Arema vs Persebaya Surabaya – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/04/2025 at 04:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Kanjuruhan Stadium (Malang).

Liga 1 - Round 30
Where to Watch on TV:


India	Vision+
Indonesia	Indosiar, K-Vision, Vidio

Match Stats


Ball Possession
44%	56%
Total shots
4	7
Shots on target
4	7
Corner Kicks
3	7
Passes
80% (286/359)	81% (353/437)
Yellow Cards
2	4
Total shots
4	7
Shots on target
4	7
Corner Kicks
3	7
Passes
80% (286/359)	81% (353/437)
Fouls
14	13
Goalkeeper Saves
6	3

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Idrus A. 🟨,
30', Thales 🟨,
39', Pablo Oliveira ↓, Balinsa S. G. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', Setiawan D. ↓, Tuharea S. ↑,
55', Bruno 🟨,
65', Firmansyah T. ↓, Malik R. ↑,
67', Santoso D. ↓, Setiawan B. ↑,
67', Rafli M. ↓, Dalberto ↑,
70', 1 - 0, Thales ⚽, Lokolingoy C. (A),
76', Guevara J. 🟨,
78', 1 - 1, Bruno (Pen),
86', Tumbas D. 🟨,
88', Catur A. ↓, May R. ↑,
90+2', Raditya K. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Arema
40.1%

Draw
27.1%

Persebaya Surabaya
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

27.9%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

28.1%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Persebaya Surabaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arema than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Persebaya Surabaya than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Arema - Persebaya Surabaya Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.15)	3.38 ↑ (3.29)	2.8 ↓ (3.13)	9.1% (8.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Arema - Persebaya Surabaya?

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Arema will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Persebaya will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Arema (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Persebaya (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Challenge League (Qualification: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Arema won 0.
Recent matches Arema is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Persebaya is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Persebaya could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Arema will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 15 head-to-head matches Arema won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 21:26 (average 1.4:1.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Arema won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:7 (average 1.9:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Arema won against Persebaya Surabaya?

Arema has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Persebaya Surabaya won against Arema?

Persebaya Surabaya has won 5 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Arema - Persebaya Surabaya were as follows:

07.12.2024 Persebaya Surabaya - Arema 3:2

27.03.2024 Arema - Persebaya Surabaya 0:1

23.09.2023 Persebaya Surabaya - Arema 3:1

11.04.2023 Persebaya Surabaya - Arema 1:0

01.10.2022 Arema - Persebaya Surabaya 2:3

Latest results of Arema

24.04.2025 Arema - Madura United 0:1 ✺

20.04.2025 Persita Tangerang - Arema 3:2 ✺

13.03.2025 Arema - Barito Putera 4:2 ✺

09.03.2025 Persija Jakarta - Arema 1:3 ✺

04.03.2025 Malut United - Arema 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Persebaya Surabaya

20.04.2025 Persebaya Surabaya - Madura United 1:0 ✺

12.04.2025 Persija Jakarta - Persebaya Surabaya 1:1 ✺

12.03.2025 Persebaya Surabaya - PSIS Semarang 1:1 ✺

07.03.2025 PSM Makassar - Persebaya Surabaya 0:1 ✺

01.03.2025 Persebaya Surabaya - Persib Bandung 4:1 ✺

Indonesian Liga 1 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Arema FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Persib Bandung	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Persija Jakarta	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Persik Kediri	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	PSM Makassar	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Persebaya	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Persita	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Semen Padang	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Persis Solo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Bali United	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Persijap Jepara	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	PSIM Yogyakarta	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Dewa United	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Borneo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	FC Bhayangkara	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Madura United	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	PSBS Biak Numfor	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Malut United	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Challenge League (Qualification: )
      Relegation