Aris vs Levadiakos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
25/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 18
  • Referee: Matsoukas M. (Gre)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
greeceGreeceNova Sports Prime

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.491.24
Ball possession
45%55%
Total shots
198
Shots on target
62
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
76
Passes
81% (276/339)82% (338/411)
Yellow cards
65
Expected goals (xG)
1.491.24
xG on target (xGOT)
1.401.80
Total shots
198
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
52
Blocked shots
84
Shots inside the box
104
Shots outside the box
94
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
76
Touches in opposition box
2312
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
01
Free kicks
1517
Passes
81% (276/339)82% (338/411)
Long passes
44% (24/55)37% (16/43)
Passes in final third
67% (76/113)73% (70/96)
Crosses
29% (6/21)6% (1/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.380.63
Throw ins
1120
Fouls
1715
Tackles
64% (9/14)69% (11/16)
Duels won
5551
Clearances
2322
Interceptions
104
Errors leading to shot
03
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
04
xGOT faced
1.801.40
Goals prevented
-0.20-0.60

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 7', Racic U. 🟨,
  • 22', Monchu 🟨,
  • 29', 1 - 0, Moron L. ,
  • 38', Goumas K. 🟨,
  • 41', Gianniotas G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Goumas K. , Symelidis P. ,
  • 46', 1 - 1, Ozbolt A. , Balzi G. (A),
  • 60', Balzi G. 🟨,
  • 63', 2 - 1, Racic U. , Monchu (A),
  • 65', Fadiga N. 🟨,
  • 65', Magnusson H. 🟨,
  • 68', Palacios S. 🟨,
  • 69', Balzi G. , Layous H. ,
  • 69', Liagas P. , Manthatis G. ,
  • 77', Misehouy G. , Dudu ,
  • 84', Cokaj E. , Jallow L. ,
  • 84', Palacios S. , Pedrozo F. ,
  • 90+1', Athanasiadis G. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Racic U. , Gning M. ,
  • 90+3', Perez C. , Gianniotas G. ,
  • 90+3', 2 - 2, Kosti I. , Symelidis P. (A),
  • 90+5', Kosti I. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Hongla M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Aris
36.3%
Draw
31.4%
Levadiakos
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.6% 29.9% 28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9% 31.6% 27%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aris's form might have worsened.
  • Levadiakos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aris than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aris, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Levadiakos than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Levadiakos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Aris - Levadiakos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.6
    (2.24)
    2.99
    (3.12)
    2.9
    (3.27)
    6.5%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Aris - Levadiakos?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Aris will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Levadiakos will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Levadiakos: 21.7%78.3%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Levadiakos (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Levadiakos (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Levadiakos (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Levadiakos will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Levadiakos (votes: 7 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aris won 2.
    • Aris has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Levadiakos is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Aris: Alfarela M. (Foot Injury) Mendyl H. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Levadiakos: Verbic B. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Aris: Voriazidis M. (Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Aris won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:16. (average 1.8:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Aris won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:2. (average 2.3:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aris - Levadiakos were as follows:
    26.10.2025 Levadiakos - Aris 1:1
    16.02.2025 Levadiakos - Aris 4:1
    03.11.2024 Aris - Levadiakos 3:1
    11.01.2023 Aris - Levadiakos 1:0
    21.12.2022 Levadiakos - Aris 1:1
    Latest results of Aris
    18.01.2026 AEL Larissa - Aris 1:0
    14.01.2026 Panathinaikos - Aris 3:0
    11.01.2026 Aris - AEK Athens 1:1
    06.01.2026 Aris - Panetolikos 2:0
    20.12.2025 Asteras Tripolis - Aris 0:1
    Latest results of Levadiakos
    19.01.2026 Panetolikos - Levadiakos 1:3
    14.01.2026 Levadiakos - AE Kifisia 2:0
    11.01.2026 Levadiakos - Volos 3:1
    22.12.2025 Panserraikos - Levadiakos 0:2
    13.12.2025 Levadiakos - AEL Larissa 3:0
    Greek Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olympiacos Piraeus ✔ 23165242:113153
    2AEK Athens ✔ 23165243:152853
    3PAOK ✔ 22155244:143050
    4Levadiakos23116649:301939
    5Panathinaikos22116534:231139
    6OFI Crete22911230:37-728
    7Aris23610720:25-528
    8Atromitos23761024:27-327
    9Volos23831223:34-1127
    10Kifisia2259828:33-524
    11Panetolikos23631422:37-1521
    12AEL Larissa23491021:37-1621
    13Asteras Tripolis ✔ 23371320:37-1716
    14Panserraikos ✔ 23331715:55-4012

          Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )
          Super League (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Olympiacos Piraeus is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
    AEK Athens is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
    PAOK is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
    Asteras Tripolis is Super League (Relegation Group )
    Panserraikos is Super League (Relegation Group )