Arminia Bielefeld vs Freiburg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
03/12/2024 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • GERMANY: DFB Pokal - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Willenborg F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaNew World Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 2, Sky Sport Austria 4
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3, Moja TV
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
franceFranceNew World TV
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport 2, Sky Sport 4, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top event, tv.dfb.de, WOW
indonesiaIndonesiaKompas TV, Vidio
japanJapanDAZN Japan
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 35 Sports
mexicoMexicoDisney+
montenegroMontenegroArena Sport 4
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 3
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSporty TV
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Top Event
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Goal Attempts
1713
Shots on Goal
44
Shots off Goal
139
Free Kicks
1518
Corner Kicks
73
Offsides
30
Throw-ins
2119
Goalkeeper Saves
31
Fouls
1516
Yellow Cards
12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 16', Grosser M. 🟨,
  • 18', Muslija F. (Pen),
  • 28', 1 - 0, Lannert C. , Worl M. (A),
  • 36', Eggestein M. 🟨,
  • 36', 2 - 0, Kania J. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Muller F. , Atubolu N. ,
  • 46', Muslija F. , Grifo V. ,
  • 54', Sildillia K. 🟨,
  • 63', 2 - 1, Gregoritsch M. , Doan R. (A),
  • 75', Gunter C. , Weisshaupt N. ,
  • 75', Sildillia K. , Lienhart P. ,
  • 81', 3 - 1, Oppie L. , Corboz M. (A),
  • 83', Holer L. , Rohl M. ,
  • 86', Kunze L. , Biankadi M. ,
  • 89', Worl M. , Schroers M. ,
  • 89', Kania J. , Becker A. ,
  • 90+3', Schreck S. , Young I. ,
  • 90+3', Lannert C. , Hagmann F. ,

Chances of winning


Arminia Bielefeld
21%
Draw
24.7%
Freiburg
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.1% 23.2% 58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.7% 23.7% 59.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arminia Bielefeld has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Freiburg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Arminia Bielefeld - Freiburg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.54
    (5.2)
    3.85
    (4.05)
    1.75
    (1.61)
    5.1%
    (6.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Arminia Bielefeld - Freiburg?
  • Users Predictions: Freiburg will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.38%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Arminia won 1.
    • Arminia is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Freiburg is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Arminia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Freiburg is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Arminia: Felix J. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Freiburg: Dinkci E. (Knee Injury) Kyereh D. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Arminia: Becker A. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Sarenren Bazee N. J. (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Arminia won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:10 (average 1:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Arminia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.7:1.3).
    Latest results of Arminia Bielefeld
    Latest results of Freiburg
    14.11.2024 Karlsruher - Freiburg 0:1
    08.11.2024 Union Berlin - Freiburg 0:0
    03.11.2024 Freiburg - Mainz 0:0
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/32-finals
    1EngersEintracht Frankfurt0 : 5
    2RW EssenDortmund0 : 1
    3Viktoria KolnPaderborn1 : 3
    4GrossaspachBayer Leverkusen0 : 4
    5DelmenhorstB. Monchengladbach2 : 3
    6MeuselwitzKarlsruher SC0 : 5
    7NorderstedtSt. Pauli0 : 1
    8Hansa RostockHoffenheim0 : 4
    9FC GuterslohUnion Berlin0 : 5
    10Arminia BielefeldWerder Bremen1 : 0
    11RegensburgFC Koln1 : 2
    12WehenBayern Munich2 : 3
    13CottbusHannover1 : 0
    14SandhausenRB Leipzig2 : 4
    15IllertissenNurnberg4 : 3
    16SaarbruckenMagdeburg1 : 3
    17BahlingerHeidenheim0 : 5
    18PirmasensHamburger SV1 : 2
    19HemelingenWolfsburg0 : 9
    20FC 08 HomburgHolstein Kiel0 : 2
    21HallescherAugsburg0 : 2
    22BFC DynamoBochum1 : 3
    23SG Dynamo DresdenMainz0 : 1
    24BraunschweigStuttgart4 : 5
    25Preussen MunsterHertha Berlin0 : 1
    26UlmElversberg0 : 1
    27LohneGreuther Furth0 : 2
    28RSV EintrachtKaiserslautern0 : 7
    29SchweinfurtDusseldorf2 : 4
    30LotteFreiburg0 : 2
    31LubeckDarmstadt1 : 2
    32Lokomotive LeipzigSchalke0 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1Eintracht FrankfurtDortmund1 : 2
    2PaderbornBayer Leverkusen2 : 4
    3B. MonchengladbachKarlsruher SC3 : 1
    4St. PauliHoffenheim3 : 2
    5Union BerlinArminia Bielefeld2 : 1
    6FC KolnBayern Munich1 : 4
    7CottbusRB Leipzig1 : 4
    8IllertissenMagdeburg0 : 3
    9HeidenheimHamburger SV0 : 1
    10WolfsburgHolstein Kiel0 : 1
    11AugsburgBochum0 : 1
    12MainzStuttgart0 : 2
    13Hertha BerlinElversberg3 : 0
    14Greuther FurthKaiserslautern0 : 1
    15DusseldorfFreiburg1 : 3
    16DarmstadtSchalke4 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1DortmundBayer Leverkusen0 : 1
    2B. MonchengladbachSt. Pauli1 : 2
    3Union BerlinBayern Munich2 : 3
    4RB LeipzigMagdeburg3 : 1
    5Hamburger SVHolstein Kiel1 : 2
    6BochumStuttgart0 : 2
    7Hertha BerlinKaiserslautern6 : 1
    8FreiburgDarmstadt2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Bayer LeverkusenSt. Pauli3 : 0
    2Bayern MunichRB Leipzig2 : 0
    3Holstein KielStuttgart0 : 3
    4Hertha BerlinFreiburg1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Bayer LeverkusenBayern Munich
    2StuttgartFreiburg

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2