BATE Borisov vs Aris – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League BATE Borisov - Aris
Result
3:5
01/08/2023 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - QUARTER-FINALS
  • Referee: Krogh M. (Den)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalEleven Sports 2

Chances of winning


BATE Borisov
25.2%
Draw
25.6%
Aris
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.5% 28.5% 43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9% 28.1% 42.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • BATE Borisov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • Aris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aris's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for BATE Borisov than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aris than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aris, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • BATE Borisov - Aris Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.76
    (3.27)
    3.68
    (3.27)
    1.92
    (2.17)
    5.9%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for BATE Borisov - Aris?
  • Users Predictions: Aris will win (28 of 35 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 66.75%93.25%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-6.
    • BATE is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Aris is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • BATE could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Aris is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches BATE won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-6.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between BATE Borisov - Aris were as follows:
    26.07.2023 Aris - BATE Borisov 6:2
    Latest results of BATE Borisov
    Latest results of Aris
    27.07.2023 Ararat-Armenia - Aris 1:1
    26.07.2023 Aris - BATE Borisov 6:2
    20.07.2023 Aris - Ethnikos Achna 3:1
    18.07.2023 Austria Wien - Aris 1:1
    16.07.2023 Dynamo Kyiv - Aris 4:0
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich22008:266
    2Real Madrid22007:166
    3PSG22006:156
    4Inter22005:056
    5Arsenal22004:046
    6Qarabag22005:236
    7Dortmund21108:534
    8Manchester City21104:224
    9Tottenham21103:214
    10Atl. Madrid21017:433
    11Newcastle21015:233
    12Marseille21015:233
    13Club Brugge KV21015:323
    14Sporting CP21015:323
    15Eintracht Frankfurt21016:603
    16Barcelona21013:303
    17Liverpool21013:303
    18Chelsea21012:3-13
    19Napoli21012:3-13
    20Royale Union SG21013:5-23
    21Galatasaray21012:5-33
    22Atalanta21012:5-33
    23Juventus20206:602
    24Bodo/Glimt20204:402
    25Bayer Leverkusen20203:302
    26Villarreal20112:3-11
    27PSV20112:4-21
    28FC Copenhagen20112:4-21
    29Olympiacos Piraeus20110:2-21
    30Monaco20113:6-31
    31Slavia Prague20112:5-31
    32Pafos20111:5-41
    33Benfica20022:4-20
    34Ath Bilbao20021:6-50
    35Ajax20020:6-60
    36Kairat Almaty20021:9-80

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