Result
3:1 ET
14/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals
- Referee: Lindhout A. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 21 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 4', Pereyra R. ↓, Ljubicic R. ↑,
- 21', Markhiev A. 🟨,
- 44', Pineda O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Penrice J. ↓, Pilios S. ↑,
- 46', McCausland R. ↓, Montnor J. ↑,
- 51', 1 - 0, Marin R. (Pen),
- 62', 1 - 1, Kvilitaia G. (Pen),
- 65', Anderson Correia ↓, Caju ↑,
- 66', Kakoullis A. ↓, Kokorin A. ↑,
- 73', Pierrot F. ↓, Gacinovic M. ↑,
- 73', Pineda O. ↓, Koita A. ↑,
- 77', Kvilitaia G. ↓, Effaghe R. ↑,
- 79', Goldson C. 🟨,
- 85', Mantalos P. ↓, Kutesa D. ↑,
- 89', Mayambela M. ↓, Gaustad D. ↑,
- Extra Time (2 - 0)
- 100', Zini ↓, Jovic L. ↑,
- 104', 2 - 1, Kutesa D. ⚽,
- 109', 3 - 1, Jovic L. ⚽, Kutesa D. (A),
- 110', Charalampous C. 🟨,
- 118', Charalampous C. ↓, Bourhane Y. ↑,
Chances of winning
AEK Athens
60% | Draw
23.1% | Aris Limassol
16.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AEK Athens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Aris Limassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aris Limassol than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
AEK Athens - Aris Limassol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.56 ↑
(1.51) |
4.07 ↑
(4) |
5.48 ↓
(6) |
7%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for AEK Athens - Aris Limassol?
Users Predictions:
43 users predict this event. AEK will win (votes: 36 - 83.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 16.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AEK: 72.7% – 94.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 20 high ROI users predict this event. AEK (votes: 14 - 70%). Tie (votes: 6 - 30%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 71.4%) .
- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- BTS - yes (votes: 7 - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Aris Limassol (2.44) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Aris Limassol (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.25 - Aris Limassol (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Aris Limassol (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- TQ, OT - Aris Limassol (4.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 26 high ROI users predict this event. AEK (votes: 14 - 53.8%). Aris Limassol (votes: 6 - 23.1%). Tie (votes: 6 - 23.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 2-2. 2nd leg.
- AEK is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Aris Limassol's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, AEK is the team to beat.
- We predict that AEK will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, AEK won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has AEK Athens won against Aris Limassol?
AEK Athens has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aris Limassol won against AEK Athens?
Aris Limassol has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AEK Athens - Aris Limassol were as follows:
07.08.2025
Aris Limassol
-
AEK Athens
2:2
Latest results of AEK Athens
Latest results of Aris Limassol
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | KuPS (21) | Lech Poznan (11) | 0 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Noah (19) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Sparta Prague (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Zrinjski (23) | Crystal Palace (10) | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | AEK Larnaca (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Jagiellonia (17) | Fiorentina (15) | 4 : 2, 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Rakow (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Shkendija (22) | Samsunspor (12) | 0 : 4, 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Drita (20) | Celje (13) | 2 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 12 | AEK Athens (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Lausanne (9) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 14 | Mainz (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Omonia (18) | Rijeka (16) | 1 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Strasbourg (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Lech Poznan (11) | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar (14) | Sparta Prague (4) | |
| 3 | Crystal Palace (10) | AEK Larnaca (8) | |
| 4 | Fiorentina (15) | Rakow (2) | |
| 5 | Samsunspor (12) | Rayo Vallecano (5) | |
| 6 | Celje (13) | AEK Athens (3) | |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Mainz (7) | |
| 8 | Rijeka (16) | Strasbourg (1) | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
