Result
3:2
30/11/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 2', 1 - 0, Boulaabi M. (Pen),
- 8', 1 - 1, Khairi M. ⚽,
- 12', 2 - 1, Jouini H. ⚽,
- 15', 3 - 1, Boulaabi M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 50', Abdeldayem A. 🟥,
- 85', Anas K. 🟥,
- 90+3', 3 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Ariana 58.6% | Draw 22.4% | Bouchamma 18.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ariana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ariana's performance.Bouchamma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bouchamma might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ariana than the current prediction. (-13.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ariana that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bouchamma than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bouchamma could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ariana - Bouchamma Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.86 ↓ (2.04) |
4.87 ↑ (3.05) |
5.76 ↑ (3.55) |
-8.4% (10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 11 and 10)
- Ariana has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Bouchamma has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Ariana will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Ariana won against Bouchamma?
Ariana has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bouchamma won against Ariana?
Bouchamma has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ariana - Bouchamma were as follows:
Latest results of Bouchamma
Tunisian Ligue 2 Table
2025/26Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hamam-Sousse | 21 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 33:14 | 19 | 45 |
| 2 | US Tataouine | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 30:14 | 16 | 41 |
| 3 | Hammam-Lif | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 29:12 | 17 | 40 |
| 4 | Sfax Railways | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 25:21 | 4 | 33 |
| 5 | Sporting Ben Arous | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 23:15 | 8 | 30 |
| 6 | Msaken | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 20:19 | 1 | 30 |
| 7 | BS Bouhajla | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 16:18 | -2 | 26 |
| 8 | EM Mahdia | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 16:19 | -3 | 26 |
| 9 | Megrine | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 21:28 | -7 | 26 |
| 10 | OC Kerkennah | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 18:25 | -7 | 23 |
| 11 | Chebba | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 22:30 | -8 | 23 |
| 12 | Bousalem | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 14:25 | -11 | 20 |
| 13 | AS Agareb | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 17:30 | -13 | 18 |
| 14 | Menzel Bourguiba | 21 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 14:28 | -14 | 14 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Progres Sakiet | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 41:14 | 27 | 46 |
| 2 | Kasserine | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 29:15 | 14 | 43 |
| 3 | Stade Gabesien | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 37:17 | 20 | 42 |
| 4 | Korba | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 14:14 | 0 | 30 |
| 5 | Ariana | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 23:24 | -1 | 30 |
| 6 | Ksour Essef | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 34:27 | 7 | 29 |
| 7 | Jendouba Sport | 22 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 28:21 | 7 | 29 |
| 8 | Bouchamma | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 26:27 | -1 | 28 |
| 9 | Redeyef | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 22:29 | -7 | 28 |
| 10 | EGS Gafsa | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 19:24 | -5 | 27 |
| 11 | Kalaa | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 23:36 | -13 | 26 |
| 12 | Moknine | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 23:29 | -6 | 23 |
| 13 | Djelma | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 14:28 | -14 | 22 |
| 14 | Sidi Bouzid | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 14:42 | -28 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Ligue Professionnelle 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 2 (Promotion Group: )
Relegation