Arminia Bielefeld vs Hamburger SV – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German DFB Pokal Arminia Bielefeld - Hamburger SV
Result
1:2 penalties
31/10/2023 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • GERMANY: DFB POKAL - 1/16-FINALS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Chances of winning


Arminia Bielefeld
18.8%
Draw
20.8%
Hamburger SV
60.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21% 23.6% 55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.3% 24.4% 57.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arminia Bielefeld has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Hamburger SV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • Arminia Bielefeld - Hamburger SV Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.93
    (4.42)
    4.55
    (3.93)
    1.56
    (1.68)
    6.4%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for Arminia Bielefeld - Hamburger SV?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Arminia will win (votes: 4 - 20%). Hamburg will win (votes: 14 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hamburg: 49.9%90.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Arminia won 1.
    • Arminia is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Hamburg is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Hamburg is a favorite.
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Arminia won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-8.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Arminia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arminia Bielefeld - Hamburger SV were as follows:
    19.02.2023 Hamburger SV - Arminia Bielefeld 2:1
    Latest results of Arminia Bielefeld
    Latest results of Hamburger SV
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/32-finals
    1IllertissenNurnberg4 : 3
    2SaarbruckenMagdeburg1 : 3
    3CottbusHannover1 : 0
    4SandhausenRB Leipzig2 : 4
    5FC GuterslohUnion Berlin0 : 5
    6Arminia BielefeldWerder Bremen1 : 0
    7BahlingerHeidenheim0 : 5
    8PirmasensHamburger SV1 : 2
    9DelmenhorstB. Monchengladbach2 : 3
    10MeuselwitzKarlsruher SC0 : 5
    11Preussen MunsterHertha Berlin0 : 1
    12UlmElversberg0 : 1
    13LohneGreuther Furth0 : 2
    14RSV EintrachtKaiserslautern0 : 7
    15EngersEintracht Frankfurt0 : 5
    16RW EssenDortmund0 : 1
    17LubeckDarmstadt1 : 2
    18Lokomotive LeipzigSchalke0 : 1
    19HallescherAugsburg0 : 2
    20BFC DynamoBochum1 : 3
    21SchweinfurtDusseldorf2 : 4
    22LotteFreiburg0 : 2
    23Viktoria KolnPaderborn1 : 3
    24GrossaspachBayer Leverkusen0 : 4
    25SG Dynamo DresdenMainz0 : 1
    26BraunschweigStuttgart4 : 5
    27HemelingenWolfsburg0 : 9
    28FC 08 HomburgHolstein Kiel0 : 2
    29RegensburgFC Koln1 : 2
    30WehenBayern Munich2 : 3
    31NorderstedtSt. Pauli0 : 1
    32Hansa RostockHoffenheim0 : 4

    1/16-finals
    1IllertissenMagdeburg
    2CottbusRB Leipzig
    3Union BerlinArminia Bielefeld
    4HeidenheimHamburger SV
    5B. MonchengladbachKarlsruher SC
    6Hertha BerlinElversberg
    7Greuther FurthKaiserslautern
    8Eintracht FrankfurtDortmund
    9DarmstadtSchalke
    10AugsburgBochum
    11DusseldorfFreiburg
    12PaderbornBayer Leverkusen
    13MainzStuttgart
    14WolfsburgHolstein Kiel
    15FC KolnBayern Munich
    16St. PauliHoffenheim