Troy Trojans vs Arkansas State Red Wolves – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

01/11/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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NCAA

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Quarter (0 - 17)
05:37, Fortenberry T. (Touchdown),
05:37, van Andel C. (Extra Point),
06:42, Summers H. (Touchdown),
07:42, van Andel C. (Extra Point),
12:02, van Andel C. (Field Goal),
2nd Quarter (3 - 0)
14:39, Renfroe S. (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (0 - 3)
05:39, van Andel C. (Field Goal),
4th Quarter (7 - 3)
01:58, Kilcrease T. (Touchdown),
01:58, Renfroe S. (Extra Point),
11:22, van Andel C. (Field Goal),

Chances of winning

Troy Trojans
71.6%

Arkansas State Red Wolves
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Troy Trojans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Troy Trojans's performance.

Arkansas State Red Wolves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arkansas State Red Wolves might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Troy Trojans than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arkansas State Red Wolves than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Troy Trojans - Arkansas State Red Wolves Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.41)		3.26 ↑ (2.78)	6.2% (6.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 52.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Troy won 3.
Troy is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Arkansas State's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Arkansas State may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Troy is considered a favorite.
We predict that Troy will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Troy won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 300:258. (average 30:25.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Troy won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 117:129. (average 29.3:32.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Troy Trojans won against Arkansas State Red Wolves?

Troy Trojans has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Arkansas State Red Wolves won against Troy Trojans?

Arkansas State Red Wolves has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Troy Trojans - Arkansas State Red Wolves were as follows:

26.10.2024 Arkansas State Red Wolves - Troy Trojans 34:31

07.10.2023 Troy Trojans - Arkansas State Red Wolves 37:3

26.11.2022 Arkansas State Red Wolves - Troy Trojans 19:48

Latest results of Troy Trojans

25.10.2025 Troy Trojans - Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin` Cajuns 35:23 ✺

18.10.2025 Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks - Troy Trojans 14:37 ✺

11.10.2025 Texas State Bobcats - Troy Trojans 41:48 ✺

04.10.2025 Troy Trojans - South Alabama Jaguars 31:24 ✺

20.09.2025 Buffalo Bulls - Troy Trojans 17:21 ✺

Latest results of Arkansas State Red Wolves

25.10.2025 Arkansas State Red Wolves - Georgia Southern Eagles 34:24 ✺

14.10.2025 South Alabama Jaguars - Arkansas State Red Wolves 14:15 ✺

04.10.2025 Arkansas State Red Wolves - Texas State Bobcats 31:30 ✺

27.09.2025 Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks - Arkansas State Red Wolves 28:16 ✺

20.09.2025 Kennesaw State Owls - Arkansas State Red Wolves 28:21 ✺

Draw

Play Offs

1/8-finals

1	Indiana	Bye
2	Oklahoma	Alabama	24 : 34
3	Texas Tech	Bye
4	Oregon	James Madison	51 : 34
5	Georgia	Bye
6	Ole Miss	Tulane	41 : 10
7	Ohio State	Bye
8	Texas A&M	Miami (FL)	3 : 10

Quarter-finals

1	Indiana	Alabama	38 : 3
2	Texas Tech	Oregon	0 : 23
3	Georgia	Ole Miss	34 : 39
4	Ohio State	Miami (FL)	14 : 24

Semi-finals

1	Indiana	Oregon	56 : 22
2	Ole Miss	Miami (FL)	27 : 31

Final

1

Indiana

Miami (FL)

27 : 21