Armagh City vs Newington – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Northern Irish Championship Armagh City - Newington
Result
2:4
16/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NIFL Championship - Round 7

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Donnelly J. ,
  • 16', 1 - 1, ,
  • 20', 1 - 2, Downey P. ,
  • 36', 2 - 2, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 65', 2 - 3, (Own goal),
  • 84', 2 - 4, Donnelly J. ,

Chances of winning


Armagh City
39.2%
Draw
25.2%
Newington
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.7% 24.7% 28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3% 22.9% 26.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Armagh City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Armagh City's form might have worsened.
  • Newington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Newington's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Armagh City than the current prediction. (+11.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Armagh City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newington than the current prediction. (-9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Newington, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Armagh City - Newington Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (1.9)
    3.58
    (3.6)
    2.53
    (3.1)
    10.9%
    (12.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 10 in the zone NIFL Championship (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone NIFL Championship (Relegation Group: ))
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • Armagh is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Armagh won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 2:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Armagh won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Armagh City - Newington were as follows:
    05.04.2025 Armagh City - Newington 3:3
    15.02.2025 Newington - Armagh City 2:3
    05.10.2024 Armagh City - Newington 0:1
    Latest results of Armagh City
    Latest results of Newington
    Northern Irish Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Annagh862014:5920
    2H&W Welders952219:10917
    3Limavady842210:7314
    4Loughgall834113:10313
    5Ards841313:12113
    6Queens Univ833211:12-112
    7Newington832314:11311
    8Institute82339:10-19
    9Ballinamallard82338:12-49
    10Warrenpoint82159:12-37
    11Armagh812511:18-75
    12Dundela903610:22-123

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