Arminia Bielefeld vs Hamburger SV – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2 penalties
31/10/2023 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • GERMANY: DFB POKAL - 1/16-FINALS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport
czech-republicCzech-republicVoyo
germanyGermanySky Sport, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top event
polandPolandEleven Sports 3, Eleven Sports 4
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport

Chances of winning


Arminia Bielefeld
18.8%
Draw
20.8%
Hamburger SV
60.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21% 23.6% 55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.3% 24.4% 57.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arminia Bielefeld has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Hamburger SV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • Arminia Bielefeld - Hamburger SV Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.93
    (4.42)
    4.55
    (3.93)
    1.56
    (1.68)
    6.4%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Arminia Bielefeld - Hamburger SV?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Arminia will win (votes: 4 - 20%). Hamburg will win (votes: 14 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hamburg: 49.9%90.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Arminia won 1.
    • Arminia is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Hamburg is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Hamburg is a favorite.
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Arminia won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-8.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Arminia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arminia Bielefeld - Hamburger SV were as follows:
    19.02.2023 Hamburger SV - Arminia Bielefeld 2:1
    Latest results of Arminia Bielefeld
    Latest results of Hamburger SV
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/32-finals
    1EngersEintracht Frankfurt0 : 5
    2RW EssenDortmund0 : 1
    3Viktoria KolnPaderborn1 : 3
    4GrossaspachBayer Leverkusen0 : 4
    5DelmenhorstB. Monchengladbach2 : 3
    6MeuselwitzKarlsruher SC0 : 5
    7NorderstedtSt. Pauli0 : 1
    8Hansa RostockHoffenheim0 : 4
    9FC GuterslohUnion Berlin0 : 5
    10Arminia BielefeldWerder Bremen1 : 0
    11RegensburgFC Koln1 : 2
    12WehenBayern Munich2 : 3
    13CottbusHannover1 : 0
    14SandhausenRB Leipzig2 : 4
    15IllertissenNurnberg4 : 3
    16SaarbruckenMagdeburg1 : 3
    17BahlingerHeidenheim0 : 5
    18PirmasensHamburger SV1 : 2
    19HemelingenWolfsburg0 : 9
    20FC 08 HomburgHolstein Kiel0 : 2
    21HallescherAugsburg0 : 2
    22BFC DynamoBochum1 : 3
    23SG Dynamo DresdenMainz0 : 1
    24BraunschweigStuttgart4 : 5
    25Preussen MunsterHertha Berlin0 : 1
    26UlmElversberg0 : 1
    27LohneGreuther Furth0 : 2
    28RSV EintrachtKaiserslautern0 : 7
    29SchweinfurtDusseldorf2 : 4
    30LotteFreiburg0 : 2
    31LubeckDarmstadt1 : 2
    32Lokomotive LeipzigSchalke0 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1Eintracht FrankfurtDortmund1 : 2
    2PaderbornBayer Leverkusen2 : 4
    3B. MonchengladbachKarlsruher SC3 : 1
    4St. PauliHoffenheim3 : 2
    5Union BerlinArminia Bielefeld2 : 1
    6FC KolnBayern Munich1 : 4
    7CottbusRB Leipzig1 : 4
    8IllertissenMagdeburg0 : 3
    9HeidenheimHamburger SV0 : 1
    10WolfsburgHolstein Kiel0 : 1
    11AugsburgBochum0 : 1
    12MainzStuttgart0 : 2
    13Hertha BerlinElversberg3 : 0
    14Greuther FurthKaiserslautern0 : 1
    15DusseldorfFreiburg1 : 3
    16DarmstadtSchalke4 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1DortmundBayer Leverkusen0 : 1
    2B. MonchengladbachSt. Pauli1 : 2
    3Union BerlinBayern Munich2 : 3
    4RB LeipzigMagdeburg3 : 1
    5Hamburger SVHolstein Kiel1 : 2
    6BochumStuttgart0 : 2
    7Hertha BerlinKaiserslautern6 : 1
    8FreiburgDarmstadt2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Bayer LeverkusenSt. Pauli3 : 0
    2Bayern MunichRB Leipzig2 : 0
    3Holstein KielStuttgart0 : 3
    4Hertha BerlinFreiburg1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Bayer LeverkusenBayern Munich
    2StuttgartFreiburg

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2