El Makarem de Mahdia vs Ariana – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
16/02/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • TUNISIA: Ligue 2 - Round 15

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Zaghdoud W. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 88', 1 - 1, Ibrahim M. ,
  • 90+2', Kouki H. 🟥,
  • 90+4', 2 - 1, Chaouech B. ,

Chances of winning


El Makarem de Mahdia
46.7%
Draw
29.8%
Ariana
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.1% 26.7% 19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1% 28.2% 18.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • El Makarem de Mahdia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that El Makarem de Mahdia's form might have worsened.
  • Ariana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Makarem de Mahdia than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for El Makarem de Mahdia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ariana than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ariana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • El Makarem de Mahdia - Ariana Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (1.68)
    3.07
    (3.41)
    3.87
    (4.71)
    9.6%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 7 and 6).
    • EM Mahdia is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Ariana is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match EM Mahdia is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches EM Mahdia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between El Makarem de Mahdia - Ariana were as follows:
    26.10.2024 Ariana - El Makarem de Mahdia 0:1
    Latest results of El Makarem de Mahdia
    Latest results of Ariana
    09.02.2025 Hammam-Sousse - Ariana 0:2
    19.01.2025 Sfax Railways - Ariana 1:0
    04.01.2025 Ariana - Menzel Bourguiba 1:0
    28.12.2024 Ariana - Mégrine 0:0
    24.12.2024 Oued Ellil - Ariana 2:4
    Tunisian Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Hamam-Sousse22153436:142248
    2Hammam-Lif22134532:122043
    3US Tataouine22126430:141642
    4Sfax Railways22106627:22536
    5Sporting Ben Arous2279623:16730
    6Msaken2279620:20030
    7EM Mahdia2269717:20-327
    8BS Bouhajla2268817:20-326
    9Megrine22751021:31-1026
    10OC Kerkennah2259818:25-724
    11Chebba2259823:31-824
    12Bousalem22651115:25-1023
    13AS Agareb22561118:30-1221
    14Menzel Bourguiba22281214:31-1714


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Progres Sakiet22137241:142746
    2Kasserine22134529:151443
    3Stade Gabesien22126437:172042
    4Korba2279614:14030
    5Ariana2286823:24-130
    6Ksour Essef2285934:27729
    7Jendouba Sport22611528:21729
    8Bouchamma2277826:27-128
    9Redeyef2277822:29-728
    10EGS Gafsa2276919:24-527
    11Kalaa22821223:36-1326
    12Moknine2258923:29-623
    13Djelma22571014:28-1422
    14Sidi Bouzid22351414:42-2814

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