Ariana Geerlings Martinez vs Diletta Cherubini – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Valencia Challenger Women Ariana Geerlings Martinez - Diletta Cherubini
Result
2:0
09/06/2025 at 07:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Valencia - Qualification, clay - Final

Match Stats

Aces
21
Double Faults
32
1st Serve Percentage
62%70%
1st Serve Points Won
75% (21/28)49% (17/35)
2nd Serve Points Won
35% (6/17)33% (5/15)
Break Points Saved
50% (2/4)33% (3/9)
1st Return Points Won
51% (18/35)25% (7/28)
2nd Return Points Won
67% (10/15)65% (11/17)
Break Points Converted
67% (6/9)50% (2/4)
Service Points Won
62% (29/47)44% (22/50)
Return Points Won
56% (28/50)38% (18/47)
Total Points Won
59% (57/97)41% (40/97)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
75% (6/8)25% (2/8)
Return Games Won
75% (6/8)25% (2/8)
Total Games Won
75% (12/16)25% (4/16)

Chances of winning


Ariana Geerlings Martinez
71.2%
Diletta Cherubini
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.5% 39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7% 36.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ariana Geerlings Martinez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ariana Geerlings Martinez's performance.
  • Diletta Cherubini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Diletta Cherubini might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ariana Geerlings Martinez than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ariana Geerlings Martinez that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diletta Cherubini than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Diletta Cherubini could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ariana Geerlings Martinez - Diletta Cherubini Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.31
    (1.53)

    3.25
    (2.34)
    7.2%
    (8.1%)
    Preview Facts
    • Geerlings Martinez is ranked WTA: 404. Cherubini is ranked WTA: 454.
    • Geerlings Martinez is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Cherubini has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Geerlings Martinez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Geerlings Martinez will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Diletta Cherubini
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Sierra S. (1)Kazionova E. (Q)2 : 0
    2Geerlings Martinez A. (Q)Pigossi L.2 : 0
    3Vandewinkel H.Boskovic L.2 : 0
    4Fita Boluda A. (LL)Selekhmeteva O. (8)0 : 2
    5Carle M. L. (4)Kaji H.2 : 0
    6Chirico L.Esquiva Banuls C. (WC)2 : 1
    7Gorgodze E. (LL)Romero Gormaz L.0 : 2
    8Barthel M.Wang Xiy. (5)2 : 1
    9Gao X. (6)Korneeva A. (WC)2 : 1
    10Serban R.Cengiz B.2 : 0
    11Quevedo K. (WC)Charaeva A. (Q)0 : 2
    12Shymanovich I.Semenistaja D. (3)2 : 0
    13Korpatsch T.Maristany G.2 : 0
    14Martinez Cirez C. (WC)Bejlek S.0 : 2
    15Lazaro Garcia A.Mintegi Del Olmo A. (Q)1 : 2
    16Sobolieva A.Parrizas-Diaz N. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sierra S. (1)Geerlings Martinez A.2 : 0
    2Vandewinkel H.Selekhmeteva O. (8)2 : 0
    3Carle M. L. (4)Chirico L.0 : 2
    4Romero Gormaz L.Barthel M.1 : 2
    5Gao X. (6)Serban R.2 : 0
    6Charaeva A.Shymanovich I.0 : 2
    7Korpatsch T.Bejlek S.0 : 2
    8Mintegi Del Olmo A.Parrizas-Diaz N. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sierra S. (1)Vandewinkel H.1 : 2
    2Chirico L.Barthel M.2 : 0
    3Gao X. (6)Shymanovich I.2 : 1
    4Bejlek S.Parrizas-Diaz N. (WO.) (2)

    Semi-finals
    1Vandewinkel H.Chirico L.0 : 2
    2Gao X. (6)Parrizas-Diaz N. (2)1 : 2

    Final
    1Chirico L.Parrizas-Diaz N. (2)0 : 2