Result
4:2
21/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 26
- Referee: Clancy K. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Pars TV Arabic |
 United-kingdom | Arbroath FC TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', 1 - 0, Dow R. ⚽, O'Brien T. (A),
- 14', 1 - 1, Tod A. ⚽, Todd M. (A),
- 41', Turley F. 🟨,
- 43', Cochrane H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Terrell B. ↓, Mehmet D. ↑,
- 49', 2 - 1, Muirhead A. ⚽, Wilkie J. (A),
- 53', Cochrane H. ↓, Beadling T. ↑,
- 63', Thomas O. ↓, Kane Ch. ↑,
- 63', Kearney S. ↓, Hamilton C. ↑,
- 67', 3 - 1, Fraser R. (Own goal),
- 71', Reilly G. ↓, Nesbitt A. ↑,
- 73', Abdulai N. ↓, Cooper J. ↑,
- 73', Todd M. ↓, Amade A. ↑,
- 82', 3 - 2, Cooper J. ⚽,
- 85', MacIntyre J. 🟨,
- 86', Gilmour C. 🟨,
- 87', Dow R. ↓, Stewart S. ↑,
- 88', Kane Ch. 🟨,
- 89', 4 - 2, Marshall F. ⚽,
- 90+4', MacIntyre J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Arbroath
40% | Draw
29.2% | Dunfermline Athletic
30.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arbroath has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Dunfermline Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arbroath than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunfermline Athletic than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Arbroath - Dunfermline Athletic Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.33 ↓
(2.4) |
3.18 ↑
(3.14) |
3.03 ↑
(2.79) |
7.5%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Arbroath - Dunfermline Athletic?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Arbroath will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arbroath won 1.
- Arbroath is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Dunfermline has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Arbroath may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Arbroath won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 25:36. (average 1.3:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Arbroath won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:19. (average 1.3:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Arbroath won against Dunfermline Athletic?
Arbroath has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dunfermline Athletic won against Arbroath?
Dunfermline Athletic has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arbroath - Dunfermline Athletic were as follows:
06.12.2025
Dunfermline Athletic
-
Arbroath
1:2
13.09.2025
Arbroath
-
Dunfermline Athletic
0:5
30.03.2024
Arbroath
-
Dunfermline Athletic
2:3
17.02.2024
Dunfermline Athletic
-
Arbroath
1:1
23.12.2023
Arbroath
-
Dunfermline Athletic
1:1
Latest results of Arbroath
Latest results of Dunfermline Athletic
Scottish Football Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | St Johnstone | 27 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 50:22 | 28 | 54 |
| 2 | Partick Thistle | 27 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 40:30 | 10 | 49 |
| 3 | Arbroath | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 37:33 | 4 | 42 |
| 4 | Dunfermline | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 37:32 | 5 | 36 |
| 5 | Ayr | 26 | 7 | 13 | 6 | 32:31 | 1 | 34 |
| 6 | Raith | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 28:28 | 0 | 30 |
| 7 | Morton | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 28:36 | -8 | 30 |
| 8 | Queen's Park | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 28:39 | -11 | 28 |
| 9 | Airdrieonians | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 23:35 | -12 | 26 |
| 10 | Ross County | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 25:42 | -17 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Premiership
Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Quarter~finals)
Championship (Relegation)
Relegation ~ League One
