Arezzo vs Perugia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
15/03/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group B - Round 32
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253

Match Stats

Ball possession
53%47%
Total shots
142
Shots on target
62
Corner kicks
105
Yellow cards
34
Total shots
142
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
80
Corner kicks
105

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Montevago D. ,
  • 19', Ladinetti R. 🟨,
  • 37', Montevago D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 53', Riccardi D. 🟨,
  • 61', 1 - 1, Tavernelli C. ,
  • 61', Guccione F. 🟨,
  • 65', Verre V. , Bacchin L. ,
  • 66', Pattarello E. , Arena A. ,
  • 66', Guccione F. , Iaccarino G. ,
  • 76', Cianci P. , Ravasio M. ,
  • 76', Tavernelli C. , Varela Djamanca M. ,
  • 79', Coppolaro M. , Renzi A. ,
  • 80', Ladinetti R. , Terrnava D. ,
  • 80', Montevago D. , Nepi A. ,
  • 87', Gemello L. 🟨,
  • 87', Manzari G. , Canotto L. ,
  • 90+1', Renzi A. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Varela Djamanca M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Arezzo
57.3%
Draw
27.2%
Perugia
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.8% 24.9% 12.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.5% 23.9% 11.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arezzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arezzo's form might have worsened.
  • Perugia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arezzo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • Arezzo - Perugia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.46)
    3.4
    (3.67)
    5.99
    (7.43)
    8%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arezzo won 2.
    • Arezzo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Perugia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Arezzo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Arezzo is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Arezzo won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 0.9:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Arezzo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arezzo - Perugia were as follows:
    09.11.2025 Perugia - Arezzo 0:0
    05.04.2025 Arezzo - Perugia 2:0
    27.11.2024 Perugia - Arezzo 1:2
    22.11.2024 Perugia - Arezzo 2:0
    21.04.2024 Perugia - Arezzo 1:1
    Latest results of Arezzo
    09.03.2026 Campobasso - Arezzo 0:1
    04.03.2026 Arezzo - Ternana 1:2
    01.03.2026 Arezzo - Ravenna 1:1
    21.02.2026 Gubbio - Arezzo 0:1
    12.02.2026 Carpi - Arezzo 0:1
    Latest results of Perugia
    09.03.2026 Perugia - Pontedera 2:1
    04.03.2026 Livorno - Perugia 1:2
    28.02.2026 Perugia - Pineto 0:1
    15.02.2026 Perugia - Carpi 1:1
    12.02.2026 Pianese - Perugia 2:1
    Italian Serie C Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arezzo34228457:223574
    2Ascoli34228462:224074
    3Ravenna35217749:301970
    4Campobasso341510947:371053
    5Juventus U23341491144:41351
    6Pineto3413111041:39250
    7Vis Pesaro3411131036:32446
    8Pianese341016834:33146
    9Ternana3413111041:36545
    10Gubbio3410141029:32-344
    11Livorno351171737:51-1440
    12Guidonia348141228:32-438
    13Carpi349101532:45-1337
    14Perugia348131337:42-537
    15Forli34991639:51-1236
    16Torres346171131:42-1135
    17Sambenedettese346131525:34-931
    18Bra346131534:50-1631
    19Pontedera343112026:58-3220
    20Rimini00000:000

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation