BATE Borisov vs Aris – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League BATE Borisov - Aris
Result
3:5
01/08/2023 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - QUARTER-FINALS
  • Referee: Krogh M. (Den)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalEleven Sports 2

Chances of winning


BATE Borisov
25.2%
Draw
25.6%
Aris
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.5% 28.5% 43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9% 28.1% 42.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • BATE Borisov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • Aris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aris's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for BATE Borisov than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aris than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aris, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • BATE Borisov - Aris Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.76
    (3.27)
    3.68
    (3.27)
    1.92
    (2.17)
    5.9%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for BATE Borisov - Aris?
  • Users Predictions: Aris will win (28 of 35 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 66.75%93.25%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-6.
    • BATE is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Aris is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • BATE could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Aris is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches BATE won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-6.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between BATE Borisov - Aris were as follows:
    26.07.2023 Aris - BATE Borisov 6:2
    Latest results of BATE Borisov
    Latest results of Aris
    27.07.2023 Ararat-Armenia - Aris 1:1
    26.07.2023 Aris - BATE Borisov 6:2
    20.07.2023 Aris - Ethnikos Achna 3:1
    18.07.2023 Austria Wien - Aris 1:1
    16.07.2023 Dynamo Kyiv - Aris 4:0
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    2Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    3FC CopenhagenBye
    4DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    5Lech PoznanBye
    6EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    7VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    8ByeCrvena zvezda
    9KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    10O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Slovan BratislavaBye
    12VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    13RijekaBye
    14LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    15NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    16ByeFerencvaros
    17ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    18ByeDyn. Kyiv
    19PafosBye
    20ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    21TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    22FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    23ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    24ByeQarabag
    25BrannBye
    26ByeSalzburg
    28ByeClub Brugge KV
    29RangersBye
    30ByePanathinaikos
    31PlzenBye
    32ByeServette
    33NiceBye
    36ByeBenfica
    37FeyenoordBye
    40ByeFenerbahce

    Quarter-finals
    1RFSMalmo FF0 : 1, 1 : 4
    2FC CopenhagenDrita1 : 0, 2 : 0
    3Lech PoznanBreidablik1 : 0, 7 : 1
    4Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda1 : 5, 0 : 1
    5KuPSKairat Almaty0 : 3, 2 : 0
    6Slovan BratislavaZrinjski2 : 2, 4 : 0
    7RijekaLudogorets1 : 3, 0 : 0
    8NoahFerencvaros3 : 4, 1 : 2
    9HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3, 0 : 3
    10PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 0, 1 : 1
    11ShkendijaFCSB2 : 1, 1 : 0
    12ShelbourneQarabag0 : 1, 0 : 3
    13BrannSalzburg1 : 1, 1 : 4
    14ByeClub Brugge KV
    15RangersPanathinaikos1 : 1, 2 : 0
    16PlzenServette3 : 1, 0 : 1
    17NiceBye
    18ByeBenfica
    19FeyenoordBye
    20ByeFenerbahce

    Semi-finals
    1Malmo FFFC Copenhagen
    2Lech PoznanCrvena zvezda
    3Kairat AlmatySlovan Bratislava
    4LudogoretsFerencvaros
    5Dyn. KyivPafos
    6ShkendijaQarabag
    7SalzburgClub Brugge KV
    8RangersPlzen
    9NiceBenfica
    10FeyenoordFenerbahce