Arezzo vs Perugia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
15/03/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group B - Round 32
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253

Match Stats

Ball possession
53%47%
Total shots
142
Shots on target
62
Corner kicks
105
Yellow cards
34
Total shots
142
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
80
Corner kicks
105

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Montevago D. ,
  • 19', Ladinetti R. 🟨,
  • 37', Montevago D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 53', Riccardi D. 🟨,
  • 61', 1 - 1, Tavernelli C. ,
  • 61', Guccione F. 🟨,
  • 65', Verre V. , Bacchin L. ,
  • 66', Pattarello E. , Arena A. ,
  • 66', Guccione F. , Iaccarino G. ,
  • 76', Cianci P. , Ravasio M. ,
  • 76', Tavernelli C. , Varela Djamanca M. ,
  • 79', Coppolaro M. , Renzi A. ,
  • 80', Ladinetti R. , Terrnava D. ,
  • 80', Montevago D. , Nepi A. ,
  • 87', Gemello L. 🟨,
  • 87', Manzari G. , Canotto L. ,
  • 90+1', Renzi A. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Varela Djamanca M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Arezzo
57.3%
Draw
27.2%
Perugia
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.8% 24.9% 12.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.5% 23.9% 11.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arezzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arezzo's form might have worsened.
  • Perugia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arezzo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • Arezzo - Perugia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.46)
    3.4
    (3.67)
    5.99
    (7.43)
    8%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arezzo won 2.
    • Arezzo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Perugia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Arezzo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Arezzo is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Arezzo won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 0.9:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Arezzo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arezzo - Perugia were as follows:
    09.11.2025 Perugia - Arezzo 0:0
    05.04.2025 Arezzo - Perugia 2:0
    27.11.2024 Perugia - Arezzo 1:2
    22.11.2024 Perugia - Arezzo 2:0
    21.04.2024 Perugia - Arezzo 1:1
    Latest results of Arezzo
    09.03.2026 Campobasso - Arezzo 0:1
    04.03.2026 Arezzo - Ternana 1:2
    01.03.2026 Arezzo - Ravenna 1:1
    21.02.2026 Gubbio - Arezzo 0:1
    12.02.2026 Carpi - Arezzo 0:1
    Latest results of Perugia
    09.03.2026 Perugia - Pontedera 2:1
    04.03.2026 Livorno - Perugia 1:2
    28.02.2026 Perugia - Pineto 0:1
    15.02.2026 Perugia - Carpi 1:1
    12.02.2026 Pianese - Perugia 2:1
    Italian Serie C Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arezzo31217354:203470
    2Ascoli31198455:203565
    3Ravenna32187745:301561
    4Pineto31139941:38348
    5Campobasso31148943:35848
    6Pianese311014733:30344
    7Juventus U23311281139:38144
    8Gubbio311013828:26243
    9Vis Pesaro311013832:29343
    10Ternana31139937:31643
    11Livorno321071533:46-1337
    12Guidonia318121125:28-336
    13Forli31981438:46-835
    14Carpi328101430:42-1234
    15Perugia317111332:38-632
    16Torres325161128:41-1331
    17Sambenedettese326111525:34-929
    18Bra315111532:49-1726
    19Pontedera313101826:55-2919
    20Rimini00000:000

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation