Elversberg vs Arminia Bielefeld – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
21/03/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 27
  • Referee: Bickel F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, ESPN
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
colombiaColombiaESPN
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Now Player
icelandIcelandViaplay
israelIsraelSport 3
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 5
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 5, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
3.280.44
Ball possession
58%42%
Total shots
284
Shots on target
102
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
91
Passes
85% (380/447)77% (256/333)
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
3.280.44
xG on target (xGOT)
1.730.63
Total shots
284
Shots on target
102
Shots off target
112
Blocked shots
70
Shots inside the box
184
Shots outside the box
101
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
91
Touches in opposition box
439
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free kicks
77
Passes
85% (380/447)77% (256/333)
Long passes
76% (50/66)40% (25/63)
Passes in final third
76% (124/164)47% (35/74)
Crosses
31% (9/29)33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
2.230.58
Throw ins
2218
Fouls
77
Tackles
61% (11/18)36% (8/22)
Duels won
4645
Clearances
926
Interceptions
211
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
16
xGOT faced
0.631.73
Goals prevented
-0.37-1.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', Conte B. , Conde A. ,
  • 38', 1 - 0, Petkov L. , Schnellbacher L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Grodowski J. , Uldrikis R. ,
  • 46', Sarenren Bazee N. , Rochelt J. ,
  • 51', Mehlem M. 🟥,
  • 62', Gunther L. , Mickelson N. ,
  • 63', Schnellbacher L. , Mokwa Ntusu D. ,
  • 69', 2 - 0, Petkov L. , Gyamerah J. (A),
  • 74', Momuluh T. , Sicker A. ,
  • 74', Boakye B. , Lannert C. ,
  • 76', 3 - 0, Conde A. , Zimmerschied T. (A),
  • 81', Handwerker T. , Knoche R. ,
  • 82', Pherai I. , Le Joncour F. ,
  • 82', Pinckert L. , Schmahl F. ,
  • 84', 3 - 1, Lannert C. , Russo S. (A),

Chances of winning


Elversberg
47.8%
Draw
25.1%
Arminia Bielefeld
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 24.1% 25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5% 23.9% 25.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elversberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Arminia Bielefeld has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Elversberg - Arminia Bielefeld Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (1.89)
    3.74
    (3.92)
    3.5
    (3.65)
    6.3%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Elversberg - Arminia Bielefeld?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Elversberg will win (votes: 18 - 78.3%). Arminia will win (votes: 2 - 8.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Elversberg: 61.5%95.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Elversberg (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 and 15).
    • Elversberg is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Arminia's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Elversberg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Elversberg will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Elversberg: Dragon P. (Knee Injury) Feil M. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Arminia: Felix J. (Injury) Richter D. (Knee Injury) Young I. (Leg Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Elversberg won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Elversberg - Arminia Bielefeld were as follows:
    25.10.2025 Arminia Bielefeld - Elversberg 2:0
    Latest results of Elversberg
    Latest results of Arminia Bielefeld
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke27157538:241452
    2Elversberg27156647:291851
    3Paderborn27156645:311451
    4Darmstadt271311349:301950
    5Hannover27147646:341249
    6Hertha Berlin27128742:33944
    7Kaiserslautern271241145:41440
    8Karlsruher SC271071043:51-837
    9Nurnberg271061137:37036
    10Bochum27891038:36233
    11Dusseldorf27941426:40-1431
    12SG Dynamo Dresden27781245:46-129
    13Braunschweig27851429:44-1529
    14Greuther Furth27851440:59-1929
    15Arminia Bielefeld27771339:39028
    16Holstein Kiel27771334:42-828
    17Magdeburg27831639:50-1127
    18Preussen Munster27681331:47-1626

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