Result
3:0
04/10/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 6
- Referee: Tzilos A. (Gre)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | ANT1 Pacific |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
 Usa | ANT1 Satellite |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.49 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (154/222) | 85% (372/439) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.06 | 0.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (154/222) | 85% (372/439) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (21/59) | 44% (20/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (44/83) | 78% (111/142) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (3/8) | 21% (6/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.95 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.40 | 2.06 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.40 | -0.94 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', Gonzalez B. ↓, Marinakis N. ↑,
- 18', 1 - 0, Salcedo E. ⚽, Neira J. (A),
- 19', Chatzitheodoridis I. 🟨,
- 33', Apostolakis I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Morutan O. ↓, Gianniotas G. ↑,
- 46', Voriazidis M. ↓, Misehouy G. ↑,
- 46', Frydek M. ↓, Fadiga N. ↑,
- 61', 2 - 0, Neira J. ⚽,
- 63', Sisto P. ↓, Kadewere T. ↑,
- 75', Marinakis N. 🟨,
- 80', 3 - 0, Apostolakis I. ⚽, Marinakis N. (A),
- 84', Salcedo E. 🟨,
- 85', Neira J. ↓, Vukotic I. ↑,
- 85', Salcedo E. ↓, Rakonjac M. ↑,
- 90+2', Karachalios Z. ↓, Kostoulas K. ↑,
- 90+2', Apostolakis I. ↓, Faitakis E. ↑,
Chances of winning
OFI
28.9% | Draw
29.3% | Aris
41.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
OFI has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Aris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for OFI than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aris than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
OFI - Aris Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.53 ↑
(2.98) |
3.5 ↑
(3.1) |
2.58 ↑
(2.45) |
-4.3%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for OFI - Aris?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. OFI will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Aris will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aris: 31.2% – 83%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. OFI (votes: 1 - 20%). Aris (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - OFI (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - OFI (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - OFI (2.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - OFI (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.75 - OFI (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. OFI (votes: 6 - 60%). Aris (votes: 2 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Playing home matches at a different stadium.
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, OFI won 2.
- OFI has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Aris is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, Aris is the team to beat.
- There will not play in OFI: Fountas T.
(Injury)
Shengelia L.
(Red Card)
Theodosoulakis I.
(Injury)
Zanelatto F.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Aris: Alfarela M.
(Inactive)
Jensen F.
(Inactive)
Kadewere T.
(Inactive)
Mendyl H.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Aris: Perez C.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, OFI won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 19:33. (average 1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, OFI won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:18. (average 1.2:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has OFI won against Aris?
OFI has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aris won against OFI?
Aris has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between OFI - Aris were as follows:
03.05.2025
OFI
-
Aris
1:1
05.04.2025
Aris
-
OFI
2:0
05.01.2025
Aris
-
OFI
0:2
15.09.2024
OFI
-
Aris
3:2
17.12.2023
Aris
-
OFI
1:0
Greek Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olympiacos Piraeus ✔ | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 42:11 | 31 | 53 |
| 2 | AEK Athens ✔ | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 43:15 | 28 | 53 |
| 3 | PAOK ✔ | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 44:14 | 30 | 50 |
| 4 | Levadiakos | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 49:30 | 19 | 39 |
| 5 | Panathinaikos | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 34:23 | 11 | 39 |
| 6 | OFI Crete | 22 | 9 | 1 | 12 | 30:37 | -7 | 28 |
| 7 | Aris | 23 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 28 |
| 8 | Atromitos | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 24:27 | -3 | 27 |
| 9 | Volos | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 23:34 | -11 | 27 |
| 10 | Kifisia | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 28:33 | -5 | 24 |
| 11 | Panetolikos | 23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 22:37 | -15 | 21 |
| 12 | AEL Larissa | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 21:37 | -16 | 21 |
| 13 | Asteras Tripolis ✔ | 23 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 20:37 | -17 | 16 |
| 14 | Panserraikos ✔ | 23 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15:55 | -40 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Olympiacos Piraeus is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
AEK Athens is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
PAOK is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Asteras Tripolis is Super League (Relegation Group )
Panserraikos is Super League (Relegation Group )
