Arminia Bielefeld vs Elversberg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 2 Bundesliga
Football German 2 Bundesliga Arminia Bielefeld - Elversberg
Result
2:0
25/10/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 10
  • Referee: Prigan F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
germanyGermanySky Go Germany
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
icelandIcelandViaplay
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 6
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport 2
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaSport TV2, Voyo
swedenSwedenViaplay
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.740.96
Ball Possession
31%69%
Total shots
1016
Shots on target
22
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
36
Passes
70% (174/249)87% (513/588)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.740.96
xG on target (xGOT)
0.220.10
Total shots
1016
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
49
Shots inside the Box
99
Shots outside the Box
17
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
2334
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1213
Passes
70% (174/249)87% (513/588)
Long passes
50% (23/46)47% (14/30)
Passes in final third
61% (47/77)75% (131/174)
Crosses
14% (3/22)11% (3/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.541.04
Throw-ins
1920
Fouls
1312
Tackles
44% (11/25)64% (7/11)
Duels won
6244
Clearances
4427
Interceptions
1311
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.100.22
Goals prevented
0.10-0.78

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 17', 1 - 0, Grodowski J. ⚽, Momuluh T. (A),
  • 22', Schmahl F. 🟨,
  • 28', 2 - 0, Le Joncour F. (Own goal),
  • 45+4', Boakye B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Gunther L. ↓, Mickelson N. ↑,
  • 59', Conde A. ↓, Malanga J. ↑,
  • 66', Momuluh T. ↓, Young I. ↑,
  • 66', Grodowski J. ↓, Hagmann F. ↑,
  • 68', Felix J. 🟨,
  • 72', Petkov L. ↓, Stange O. ↑,
  • 72', Zimmerschied T. ↓, Ceka J. ↑,
  • 74', Rohr M. 🟨,
  • 79', Ebnoutalib Y. ↓, Schnellbacher L. ↑,
  • 83', Felix J. ↓, Sicker A. ↑,
  • 83', Boakye B. ↓, Schreck S. ↑,
  • 86', Sarenren Bazee N. ↓, Kania J. ↑,

Chances of winning


Arminia Bielefeld
34.8%		Draw
25.2%		Elversberg
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.1% 24.5% 37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7% 24.9% 36.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arminia Bielefeld has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • Elversberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
    •

    Arminia Bielefeld - Elversberg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.69 ↑
    (2.48)    		 3.77 ↓
    (3.85)    		 2.39 ↓
    (2.53)    		 5.6%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Arminia Bielefeld - Elversberg?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Arminia will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Elversberg will win (votes: 9 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Elversberg: 35.2% – 84.8%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Elversberg (votes: 8 - 100%).
    • AH +0.25 - Elversberg (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Elversberg will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).
    • Arminia is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Elversberg is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Arminia: Hilterman J. (Shoulder Injury) Russo S. (Knee Injury) Uldrikis R. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Elversberg: Dragon P. (Knee Injury) Pfeiffer L. (Foot Injury) Seifert L. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Arminia: Felix J. (Thigh Injury)
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Arminia Bielefeld
    18.10.2025 Paderborn - Arminia Bielefeld 4:3 ✺
    05.10.2025 Arminia Bielefeld - Schalke 04 1:2 ✺
    28.09.2025 Hannover - Arminia Bielefeld 3:1 ✺
    19.09.2025 Arminia Bielefeld - Greuther Fürth 1:3 ✺
    12.09.2025 Arminia Bielefeld - Magdeburg 2:0 ✺
    Latest results of Elversberg
    19.10.2025 Elversberg - Greuther Fürth 6:0 ✺
    05.10.2025 Magdeburg - Elversberg 0:4 ✺
    27.09.2025 Elversberg - Holstein Kiel 1:0 ✺
    20.09.2025 Eintracht Braunschweig - Elversberg 1:4 ✺
    14.09.2025 Elversberg - Dynamo Dresden 2:2 ✺
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke1080214:5924
    2Paderborn1072117:9823
    3Elversberg1071222:81422
    4Kaiserslautern960318:11718
    5Darmstadt1053214:7718
    6Karlsruher SC1053217:13418
    7Hannover952215:13217
    8Hertha Berlin1042412:10214
    9Arminia Bielefeld1041519:16313
    10Holstein Kiel1033411:10112
    11Preussen Munster932415:17-211
    12Braunschweig931511:17-610
    13Dusseldorf103169:18-910
    14Greuther Furth1031616:28-1210
    15Nurnberg92258:13-58
    16SG Dynamo Dresden1014515:20-57
    17Bochum1021712:18-67
    18Magdeburg91177:19-124

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga

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