Arcángel San Miguel vs Herbania – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
17/01/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 35', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 90+5', 1 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Arcángel San Miguel
61.1%
Draw
26.1%
Herbania
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.9% 28.1% 30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8% 26.9% 28.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arcángel San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arcángel San Miguel's performance.
  • Herbania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Herbania might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arcángel San Miguel than the current prediction. (-17.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arcángel San Miguel that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Herbania than the current prediction. (+15.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Herbania could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Arcángel San Miguel - Herbania Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (2.18)
    3.98
    (3.25)
    8.14
    (3.05)
    -3.9%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
    • Recent performances by San Miguel have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Herbania has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • San Miguel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Herbania has had a series of away games.
    • San Miguel is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, San Miguel won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, San Miguel won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arcángel San Miguel - Herbania were as follows:
    06.09.2025 Herbania - Arcángel San Miguel 2:2
    04.05.2025 Herbania - Arcángel San Miguel 1:0
    21.12.2024 Arcángel San Miguel - Herbania 4:1
    Latest results of Arcángel San Miguel
    Latest results of Herbania
    14.01.2026 Herbania - Tamaraceite 0:1
    10.01.2026 Atlético Paso - Herbania 4:2
    20.12.2025 Real Unión - Herbania 2:1
    07.12.2025 Lanzarote - Herbania 1:0
    22.11.2025 Las Palmas C - Herbania 4:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Paso26158340:152553
    2San Fernando26156535:191651
    3Tenerife C27147644:311349
    4Panaderia26146640:221848
    5Tamaraceite26153838:251348
    6Mensajero26138543:271647
    7Lanzarote27117939:30940
    8Villa Santa Brigida271241131:26540
    9Real Union Tenerife26117830:26440
    10Las Palmas C26108849:381138
    11CD Marino26810840:301034
    12Arucas26691125:35-1027
    13Yaiza26751425:34-926
    14San Bartolome26591222:46-2424
    15San Miguel26581324:37-1323
    16Herbania26581332:46-1423
    17SD Tenisca27451821:56-3517
    18Telde26381521:56-3517

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