Marsa vs Ariana – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
19/04/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 65', 1 - 0, Karoui O. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Marsa
62.8%
Draw
24.1%
Ariana
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.7% 27.5% 18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8% 28.6% 18%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marsa's performance.
  • Ariana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ariana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marsa than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marsa that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ariana than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • Marsa - Ariana Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.45
    (1.69)
    3.77
    (3.3)
    6.96
    (4.85)
    10.1%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 and 4).
    • Recent matches Marsa is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Ariana is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match Marsa is a favorite.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Marsa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Marsa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Marsa - Ariana were as follows:
    07.12.2024 Ariana - Marsa 2:1
    Latest results of Marsa
    12.04.2025 Mégrine - Marsa 1:1
    16.03.2025 Marsa - Menzel Bourguiba 1:0
    08.03.2025 Hammam-Sousse - Marsa 1:1
    01.03.2025 Marsa - Moknine 1:1
    23.02.2025 Jendouba Sport - Marsa 3:0
    Latest results of Ariana
    13.04.2025 Ariana - Korba 2:0
    16.03.2025 Radès - Ariana 1:1
    09.03.2025 Ariana - Hammam-Lif 1:2
    02.03.2025 Msaken - Ariana 0:0
    22.02.2025 Ariana - Kalaâ 5:2
    Tunisian Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Hamam-Sousse19123430:141639
    2US Tataouine19115327:121538
    3Hammam-Lif19114428:101837
    4Sfax Railways1995525:19632
    5Sporting Ben Arous1969421:14727
    6Msaken1968519:19026
    7BS Bouhajla1967616:16025
    8EM Mahdia1966716:19-324
    9Megrine1964919:27-822
    10Chebba1948719:28-920
    11OC Kerkennah1947815:23-819
    12AS Agareb19451017:29-1217
    13Bousalem19451012:24-1217
    14Menzel Bourguiba1928914:24-1014


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Progres Sakiet19126134:112342
    2Stade Gabesien19105433:151835
    3Kasserine19104522:14834
    4Ksour Essef1975729:20926
    5Ariana1975720:21-126
    6Jendouba Sport19510422:16625
    7Bouchamma1967621:22-125
    8Korba1959511:12-124
    9Kalaa19721022:27-523
    10EGS Gafsa1965816:21-523
    11Redeyef1965820:29-923
    12Djelma1956812:24-1221
    13Moknine1955921:27-620
    14Sidi Bouzid19341211:35-2413

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