Result
1:1
15/03/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group B - Round 32
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 15', 0 - 1, Montevago D. ⚽,
- 19', Ladinetti R. 🟨,
- 37', Montevago D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 53', Riccardi D. 🟨,
- 61', 1 - 1, Tavernelli C. ⚽,
- 61', Guccione F. 🟨,
- 65', Verre V. ↓, Bacchin L. ↑,
- 66', Pattarello E. ↓, Arena A. ↑,
- 66', Guccione F. ↓, Iaccarino G. ↑,
- 76', Cianci P. ↓, Ravasio M. ↑,
- 76', Tavernelli C. ↓, Varela Djamanca M. ↑,
- 79', Coppolaro M. ↓, Renzi A. ↑,
- 80', Ladinetti R. ↓, Terrnava D. ↑,
- 80', Montevago D. ↓, Nepi A. ↑,
- 87', Gemello L. 🟨,
- 87', Manzari G. ↓, Canotto L. ↑,
- 90+1', Renzi A. 🟨,
- 90+7', Varela Djamanca M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Arezzo 57.3% | Draw 27.2% | Perugia 15.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arezzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arezzo's form might have worsened.Perugia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (+8.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arezzo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Arezzo - Perugia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.62 ↑ (1.46) |
3.4 ↓ (3.67) |
5.99 ↓ (7.43) |
8% (9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arezzo won 2.
- Arezzo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Perugia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Arezzo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Arezzo is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Arezzo won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 0.9:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Arezzo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Arezzo won against Perugia?
Arezzo has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Perugia won against Arezzo?
Perugia has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arezzo - Perugia were as follows:
09.11.2025
Perugia
-
Arezzo
0:0
05.04.2025
Arezzo
-
Perugia
2:0
27.11.2024
Perugia
-
Arezzo
1:2
22.11.2024
Perugia
-
Arezzo
2:0
21.04.2024
Perugia
-
Arezzo
1:1
Latest results of Perugia
Italian Serie C Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arezzo | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 57:22 | 35 | 74 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 62:22 | 40 | 74 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 35 | 21 | 7 | 7 | 49:30 | 19 | 70 |
| 4 | Campobasso | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 47:37 | 10 | 53 |
| 5 | Juventus U23 | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 44:41 | 3 | 51 |
| 6 | Pineto | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 41:39 | 2 | 50 |
| 7 | Vis Pesaro | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 36:32 | 4 | 46 |
| 8 | Pianese | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 34:33 | 1 | 46 |
| 9 | Ternana | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 41:36 | 5 | 45 |
| 10 | Gubbio | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 44 |
| 11 | Livorno | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 37:51 | -14 | 40 |
| 12 | Guidonia | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 28:32 | -4 | 38 |
| 13 | Carpi | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:45 | -13 | 37 |
| 14 | Perugia | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 37:42 | -5 | 37 |
| 15 | Forli | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 39:51 | -12 | 36 |
| 16 | Torres | 34 | 6 | 17 | 11 | 31:42 | -11 | 35 |
| 17 | Sambenedettese | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 25:34 | -9 | 31 |
| 18 | Bra | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 34:50 | -16 | 31 |
| 19 | Pontedera | 34 | 3 | 11 | 20 | 26:58 | -32 | 20 |
| 20 | Rimini | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation