Result
1:0
09/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- World Championship - Qualification - Round 18
- Referee: Roldan W. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | StarTimes App, Startimes World Football |
 Argentina | Mi Telefe App, Mi Telefe, Telefe, TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play |
 Australia | SBS On Demand |
 Bolivia | AXS, Futbol Canal |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1 |
 Brazil | SporTV 2 |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Ditu, RCN Television |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Sporty TV |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 France | L'Equipe Live Foot |
 India | Vision+ |
 Indonesia | K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
 Mexico | Claro Sports |
 Mozambique | Startimes Mania |
 Paraguay | HEi |
 Peru | Movistar Deportes, Movistar TV App, Zapping Sports |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 South-korea | SBS Sports |
 Spain | Movistar Plus+ |
 Sweden | Sport Bladet Play |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player |
 Uruguay | Antel TV, AUFTV, DSports 1, Eventos Montecable, Flow, NS Eventos, TCC 2 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.30 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (354/417) | 89% (481/541) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.30 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (354/417) | 89% (481/541) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (17/42) | 60% (26/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (57/87) | 81% (134/165) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (3/6) | 17% (4/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.61 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (9/19) | 50% (7/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', Martinez L. 🟨,
- 16', Caicedo M. 🟨,
- 26', Plata G. 🟨,
- 31', Otamendi N. 🟥,
- 38', Simeone G. ↓, Foyth J. ↑,
- 45', Preciado A. 🟨,
- 45+13', 1 - 0, Valencia E. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Preciado A. ↓, Yeboah J. ↑,
- 50', Caicedo M. 🟨,
- 59', Valencia E. ↓, Paez K. ↑,
- 59', Angulo N. ↓, Alcivar J. ↑,
- 62', Paredes L. ↓, Mastantuono F. ↑,
- 63', Martinez L. ↓, Alvarez J. ↑,
- 65', Tagliafico N. 🟨,
- 68', Montiel G. ↓, Molina N. ↑,
- 68', de Paul R. ↓, Lo Celso G. ↑,
- 69', Plata G. ↓, Rodriguez K. ↑,
- 80', Balerdi L. 🟨,
- 90+3', Yeboah J. ↓, Minda A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ecuador
33.2% | Draw
36.3% | Argentina
30.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ecuador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Argentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Argentina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
Ecuador - Argentina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.02 ↓
(3.08) |
2.78 ↓
(3.25) |
3.41 ↑
(2.31) |
-1.4%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Ecuador - Argentina?
Users Predictions:
33 users predict this event. Ecuador will win (votes: 5 - 15.2%). Argentina will win (votes: 15 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 39.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Argentina: 28.5% – 62.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Ecuador (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Argentina (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.25 - Ecuador (votes: 4 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ World Championship and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ World Championship).
- Ecuador is Qualified for World Championship
- Argentina is Qualified for World Championship
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ecuador won 0.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Ecuador won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 8:29. (average 0.6:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Ecuador won against Argentina?
Ecuador has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Argentina won against Ecuador?
Argentina has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ecuador - Argentina were as follows:
04.07.2024
Argentina
-
Ecuador
2:1
09.06.2024
Argentina
-
Ecuador
1:0
07.09.2023
Argentina
-
Ecuador
1:0
Latest results of Ecuador
Latest results of Argentina
FIFA World Cup Table
South America | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Argentina | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 31:10 | 21 | 38 |
| 2 | Ecuador | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 14:5 | 9 | 29 |
| 3 | Colombia | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 28:18 | 10 | 28 |
| 4 | Uruguay | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 22:12 | 10 | 28 |
| 5 | Brazil | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 24:17 | 7 | 28 |
| 6 | Paraguay | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 14:10 | 4 | 28 |
| 7 | Bolivia | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 17:35 | -18 | 20 |
| 8 | Venezuela | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18:28 | -10 | 18 |
| 9 | Peru | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 6:21 | -15 | 12 |
| 10 | Chile | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 9:27 | -18 | 11 |
Promotion ~ World Championship
Promotion ~ World Championship (Promotion: )
