Result
2:1
17/01/2026 at 09:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 15 - Round 18
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 50', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 75', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 90+5', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Ardoi
37.3% | Draw
35.2% | Subiza
27.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ardoi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ardoi's performance.Subiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Subiza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ardoi than the current prediction. (-12.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ardoi that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Subiza than the current prediction. (+21.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Subiza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ardoi - Subiza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.89 ↓
(3.55) |
3.07 ↓
(3.35) |
3.94 ↑
(1.93) |
-7.4%
(9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 15 (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ardoi won 0.
- Recent performances by Ardoi have been up and down (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Subiza is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Subiza could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ardoi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.5:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ardoi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Ardoi won against Subiza?
Ardoi has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Subiza won against Ardoi?
Subiza has won 5 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ardoi - Subiza were as follows:
07.09.2025
Subiza
-
Ardoi
3:1
01.05.2024
Ardoi
-
Subiza
0:3
06.01.2024
Subiza
-
Ardoi
1:0
11.02.2023
Subiza
-
Ardoi
3:1
15.10.2022
Ardoi
-
Subiza
0:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Pena | 27 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 52:31 | 21 | 63 |
| 2 | Pamplona | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 51:23 | 28 | 55 |
| 3 | Izarra | 27 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 52:26 | 26 | 47 |
| 4 | Subiza | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 35:25 | 10 | 43 |
| 5 | AD San Juan | 27 | 10 | 13 | 4 | 36:20 | 16 | 43 |
| 6 | Cortes | 27 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 32:37 | -5 | 42 |
| 7 | Ezcabarte | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 39:35 | 4 | 39 |
| 8 | Txantrea | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 42:54 | -12 | 37 |
| 9 | Beti Kozkor | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 41:37 | 4 | 36 |
| 10 | Huarte | 27 | 11 | 2 | 14 | 41:42 | -1 | 35 |
| 11 | Cirbonero | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 32 |
| 12 | Bidezarra | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 26:31 | -5 | 31 |
| 13 | CD Ardoi | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 36:42 | -6 | 30 |
| 14 | Valle Egues | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 37:47 | -10 | 29 |
| 15 | Aoiz | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 33:39 | -6 | 27 |
| 16 | Beti Onak | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 29:41 | -12 | 26 |
| 17 | Oberena | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 26:52 | -26 | 25 |
| 18 | CA Artajones | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 29:50 | -21 | 24 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 15 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
