Argentino de Merlo vs Sportivo Italiano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
13/07/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera B - Clausura - Round 4
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTyC Sports Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
135
Shots on target
73
Corner Kicks
47
Yellow Cards
42
Total shots
135
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
62
Corner Kicks
47
Goalkeeper Saves
26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 12', Tamborelli E. 🟨,
  • 18', Gomez A. F. 🟨,
  • 40', Desposito P. 🟨,
  • 42', Ledesma M. I. 🟨,
  • 44', 0 - 1, Torres A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Lucas Delgado , Mariani B. ,
  • 46', Guerra A. , Maldonado F. ,
  • 46', Gomez A. F. , Medina C. ,
  • 56', Ledesma M. I. , Gaitan T. ,
  • 62', Mozzone E. , Davila M. ,
  • 69', 1 - 1, Maldonado F. ,
  • 74', Torres A. , Cipresso F. ,
  • 74', De Cuadro J. , Merzario E. ,
  • 81', Romero L. , Ursino D. ,
  • 84', Venetucci V. , Bifiguer C. ,
  • 84', Desposito P. , Rojas J. ,
  • 89', Salvador A. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Rivero J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Argentino de Merlo
45.8%
Draw
31.6%
Sportivo Italiano
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.5% 26.5% 21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4% 26.1% 20.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Argentino de Merlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Argentino de Merlo's form might have worsened.
  • Sportivo Italiano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Argentino de Merlo than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Argentino de Merlo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Italiano than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • Argentino de Merlo - Sportivo Italiano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (1.72)
    2.87
    (3.4)
    4.01
    (4.3)
    10.1%
    (10.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Argentino de Merlo - Sportivo Italiano?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Sportivo Italiano (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Sportivo Italiano (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Argentino de Merlo won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Argentino de Merlo is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Argentino de Merlo won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.3:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Argentino de Merlo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.8:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Argentino de Merlo - Sportivo Italiano were as follows:
    23.02.2025 Sportivo Italiano - Argentino de Merlo 0:0
    29.09.2024 Argentino de Merlo - Sportivo Italiano 5:1
    11.05.2024 Sportivo Italiano - Argentino de Merlo 1:1
    Latest results of Sportivo Italiano
    Argentinian Primera B Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sportivo Italiano43105:2310
    2Argentino de Merlo43014:139
    3Excursionistas32104:227
    4Laferrere42116:517
    5Talleres (R.E)42113:217
    6Villa Dalmine32013:126
    7Real Pilar32014:316
    8Flandria42026:606
    9San Martin Burzaco41217:525
    10Arsenal Sarandi31204:225
    11Brown Adrogue41213:4-15
    12Villa San Carlos41126:604
    13Dep. Merlo31112:204
    14Liniers31112:204
    15Deportivo Armenio41123:4-14
    16Comunicaciones31112:3-14
    17UAI Urquiza30300:003
    18Defensores Unidos30211:2-12
    19Argentino de Quilmes30121:3-21
    20Dock Sud30121:3-21
    21Deportivo Camioneros30120:3-31
    22Ituzaingo40132:8-61

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional
          Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Primera C (Apertura: )