Result
1:1
15/03/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group B - Round 32
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 15', 0 - 1, Montevago D. ⚽,
- 19', Ladinetti R. 🟨,
- 37', Montevago D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 53', Riccardi D. 🟨,
- 61', 1 - 1, Tavernelli C. ⚽,
- 61', Guccione F. 🟨,
- 65', Verre V. ↓, Bacchin L. ↑,
- 66', Pattarello E. ↓, Arena A. ↑,
- 66', Guccione F. ↓, Iaccarino G. ↑,
- 76', Cianci P. ↓, Ravasio M. ↑,
- 76', Tavernelli C. ↓, Varela Djamanca M. ↑,
- 79', Coppolaro M. ↓, Renzi A. ↑,
- 80', Ladinetti R. ↓, Terrnava D. ↑,
- 80', Montevago D. ↓, Nepi A. ↑,
- 87', Gemello L. 🟨,
- 87', Manzari G. ↓, Canotto L. ↑,
- 90+1', Renzi A. 🟨,
- 90+7', Varela Djamanca M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Arezzo 57.3% | Draw 27.2% | Perugia 15.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arezzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arezzo's form might have worsened.Perugia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (+8.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arezzo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Arezzo - Perugia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.62 ↑ (1.46) |
3.4 ↓ (3.67) |
5.99 ↓ (7.43) |
8% (9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arezzo won 2.
- Arezzo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Perugia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Arezzo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Arezzo is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Arezzo won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 0.9:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Arezzo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Arezzo won against Perugia?
Arezzo has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Perugia won against Arezzo?
Perugia has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arezzo - Perugia were as follows:
09.11.2025
Perugia
-
Arezzo
0:0
05.04.2025
Arezzo
-
Perugia
2:0
27.11.2024
Perugia
-
Arezzo
1:2
22.11.2024
Perugia
-
Arezzo
2:0
21.04.2024
Perugia
-
Arezzo
1:1
Latest results of Perugia
Italian Serie C Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arezzo | 31 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 54:20 | 34 | 70 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 55:20 | 35 | 65 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 45:30 | 15 | 61 |
| 4 | Pineto | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 41:38 | 3 | 48 |
| 5 | Campobasso | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 43:35 | 8 | 48 |
| 6 | Pianese | 31 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 33:30 | 3 | 44 |
| 7 | Juventus U23 | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 39:38 | 1 | 44 |
| 8 | Gubbio | 31 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 28:26 | 2 | 43 |
| 9 | Vis Pesaro | 31 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 32:29 | 3 | 43 |
| 10 | Ternana | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 37:31 | 6 | 43 |
| 11 | Livorno | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 33:46 | -13 | 37 |
| 12 | Guidonia | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 25:28 | -3 | 36 |
| 13 | Forli | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 38:46 | -8 | 35 |
| 14 | Carpi | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 30:42 | -12 | 34 |
| 15 | Perugia | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 32:38 | -6 | 32 |
| 16 | Torres | 32 | 5 | 16 | 11 | 28:41 | -13 | 31 |
| 17 | Sambenedettese | 32 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 25:34 | -9 | 29 |
| 18 | Bra | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32:49 | -17 | 26 |
| 19 | Pontedera | 31 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 26:55 | -29 | 19 |
| 20 | Rimini | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation