Result
2:1
03/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NIFL Championship - Round 20
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
Chances of winning
Ards
41.5% | Draw
26.6% | Newington
32% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ards has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ards's performance.Newington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Newington might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ards than the current prediction. (-8.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ards that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newington than the current prediction. (+10.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Newington could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ards - Newington Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.19 ↓
(2.7) |
3.42 ↓
(3.67) |
2.85 ↑
(2.19) |
10%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 in the zone NIFL Championship (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Championship (Promotion Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ards won 1.
- Ards has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Newington has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Newington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Ards won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 1.5:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ards won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.5:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Ards won against Newington?
Ards has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Newington won against Ards?
Newington has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ards - Newington were as follows:
17.01.2026
Newington
-
Ards
2:0
04.10.2025
Newington
-
Ards
0:3
22.02.2025
Ards
-
Newington
1:1
02.11.2024
Newington
-
Ards
2:2
13.04.2024
Ards
-
Newington
1:1
Latest results of Newington
Northern Irish Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Annagh ✔ | 30 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 49:24 | 25 | 64 |
| 2 | Limavady ✔ | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 51:30 | 21 | 62 |
| 3 | H&W Welders ✔ | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 72:35 | 37 | 55 |
| 4 | Loughgall | 30 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 44:29 | 15 | 50 |
| 5 | Newington | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 60:46 | 14 | 45 |
| 6 | Queens Univ | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 34:39 | -5 | 41 |
| 7 | Institute | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 42:40 | 2 | 40 |
| 8 | Ards | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 43:42 | 1 | 36 |
| 9 | Warrenpoint | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 41:40 | 1 | 36 |
| 10 | Ballinamallard | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 35:47 | -12 | 32 |
| 11 | Dundela ✔ | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 34:68 | -34 | 18 |
| 12 | Armagh ✔ | 30 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 26:91 | -65 | 15 |
Promotion ~ NIFL Championship (Promotion Group: )
NIFL Championship (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Annagh is Qualified for NIFL Championship (Promotion Group )
Limavady is Qualified for NIFL Championship (Promotion Group )
H&W Welders is Qualified for NIFL Championship (Promotion Group )
Dundela is NIFL Championship (Relegation Group )
Armagh is NIFL Championship (Relegation Group )
