Alloa Athletic vs Arbroath – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Scottish League One Alloa Athletic - Arbroath
Result
2:3
08/03/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SCOTLAND: League One - Round 28
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomWASP TV

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 20', 0 - 1, Dow R. , Taylor F. (A),
  • 31', Muirhead A. 🟨,
  • 40', Stanton S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 47', 0 - 2, Muirhead A. ,
  • 56', Spalding A. , Flynn R. ,
  • 56', Penman C. , Steele A. ,
  • 61', Dow R. 🟨,
  • 65', Buchanan S. , Rankin L. ,
  • 73', 1 - 2, Rankin L. , McKay D. (A),
  • 76', 2 - 2, Scougall S. , McKay D. (A),
  • 88', 2 - 3, Gallagher C. ,

Chances of winning


Alloa Athletic
26.2%
Draw
27%
Arbroath
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.5% 28.4% 38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7% 28.5% 37.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alloa Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alloa Athletic's form might have worsened.
  • Arbroath has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arbroath's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alloa Athletic than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alloa Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arbroath than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arbroath, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Alloa Athletic - Arbroath Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.53
    (2.72)
    3.42
    (3.22)
    1.98
    (2.4)
    8.1%
    (9.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Alloa Athletic - Arbroath?
  • Users Predictions: Arbroath will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Alloa won 2.
    • Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.
    • Alloa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Arbroath will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 17 head-to-head matches Alloa won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 27:20 (average 1.6:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Alloa won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17:12 (average 1.9:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alloa Athletic - Arbroath were as follows:
    04.01.2025 Arbroath - Alloa Athletic 1:3
    26.10.2024 Alloa Athletic - Arbroath 0:1
    11.10.2024 Alloa Athletic - Arbroath 1:0
    31.08.2024 Arbroath - Alloa Athletic 0:0
    Latest results of Alloa Athletic
    Latest results of Arbroath
    04.03.2025 Dumbarton - Arbroath 1:2
    01.03.2025 Arbroath - Annan Athletic 3:0
    25.02.2025 Arbroath - Kelty Hearts 2:1
    22.02.2025 Stenhousemuir - Arbroath 2:0
    Draw
    Promotion

    Semi-finals
    1AirdrieoniansStenhousemuir2 : 1, 3 : 1
    2Cove RangersQueen of South2 : 1, 0 : 0

    Final
    1AirdrieoniansCove Rangers0 : 0, 2 : 1