Marino vs Arcángel San Miguel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
06/01/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 14

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 10', 1 - 0, ,
  • 28', (Penalty Awarded),
  • 28', 1 - 1, ,
  • 38', (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 48', 1 - 2, ,
  • 51', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Marino
63%
Draw
21.6%
Arcángel San Miguel
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.1% 24.4% 18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59% 23.6% 17.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marino's performance.
  • Arcángel San Miguel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marino than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arcángel San Miguel than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • Marino - Arcángel San Miguel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.45
    (1.59)
    4.23
    (3.72)
    5.94
    (4.91)
    9.2%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Marino - Arcángel San Miguel?
  • Users Predictions: Marino will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Marino will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Marino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Marino is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Marino won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Marino won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Marino - Arcángel San Miguel were as follows:
    06.04.2025 Marino - Arcángel San Miguel 1:1
    23.11.2024 Arcángel San Miguel - Marino 0:1
    Latest results of Marino
    07.12.2025 Atlético Paso - Marino 3:0
    23.11.2025 Marino - Tenisca 5:1
    14.11.2025 Real Unión - Marino 0:0
    09.11.2025 Marino - Tamaraceite 3:0
    Latest results of Arcángel San Miguel
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Paso26158340:152553
    2San Fernando26156535:191651
    3Tenerife C27147644:311349
    4Panaderia26146640:221848
    5Tamaraceite26153838:251348
    6Mensajero26138543:271647
    7Lanzarote27117939:30940
    8Villa Santa Brigida271241131:26540
    9Real Union Tenerife26117830:26440
    10Las Palmas C26108849:381138
    11CD Marino26810840:301034
    12Arucas26691125:35-1027
    13Yaiza26751425:34-926
    14San Bartolome26591222:46-2424
    15San Miguel26581324:37-1323
    16Herbania26581332:46-1423
    17SD Tenisca27451821:56-3517
    18Telde26381521:56-3517

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