Result
3:0
18/01/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 18
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, Lopez D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 49', 2 - 0, Cabello A. ⚽,
- 80', 3 - 0, Conde J. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Arenas Armilla
59.3% | Draw
26.1% | El Palo
14.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arenas Armilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)El Palo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenas Armilla than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Palo than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Arenas Armilla - El Palo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.53
(1.53) |
3.48 ↓
(3.65) |
6.21 ↑
(5.8) |
10.1%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 9 (Play Offs: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- Arenas Armilla has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- El Palo is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Arenas Armilla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Arenas Armilla is the clear favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arenas Armilla won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Arenas Armilla won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Arenas Armilla won against El Palo?
Arenas Armilla has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has El Palo won against Arenas Armilla?
El Palo has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arenas Armilla - El Palo were as follows:
06.09.2025
El Palo
-
Arenas Armilla
0:2
01.05.2025
Arenas Armilla
-
El Palo
1:1
15.12.2024
El Palo
-
Arenas Armilla
2:2
02.04.2023
El Palo
-
Arenas Armilla
1:1
08.12.2022
Arenas Armilla
-
El Palo
0:1
Latest results of Arenas Armilla
Latest results of El Palo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mijas Las Lagunas | 32 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 39:20 | 19 | 62 |
| 2 | Motril | 32 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 53:28 | 25 | 61 |
| 3 | Torre del Mar | 32 | 14 | 13 | 5 | 36:23 | 13 | 55 |
| 4 | Arenas Armilla | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37:26 | 11 | 54 |
| 5 | Churriana de la Vega | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 29:39 | -10 | 48 |
| 6 | Marbelli | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 34:27 | 7 | 48 |
| 7 | Torredonjimeno | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 37:35 | 2 | 47 |
| 8 | UD San Pedro | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 34:35 | -1 | 43 |
| 9 | Atletico de Porcuna | 32 | 13 | 4 | 15 | 39:37 | 2 | 43 |
| 10 | Huetor Vega | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 39:39 | 0 | 42 |
| 11 | Granada CF B | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 44:43 | 1 | 40 |
| 12 | CD Alhaurino | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 39:40 | -1 | 39 |
| 13 | Melilla B | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 29:29 | 0 | 38 |
| 14 | Mancha | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 28:35 | -7 | 36 |
| 15 | Huetor Tajar | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 37:42 | -5 | 34 |
| 16 | Martos | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 31:44 | -13 | 34 |
| 17 | CD Torreperogil | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 22:40 | -18 | 31 |
| 18 | El Palo | 32 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 26:51 | -25 | 24 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 9 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
