Ariana vs Bouchamma – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
30/11/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 11

Match Stats

Red Cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Boulaabi M. (Pen),
  • 8', 1 - 1, Khairi M. ,
  • 12', 2 - 1, Jouini H. ,
  • 15', 3 - 1, Boulaabi M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 50', Abdeldayem A. 🟥,
  • 85', Anas K. 🟥,
  • 90+3', 3 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Ariana
58.6%
Draw
22.4%
Bouchamma
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.6% 29.8% 25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7% 29.7% 25.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ariana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ariana's performance.
  • Bouchamma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bouchamma might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ariana than the current prediction. (-13.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ariana that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bouchamma than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bouchamma could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ariana - Bouchamma Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.86
    (2.04)
    4.87
    (3.05)
    5.76
    (3.55)
    -8.4%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 11 and 10)
    • Ariana has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Bouchamma has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Ariana will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Ariana
    23.11.2025 Sidi Bouzid - Ariana 1:0
    16.11.2025 Ariana - Korba 0:2
    12.11.2025 Stade Gabèsien - Ariana 2:1
    08.11.2025 Ariana - Jendouba Sport 1:1
    02.11.2025 Union Ksour Essef - Ariana 2:0
    Latest results of Bouchamma
    Tunisian Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Hamam-Sousse19123430:141639
    2US Tataouine19115327:121538
    3Hammam-Lif19114428:101837
    4Sfax Railways1995525:19632
    5Sporting Ben Arous1969421:14727
    6Msaken1968519:19026
    7BS Bouhajla1967616:16025
    8EM Mahdia1966716:19-324
    9Megrine1964919:27-822
    10Chebba1948719:28-920
    11OC Kerkennah1947815:23-819
    12AS Agareb19451017:29-1217
    13Bousalem19451012:24-1217
    14Menzel Bourguiba1928914:24-1014


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Progres Sakiet19126134:112342
    2Stade Gabesien19105433:151835
    3Kasserine19104522:14834
    4Ksour Essef1975729:20926
    5Ariana1975720:21-126
    6Jendouba Sport19510422:16625
    7Bouchamma1967621:22-125
    8Korba1959511:12-124
    9Kalaa19721022:27-523
    10EGS Gafsa1965816:21-523
    11Redeyef1965820:29-923
    12Djelma1956812:24-1221
    13Moknine1955921:27-620
    14Sidi Bouzid19341211:35-2413

          Promotion ~ Ligue Professionnelle 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 2 (Promotion Group: )
          Relegation