Result
0:2
22/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 26
- Referee: Tzilos T. (Gre)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Greece | Nova Sports 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.10 | 1.41 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 35 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (334/401) | 82% (316/387) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.10 | 1.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.41 | 2.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 35 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 15 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 22 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 47 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (334/401) | 82% (316/387) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (23/43) | 39% (21/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (119/155) | 64% (49/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (12/39) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 1.06 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (14/19) | 43% (3/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.29 | 2.41 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.29 | 2.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 28', Rose L. 🟨,
- 36', 0 - 1, Nuss T. ⚽, Shengelia L. (A),
- 40', Nuss T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Androutsos A. ↓, Apostolakis I. ↑,
- 46', Fadiga N. 🟨,
- 58', 0 - 2, Fountas T. ⚽, Leya Iseka A. (A),
- 60', Donis A. ↓, Perez C. ↑,
- 60', Moron L. ↓, Gianniotas G. ↑,
- 61', Kouame C. ↓, Kadewere T. ↑,
- 65', Fabiano 🟨,
- 68', Vukotic I. ↓, Karachalios Z. ↑,
- 71', Leya Iseka A. ↓, Theodosoulakis I. ↑,
- 77', Fadiga N. ↓, Dudu ↑,
- 86', Racic U. ↓, Boussaid O. ↑,
- 86', Nuss T. ↓, Bainovic F. ↑,
- 90+1', Apostolakis I. 🟨,
- 90+2', Poungouras A. 🟨,
- 90+3', Kadewere T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Aris 55.5% | Draw 26.3% | OFI 18.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)OFI has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aris than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for OFI than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Aris - OFI Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.69 ↓ (1.78) |
3.55 ↑ (3.45) |
5.12 ↑ (4.3) |
6.9% (8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Aris - OFI?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Aris will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). OFI will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aris: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Aris (votes: 1 - 50%). OFI (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - OFI (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Aris (votes: 1 - 33.3%). OFI (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aris won 1.
- Recent performances by Aris have been up and down (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- OFI's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Aris may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Aris is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Aris: Galanopoulos K.
(Health problems)
Jensen F.
(Inactive)
Kadewere T.
(Inactive)
Mendyl H.
(Yellow Cards)
Misehouy G.
(Muscle Injury)
Sonko Sundberg N.
(Inactive)
Tejero A.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in OFI: Gonzalez B.
(Injury)
Karachalios Z.
(Hamstring Injury)
Marinakis N.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in OFI: Androutsos A.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aris won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:21. (average 1.6:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aris won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:7. (average 1.5:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Aris won against OFI?
Aris has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has OFI won against Aris?
OFI has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aris - OFI were as follows:
04.10.2025
OFI
-
Aris
3:0
03.05.2025
OFI
-
Aris
1:1
05.04.2025
Aris
-
OFI
2:0
05.01.2025
Aris
-
OFI
0:2
15.09.2024
OFI
-
Aris
3:2
Greek Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | AEK Athens | 26 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 49:17 | 32 | 60 |
| 2 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 26 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 45:11 | 34 | 58 |
| 3 | PAOK | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 52:17 | 35 | 57 |
| 4 | Panathinaikos | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 44:26 | 18 | 49 |
| 5 | Levadiakos | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 51:37 | 14 | 42 |
| 6 | OFI Crete | 26 | 10 | 2 | 14 | 34:45 | -11 | 32 |
| 7 | Volos | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 26:38 | -12 | 31 |
| 8 | Aris | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 20:27 | -7 | 30 |
| 9 | Atromitos | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 26:30 | -4 | 29 |
| 10 | Kifisia | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 32:42 | -10 | 27 |
| 11 | Panetolikos | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 24:38 | -14 | 26 |
| 12 | AEL Larissa | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 22:39 | -17 | 23 |
| 13 | Panserraikos | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 16:55 | -39 | 17 |
| 14 | Asteras Tripolis | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 22:41 | -19 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )