Ariana vs Bouchamma – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
30/11/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 11

Match Stats

Red Cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Boulaabi M. (Pen),
  • 8', 1 - 1, Khairi M. ,
  • 12', 2 - 1, Jouini H. ,
  • 15', 3 - 1, Boulaabi M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 50', Abdeldayem A. 🟥,
  • 85', Anas K. 🟥,
  • 90+3', 3 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Ariana
58.6%
Draw
22.4%
Bouchamma
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.6% 29.8% 25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7% 29.7% 25.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ariana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ariana's performance.
  • Bouchamma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bouchamma might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ariana than the current prediction. (-13.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ariana that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bouchamma than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bouchamma could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ariana - Bouchamma Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.86
    (2.04)
    4.87
    (3.05)
    5.76
    (3.55)
    -8.4%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 11 and 10)
    • Ariana has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Bouchamma has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Ariana will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Ariana
    23.11.2025 Sidi Bouzid - Ariana 1:0
    16.11.2025 Ariana - Korba 0:2
    12.11.2025 Stade Gabèsien - Ariana 2:1
    08.11.2025 Ariana - Jendouba Sport 1:1
    02.11.2025 Union Ksour Essef - Ariana 2:0
    Latest results of Bouchamma
    Tunisian Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Hamam-Sousse21143433:141945
    2US Tataouine21125430:141641
    3Hammam-Lif21124529:121740
    4Sfax Railways2196625:21433
    5Sporting Ben Arous2179523:15830
    6Msaken2179520:19130
    7BS Bouhajla2168716:18-226
    8EM Mahdia2168716:19-326
    9Megrine2175921:28-726
    10OC Kerkennah2158818:25-723
    11Chebba2158822:30-823
    12Bousalem21551114:25-1120
    13AS Agareb21461117:30-1318
    14Menzel Bourguiba21281114:28-1414


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Progres Sakiet22137241:142746
    2Kasserine22134529:151443
    3Stade Gabesien22126437:172042
    4Korba2279614:14030
    5Ariana2286823:24-130
    6Ksour Essef2285934:27729
    7Jendouba Sport22611528:21729
    8Bouchamma2277826:27-128
    9Redeyef2277822:29-728
    10EGS Gafsa2276919:24-527
    11Kalaa22821223:36-1326
    12Moknine2258923:29-623
    13Djelma22571014:28-1422
    14Sidi Bouzid22351414:42-2814

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