Result
2:1 penalties
04/07/2024 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SOUTH AMERICA: Copa América - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Matonte Cabrera A. M. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play |
 Australia | Optus Sport |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1 |
 Brazil | SporTV |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Denmark | TV3 Sport, Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | ANT 1+, ANT 1 Greece |
 Hungary | Arena 4 |
 Ireland | Premier Sports 1 |
 Kazakhstan | Qazsport |
 Mexico | Azteca 7, Canal 5, TUDN, ViX Premium |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Poland | Viaplay |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Slovakia | STVR Sport |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
 Turkey | Exxen |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player |
 Usa | Fox, FuboTV, TUDN, Univision |
 World | DirecTV Sports, MEGOGO Futbol 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.81 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total Passes |
|---|
| 399 | 368 |
| Completed Passes |
|---|
| 326 | 302 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 99 | 81 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 26 | 33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 30', Valencia E. 🟨,
- 35', 1 - 0, Martinez Li. ⚽, Mac Allister A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 62', Valencia E. (Pen),
- 65', Martinez La. ↓, Alvarez J. ↑,
- 75', Caicedo M. 🟨,
- 76', Paez K. ↓, Minda A. ↑,
- 76', Sarmiento J. ↓, Rodriguez K. ↑,
- 77', Gonzalez N. 🟨,
- 78', Fernandez E. ↓, Lo Celso G. ↑,
- 78', Martinez Li. ↓, Otamendi N. ↑,
- 80', Gruezo C. ↓, Yeboah J. ↑,
- 80', Valencia E. ↓, Mena A. ↑,
- 81', Tagliafico N. 🟨,
- 87', Franco A. ↓, Caicedo J. ↑,
- 90+2', 1 - 1, Rodriguez K. ⚽, Yeboah J. (A),
- 90+5', Molina N. ↓, Montiel G. ↑,
- Penalties (4 - 2)
- 1, Messi L. (Pen),
- 1, Mena A. (Pen),
- 2, Alvarez J. (Pen),
- 2, Minda A. (Pen),
- 3, Mac Allister A. (Pen),
- 3, Yeboah J. (Pen),
- 4, Montiel G. (Pen),
- 4, Caicedo J. (Pen),
- 5, Otamendi N. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Argentina
65.5% | Draw
23.8% | Ecuador
10.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Argentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Ecuador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Argentina than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ecuador than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Argentina - Ecuador Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.46 ↑
(1.41) |
4.02 ↓
(4.28) |
8.89 ↑
(8.42) |
4.5%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Watch this match and Copa America with fubo (for US customers) Network on : FOX, TUDN
What is the prediction for Argentina - Ecuador?
Users Predictions:
83 users predict this event. Argentina will win (votes: 68 - 81.9%). Ecuador will win (votes: 4 - 4.8%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Argentina: 73.6% – 90.2%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Argentina won 4.
- Argentina in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
- Ecuador is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- In this match Argentina is absolute favorite.
- Our prediction for today's Argentina to win the game is with odds 1.46.
- Last 13 head-to-head matches Argentina won 9 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 27-7.
How many head-to-head matches has Argentina won against Ecuador?
Argentina has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ecuador won against Argentina?
Ecuador has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Argentina - Ecuador were as follows:
09.06.2024
Argentina
-
Ecuador
1:0
07.09.2023
Argentina
-
Ecuador
1:0
Latest results of Argentina
Latest results of Ecuador
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Argentina (A1) | Ecuador (B2) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Venezuela (B1) | Canada (A2) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Uruguay (C1) | Brazil (D2) | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Colombia (D1) | Panama (C2) | 5 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Argentina (A1) | Canada (A2) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Uruguay (C1) | Colombia (D1) | 0 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Argentina (A1) | Colombia (D1) | 1 : 0 |
3rd place| 2 | Canada (A2) | Uruguay (C1) | 2 : 3 |
