Result
1:0
23/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 11
- Referee: Osmers H. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | ANT1 Pacific |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
 Croatia | SportKlub 4 |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 1 |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Usa | ANT1 Satellite |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.57 | 0.30 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (417/493) | 74% (195/263) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.57 | 0.30 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 0.43 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 19 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 56 | 5 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (417/493) | 74% (195/263) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (19/45) | 31% (14/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (123/162) | 53% (30/57) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (6/30) | 0% (0/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.54 | 0.19 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (15/22) | 43% (6/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.43 | 1.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.67 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Pineda O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Sonko Sundberg N. ↓, Rose L. ↑,
- 50', Perez C. 🟨,
- 55', Alfarela M. ↓, Dudu ↑,
- 64', Penrice J. 🟨,
- 67', Kaloskamis D. ↓, Koita A. ↑,
- 67', Penrice J. ↓, Pilios S. ↑,
- 77', 1 - 0, Zini ⚽, Mantalos P. (A),
- 78', Zini 🟨,
- 78', Panagidis M. ↓, Morutan O. ↑,
- 79', Perez C. ↓, Gianniotas G. ↑,
- 79', Joao Mario ↓, Gacinovic M. ↑,
- 81', Alvaro P. 🟨,
- 83', Zini ↓, Grujic M. ↑,
- 84', Mantalos P. ↓, Marin R. ↑,
Chances of winning
AEK Athens
63.7% | Draw
22.5% | Aris
13.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
AEK Athens - Aris Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.48 ↑
(1.47) |
4.12 ↓
(4.18) |
6.83 ↑
(6.7) |
6.4%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for AEK Athens - Aris?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. AEK will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Aris will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AEK: 68.4% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): AEK Athens will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AEK won 3.
- AEK is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Aris has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, AEK is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in AEK: Callens A.
(Heart Problems)
Eliasson N.
(Injury)
Zini
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Aris: Fabiano
(Muscle Injury)
Galanopoulos K.
(Red Card)
Kadewere T.
(Knee Injury)
Mendyl H.
(Knee Injury)
Misehouy G.
(Muscle Injury)
Monchu
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in AEK: Pierrot F.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Aris: Fadiga N.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, AEK won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:18. (average 1.7:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, AEK won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:4. (average 1.7:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has AEK Athens won against Aris?
AEK Athens has won 9 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aris won against AEK Athens?
Aris has won 1 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AEK Athens - Aris were as follows:
09.03.2025
Aris
-
AEK Athens
0:0
03.12.2024
Aris
-
AEK Athens
1:1
30.11.2024
AEK Athens
-
Aris
4:0
30.10.2024
AEK Athens
-
Aris
1:0
21.04.2024
Aris
-
AEK Athens
1:2
Latest results of AEK Athens
Greek Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 30:7 | 23 | 34 |
| 2 | PAOK | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 26:9 | 17 | 29 |
| 3 | AEK Athens | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 28 |
| 4 | Volos | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 22 |
| 5 | Levadiakos | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 30:16 | 14 | 21 |
| 6 | Panathinaikos | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17:12 | 5 | 18 |
| 7 | Aris | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 16 |
| 8 | Kifisia | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21:22 | -1 | 16 |
| 9 | Panetolikos | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13:18 | -5 | 12 |
| 10 | Asteras Tripolis | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14:17 | -3 | 11 |
| 11 | Atromitos | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11:16 | -5 | 9 |
| 12 | OFI Crete | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 11:25 | -14 | 9 |
| 13 | AEL Larissa | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11:22 | -11 | 7 |
| 14 | Panserraikos | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7:31 | -24 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
