Result
1:1
11/01/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 16
- Referee: Saggi R. (Nor)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
 Croatia | SportKlub 5 |
 Greece | Nova Sports Prime |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 4 |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 1.20 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (189/257) | 84% (357/427) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 1.20 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 1.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (189/257) | 84% (357/427) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (17/52) | 44% (16/36) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (68/101) | 69% (74/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (5/21) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.79 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 59% (13/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.51 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.06 | -0.49 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Koita A. ⚽, Ljubicic R. (A),
- 11', 1 - 1, Jensen F. ⚽,
- 30', Pineda O. 🟨,
- 39', Koita A. 🟨,
- 39', Kadewere T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 61', Pineda O. ↓, Mantalos P. ↑,
- 66', Athanasiadis G. 🟨,
- 66', Ljubicic R. ↓, Varga B. ↑,
- 66', Joao Mario ↓, Eliasson N. ↑,
- 80', Jensen F. ↓, Galanopoulos K. ↑,
- 84', Koita A. ↓, Kutesa D. ↑,
- 90+3', Monchu 🟨,
Chances of winning
Aris
20% | Draw
26.9% | AEK Athens
53.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Aris - AEK Athens Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.7 ↑
(4.57) |
3.47 ↑
(3.33) |
1.76 ↓
(1.81) |
6.9%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Aris - AEK Athens?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1 - Aris (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
AEK Athens will win
(21 of 26 users predict this - 80.77%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.62% – 95.92%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): AEK Athens will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Aris (votes: 1 - 14.3%). AEK (votes: 6 - 85.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aris won 0.
- Recent performances by Aris have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- AEK is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Aris may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, AEK is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Aris: Alfarela M.
(Foot Injury)
Donis A.
(Injury)
Mendyl H.
(Knee Injury)
Moron L.
(Yellow Cards)
Sonko Sundberg N.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in AEK: Callens A.
(Heart Problems)
Gacinovic M.
(Ankle Injury)
Pierrot F.
(Injury)
Zini
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Aris: Sisto P.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aris won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 17:32. (average 0.9:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aris won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.4:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Aris won against AEK Athens?
Aris has won 1 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AEK Athens won against Aris?
AEK Athens has won 10 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aris - AEK Athens were as follows:
23.11.2025
AEK Athens
-
Aris
1:0
09.03.2025
Aris
-
AEK Athens
0:0
03.12.2024
Aris
-
AEK Athens
1:1
30.11.2024
AEK Athens
-
Aris
4:0
30.10.2024
AEK Athens
-
Aris
1:0
Latest results of AEK Athens
Greek Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PAOK | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 37:12 | 25 | 41 |
| 2 | AEK Athens | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 31:12 | 19 | 41 |
| 3 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 33:8 | 25 | 39 |
| 4 | Levadiakos | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 42:19 | 23 | 34 |
| 5 | Panathinaikos | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24:21 | 3 | 25 |
| 6 | Volos | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19:24 | -5 | 25 |
| 7 | Aris | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 21 |
| 8 | Kifisia | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 24:26 | -2 | 19 |
| 9 | Atromitos | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17:22 | -5 | 16 |
| 10 | Panetolikos | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 15:30 | -15 | 15 |
| 11 | OFI Crete | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 19:30 | -11 | 15 |
| 12 | Asteras Tripolis | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 15:23 | -8 | 13 |
| 13 | AEL Larissa | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 15:28 | -13 | 13 |
| 14 | Panserraikos | 17 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9:41 | -32 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
