talaba | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 47:30 | 17 | 61 |
| 5 | Al Zawraa | 32 | 15 | 14 | 3 | 45:27 | 18 | 59 |
| 6 | Al-Karma | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 44:24 | 20 | 53 |
| 7 | Zakho | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 40:30 | 10 | 51 |
| 8 | Al Karkh | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 38:32 | 6 | 49 |
| 9 | Newroz | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 42:38 | 4 | 47 |
| 10 | Diyala | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 36:34 | 2 | 42 |
| 11 | Duhok | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 35:36 | -1 | 42 |
| 12 | Al Mosul | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 36:40 | -4 | 41 |
| 13 | Al Naft | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 28:28 | 0 | 39 |
| 14 | Al Gharraf | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 33:35 | -2 | 38 |
| 15 | Baghdad | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 39:57 | -18 | 33 |
| 16 | Al Minaa | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 30:38 | -8 | 32 |
| 17 | Naft Missan | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 34:49 | -15 | 30 |
| 18 | Al Kahraba | 31 | 8 | 3 | 20 | 35:47 | -12 | 27 |
| 19 | Al Najaf | 30 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 22:54 | -32 | 15 |
| 20 | Al-Qassim | 32 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 13:80 | -67 | 4 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Stars League (Relegation)
Relegation
