BATE Borisov vs Aris – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League BATE Borisov - Aris
Result
3:5
01/08/2023 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - QUARTER-FINALS
  • Referee: Krogh M. (Den)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalEleven Sports 2

Chances of winning


BATE Borisov
25.2%
Draw
25.6%
Aris
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.5% 28.5% 43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9% 28.1% 42.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • BATE Borisov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • Aris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aris's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for BATE Borisov than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aris than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aris, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • BATE Borisov - Aris Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.76
    (3.27)
    3.68
    (3.27)
    1.92
    (2.17)
    5.9%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for BATE Borisov - Aris?
  • Users Predictions: Aris will win (28 of 35 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 66.75%93.25%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-6.
    • BATE is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Aris is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • BATE could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Aris is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches BATE won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-6.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between BATE Borisov - Aris were as follows:
    26.07.2023 Aris - BATE Borisov 6:2
    Latest results of BATE Borisov
    Latest results of Aris
    27.07.2023 Ararat-Armenia - Aris 1:1
    26.07.2023 Aris - BATE Borisov 6:2
    20.07.2023 Aris - Ethnikos Achna 3:1
    18.07.2023 Austria Wien - Aris 1:1
    16.07.2023 Dynamo Kyiv - Aris 4:0
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG330013:3109
    2Bayern Munich330012:2109
    3Inter33009:099
    4Arsenal33008:089
    5Real Madrid33008:179
    6Dortmund321012:757
    7Manchester City32106:247
    8Newcastle32018:266
    9Barcelona32019:456
    10Liverpool32018:446
    11Chelsea32017:436
    12Sporting CP32017:436
    13Qarabag32016:516
    14Galatasaray32015:6-16
    15Tottenham31203:215
    16PSV31118:624
    17Atalanta31112:5-34
    18Marseille31026:423
    19Atl. Madrid31027:8-13
    20Club Brugge KV31025:7-23
    21Ath Bilbao31024:7-33
    22Eintracht Frankfurt31027:11-43
    23Napoli31024:9-53
    24Royale Union SG31023:9-63
    25Juventus30216:7-12
    26Bodo/Glimt30215:7-22
    27Monaco30213:6-32
    28Slavia Prague30212:5-32
    29Pafos30211:5-42
    30Bayer Leverkusen30215:10-52
    31Villarreal30122:5-31
    32FC Copenhagen30124:8-41
    33Olympiacos Piraeus30121:8-71
    34Kairat Almaty30121:9-81
    35Benfica30032:7-50
    36Ajax30031:11-100

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