Ardoi vs Cirbonero – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
01/02/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 15 - Round 20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 45+2', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 51', 1 - 1, ,
  • 86', 1 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Ardoi
41.1%
Draw
37%
Cirbonero
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.1% 28.9% 29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7% 27.8% 27.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ardoi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Cirbonero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cirbonero might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ardoi than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cirbonero than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cirbonero could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ardoi - Cirbonero Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.56
    (2.16)
    2.84
    (3.14)
    4.8
    (3.13)
    -4.9%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 13 and 15)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ardoi won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Ardoi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Ardoi might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ardoi won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 1.8:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ardoi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:0. (average 3.5:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ardoi - Cirbonero were as follows:
    21.09.2025 Cirbonero - Ardoi 1:0
    23.03.2025 Cirbonero - Ardoi 2:1
    09.11.2024 Ardoi - Cirbonero 1:0
    03.03.2024 Cirbonero - Ardoi 1:2
    12.10.2023 Ardoi - Cirbonero 6:0
    Latest results of Ardoi
    24.01.2026 Artajonés - Ardoi 4:2
    17.01.2026 Ardoi - Subiza 2:1
    11.01.2026 Ardoi - San Juan 1:1
    04.01.2026 Beti Onak - Ardoi 2:1
    20.12.2025 Ardoi - Avance Ezcabarte 1:1
    Latest results of Cirbonero
    25.01.2026 Cirbonero - Beti Kozkor 3:2
    18.01.2026 Peña Sport - Cirbonero 1:1
    10.01.2026 Egüés - Cirbonero 1:1
    04.01.2026 Cirbonero - Huarte 1:3
    20.12.2025 Cortes - Cirbonero 1:0
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Pena23163446:291751
    2Pamplona24137444:222246
    3Izarra24119449:242542
    4Subiza23126533:191442
    5AD San Juan24912332:181439
    6Cortes23113926:31-536
    7Huarte241121139:33635
    8Txantrea2396838:47-933
    9Ezcabarte2489731:30133
    10Valle Egues24771035:43-828
    11Beti Kozkor23761029:31-227
    12Aoiz23751131:32-126
    13Cirbonero2359924:30-624
    14Bidezarra24661224:31-724
    15Oberena23661122:39-1724
    16CD Ardoi24581128:39-1123
    17CA Artajones23491026:45-1921
    18Beti Onak23471224:38-1419

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