Newington vs Ards – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Northern Irish Championship Newington - Ards
Result
0:3
04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NIFL Championship - Round 10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)

Chances of winning


Newington
45.7%
Draw
25.5%
Ards
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.4% 24.9% 38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1% 24.4% 38%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Newington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Newington's performance.
  • Ards has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ards might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newington than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Newington that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ards than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ards could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Newington - Ards Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.97
    (2.52)
    3.53
    (3.68)
    3.14
    (2.37)
    10.9%
    (9.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Championship (Promotion Group: ) and 7 in the zone NIFL Championship (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newington won 2.
    • Newington is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Ards is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Newington won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 1.9:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Newington won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Newington - Ards were as follows:
    22.02.2025 Ards - Newington 1:1
    02.11.2024 Newington - Ards 2:2
    13.04.2024 Ards - Newington 1:1
    27.02.2024 Newington - Ards 1:0
    02.12.2023 Newington - Ards 4:1
    Latest results of Newington
    Latest results of Ards
    27.09.2025 Loughgall - Ards 1:1
    20.09.2025 Ards - Armagh City 2:1
    29.08.2025 Ards - Dundela 1:0
    Northern Irish Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Annagh1082017:51226
    2H&W Welders1062221:111020
    3Limavady1053212:8418
    4Ards1052317:13417
    5Queens Univ1043314:13115
    6Newington1042417:14314
    7Loughgall1035214:12214
    8Warrenpoint1031613:16-310
    9Armagh1023515:19-49
    10Institute1023510:14-49
    11Ballinamallard102359:19-109
    12Dundela1003710:25-153

          Promotion ~ NIFL Championship (Promotion Group: )
          NIFL Championship (Relegation Group: )