Result
2:0
25/10/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 2. Bundesliga - Round 10
- Referee: Prigan F. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 6, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, Now Player |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 4 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 6 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 2 |
 Romania | Prima Sport 2 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 4 |
 Singapore | beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Slovakia | Sport TV2, Voyo |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.96 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 31% | 69% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (174/249) | 87% (513/588) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.22 | 0.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 34 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (174/249) | 87% (513/588) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (23/46) | 47% (14/30) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (47/77) | 75% (131/174) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (3/22) | 11% (3/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 1.04 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 44% (11/25) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 44 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.10 | 0.22 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.10 | -0.78 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 17', 1 - 0, Grodowski J. ⚽, Momuluh T. (A),
- 22', Schmahl F. 🟨,
- 28', 2 - 0, Le Joncour F. (Own goal),
- 45+4', Boakye B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', Gunther L. ↓, Mickelson N. ↑,
- 59', Conde A. ↓, Malanga J. ↑,
- 66', Momuluh T. ↓, Young I. ↑,
- 66', Grodowski J. ↓, Hagmann F. ↑,
- 68', Felix J. 🟨,
- 72', Petkov L. ↓, Stange O. ↑,
- 72', Zimmerschied T. ↓, Ceka J. ↑,
- 74', Rohr M. 🟨,
- 79', Ebnoutalib Y. ↓, Schnellbacher L. ↑,
- 83', Felix J. ↓, Sicker A. ↑,
- 83', Boakye B. ↓, Schreck S. ↑,
- 86', Sarenren Bazee N. ↓, Kania J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Arminia Bielefeld
34.8% | Draw
25.2% | Elversberg
40.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arminia Bielefeld has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Elversberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Arminia Bielefeld - Elversberg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.69 ↑
(2.48) |
3.77 ↓
(3.85) |
2.39 ↓
(2.53) |
5.6%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Arminia Bielefeld - Elversberg?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Arminia will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Elversberg will win (votes: 9 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elversberg: 35.2% – 84.8%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Elversberg (1.67) (votes: 8 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- AH +0.25 - Elversberg (1.99) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DC - Elversberg (1.41) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Elversberg (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Elversberg will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 19 high ROI users predict this event. Elversberg (votes: 19 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).
- Arminia is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Elversberg is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Arminia: Hilterman J.
(Shoulder Injury)
Russo S.
(Knee Injury)
Uldrikis R.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Elversberg: Dragon P.
(Knee Injury)
Pfeiffer L.
(Foot Injury)
Seifert L.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Arminia: Felix J.
(Thigh Injury)
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Arminia Bielefeld won against Elversberg?
Arminia Bielefeld has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Elversberg won against Arminia Bielefeld?
Elversberg has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arminia Bielefeld - Elversberg were as follows:
Latest results of Arminia Bielefeld
Latest results of Elversberg
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Schalke | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 34:21 | 13 | 47 |
| 2 | Paderborn | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 40:27 | 13 | 46 |
| 3 | Darmstadt | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 45:28 | 17 | 45 |
| 4 | Elversberg | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 43:26 | 17 | 45 |
| 5 | Hannover | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 42:30 | 12 | 45 |
| 6 | Kaiserslautern | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 40:35 | 5 | 37 |
| 7 | Hertha Berlin | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 34:29 | 5 | 37 |
| 8 | Karlsruher SC | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 37:44 | -7 | 33 |
| 9 | Nurnberg | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 31:34 | -3 | 30 |
| 10 | Bochum | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 32:30 | 2 | 29 |
| 11 | Dusseldorf | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 23:34 | -11 | 28 |
| 12 | Arminia Bielefeld | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 36:33 | 3 | 27 |
| 13 | Preussen Munster | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 29:36 | -7 | 26 |
| 14 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 35:41 | -6 | 25 |
| 15 | Holstein Kiel | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 25 |
| 16 | Braunschweig | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 27:42 | -15 | 25 |
| 17 | Magdeburg | 24 | 7 | 2 | 15 | 35:47 | -12 | 23 |
| 18 | Greuther Furth | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 35:55 | -20 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga
