Levadiakos vs Aris – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
05/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Conference League Group - Round 1
  • Referee: Papapetrou A. (Gre)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaSportPlus
greeceGreeceNova Sports 2
polandPolandSportKlub
usaUsaSportPlus

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.661.40
Ball possession
60%40%
Total shots
913
Shots on target
23
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
43
Passes
77% (302/391)71% (183/256)
Yellow cards
13
Expected goals (xG)
1.661.40
xG on target (xGOT)
1.121.43
Total shots
913
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
46
Blocked shots
34
Shots inside the box
610
Shots outside the box
33
Hit the woodwork
13
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
1827
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
13
Free kicks
1715
Passes
77% (302/391)71% (183/256)
Long passes
35% (23/65)34% (18/53)
Passes in final third
61% (68/112)58% (43/74)
Crosses
8% (1/12)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.340.81
Throw ins
2421
Fouls
1517
Tackles
60% (12/20)62% (8/13)
Duels won
4851
Clearances
2230
Interceptions
1010
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
21
xGOT faced
1.431.12
Goals prevented
0.430.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 23', Kadewere T. 🟨,
  • 31', 0 - 1, Garre B. , Kadewere T. (A),
  • 36', Kosti I. 🟨,
  • 45', Mendyl H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 58', 1 - 1, Verbic B. , Tsapras T. (A),
  • 63', Fabiano 🟨,
  • 66', Balzi G. , Layous H. ,
  • 66', Magnusson H. , Tsivelekidis G. ,
  • 66', Gianniotas G. , Donis A. ,
  • 66', Racic U. , Jensen F. ,
  • 77', Kosti I. , Jallow L. ,
  • 77', Verbic B. , Symelidis P. ,
  • 78', Garre B. , Kouame C. ,
  • 83', Kadewere T. , Moron L. ,
  • 83', Hongla M. , Boussaid O. ,
  • 87', Ozbolt A. , Ozegovic O. ,

Chances of winning


Levadiakos
38.7%
Draw
30.2%
Aris
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.3% 28.6% 29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8% 27.6% 28.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Levadiakos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • Aris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Levadiakos than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Levadiakos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aris than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • Levadiakos - Aris Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.43
    (2.19)
    3.09
    (3.23)
    3.04
    (3.17)
    6.4%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Levadiakos - Aris?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Levadiakos will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Aris will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Levadiakos won 1.
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Levadiakos won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:25. (average 1.3:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Levadiakos won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Levadiakos - Aris were as follows:
    25.01.2026 Aris - Levadiakos 2:2
    26.10.2025 Levadiakos - Aris 1:1
    16.02.2025 Levadiakos - Aris 4:1
    03.11.2024 Aris - Levadiakos 3:1
    11.01.2023 Aris - Levadiakos 1:0
    Latest results of Levadiakos
    15.03.2026 PAOK - Levadiakos 3:0
    08.03.2026 Levadiakos - Panathinaikos 1:4
    28.02.2026 AE Kifisia - Levadiakos 1:0
    22.02.2026 AEK Athens - Levadiakos 4:0
    Latest results of Aris
    22.03.2026 Aris - OFI 0:2
    14.03.2026 Panserraikos - Aris 0:0
    07.03.2026 Aris - Atromitos Athens 0:0
    01.03.2026 Panathinaikos - Aris 3:1
    22.02.2026 Aris - AE Kifisia 1:1
    Greek Super League Table
    Relegation Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    9Atromitos287101127:31-431
    10Panetolikos28861427:40-1330
    11Kifisia286101233:44-1128
    12AEL Larissa284111324:44-2023
    13Panserraikos28561718:56-3821
    14Asteras Tripolis28491525:42-1721

          Relegation ~ Super League 2