Result
1:1
28/04/2025 at 04:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Round 30
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 India | Vision+ |
 Indonesia | Indosiar, K-Vision, Vidio |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (286/359) | 81% (353/437) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (286/359) | 81% (353/437) |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 26', Idrus A. 🟨,
- 30', Thales 🟨,
- 39', Pablo Oliveira ↓, Balinsa S. G. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 54', Setiawan D. ↓, Tuharea S. ↑,
- 55', Bruno 🟨,
- 65', Firmansyah T. ↓, Malik R. ↑,
- 67', Santoso D. ↓, Setiawan B. ↑,
- 67', Rafli M. ↓, Dalberto ↑,
- 70', 1 - 0, Thales ⚽, Lokolingoy C. (A),
- 76', Guevara J. 🟨,
- 78', 1 - 1, Bruno (Pen),
- 86', Tumbas D. 🟨,
- 88', Catur A. ↓, May R. ↑,
- 90+2', Raditya K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Arema
40.1% | Draw
27.1% | Persebaya Surabaya
32.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Persebaya Surabaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arema than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Persebaya Surabaya than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Arema - Persebaya Surabaya Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↑
(2.15) |
3.38 ↑
(3.29) |
2.8 ↓
(3.13) |
9.1%
(8.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Arema - Persebaya Surabaya?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Arema will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Persebaya will win (votes: 2 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Arema (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Persebaya (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Challenge League (Qualification: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Arema won 0.
- Recent matches Arema is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Persebaya is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Persebaya could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Arema will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 15 head-to-head matches Arema won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 21:26 (average 1.4:1.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Arema won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:7 (average 1.9:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Arema won against Persebaya Surabaya?
Arema has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Persebaya Surabaya won against Arema?
Persebaya Surabaya has won 5 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arema - Persebaya Surabaya were as follows:
07.12.2024
Persebaya Surabaya
-
Arema
3:2
27.03.2024
Arema
-
Persebaya Surabaya
0:1
23.09.2023
Persebaya Surabaya
-
Arema
3:1
11.04.2023
Persebaya Surabaya
-
Arema
1:0
01.10.2022
Arema
-
Persebaya Surabaya
2:3
Latest results of Persebaya Surabaya
