Arminia Bielefeld vs Karlsruher – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 2 Bundesliga
Result
4:0
08/11/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 12
  • Referee: Schwengers P. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandViaplay
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 6
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 2
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV3
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTivibu Spor 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.590.33
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
198
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
84% (372/441)85% (486/569)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
2.590.33
xG on target (xGOT)
2.900.08
Total shots
198
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
73
Shots inside the Box
135
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
3410
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
118
Passes
84% (372/441)85% (486/569)
Long passes
43% (22/51)39% (25/64)
Passes in final third
66% (70/106)62% (62/100)
Crosses
21% (3/14)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.070.43
Throw-ins
2213
Fouls
811
Tackles
33% (2/6)45% (5/11)
Duels won
3942
Clearances
2018
Interceptions
1012
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.082.90
Goals prevented
0.08-1.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 45+3', 1 - 0, Grodowski J. (Pen),
  • 45+3', Franke M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', 2 - 0, Momuluh T. ⚽,
  • 50', 3 - 0, Momuluh T. ⚽, Handwerker T. (A),
  • 56', Forster P. ↓, Fukuda S. ↑,
  • 56', Opitz L. ↓, Muller A. ↑,
  • 60', 4 - 0, Sarenren Bazee N. ⚽, Corboz M. (A),
  • 66', Momuluh T. ↓, Young I. ↑,
  • 66', Sarenren Bazee N. ↓, Schreck S. ↑,
  • 71', Franke M. ↓, Scholl P. ↑,
  • 71', Schleusener F. ↓, Laghrissi E. ↑,
  • 74', Grodowski J. ↓, Ocansey V. A. F. ↑,
  • 75', Handwerker T. ↓, Sicker A. ↑,
  • 78', Herold D. 🟨,
  • 83', Felix J. ↓, Lannert C. ↑,
  • 83', Herold D. ↓, Waschenbach M. ↑,

Chances of winning


Arminia Bielefeld
45.8%		Draw
25.1%		Karlsruher
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.1% 24.5% 33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5% 24.7% 33.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arminia Bielefeld has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • Karlsruher has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlsruher than the current prediction. (+4%)
    •

    Arminia Bielefeld - Karlsruher Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.09 ↓
    (2.22)    		 3.77 ↓
    (3.82)    		 3.2 ↑
    (2.81)    		 5.8%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Arminia Bielefeld - Karlsruher?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Arminia will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Karlsruher will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Arminia: 51.5% – 92.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Arminia (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Karlsruher (2.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Arminia (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Karlsruher (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arminia won 0.
    • Arminia has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Karlsruher has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Karlsruher may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Arminia: Hilterman J. (Shoulder Injury) Russo S. (Knee Injury) Uldrikis R. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Karlsruher: Ben Farhat L. (Broken Leg) Egloff L. (Hamstring Injury) Jung S. (Back Injury) Sihlaroglu E. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Karlsruher: Burnic D. (Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Arminia won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 1.3:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Arminia won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arminia Bielefeld - Karlsruher were as follows:
    16.04.2023 Karlsruher - Arminia Bielefeld 4:2
    07.10.2022 Arminia Bielefeld - Karlsruher 1:2
    Latest results of Arminia Bielefeld
    01.11.2025 Darmstadt - Arminia Bielefeld 2:2 ✺
    29.10.2025 Union Berlin - Arminia Bielefeld 2:1 ✺
    25.10.2025 Arminia Bielefeld - Elversberg 2:0 ✺
    18.10.2025 Paderborn - Arminia Bielefeld 4:3 ✺
    05.10.2025 Arminia Bielefeld - Schalke 04 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Karlsruher
    01.11.2025 Karlsruher - Schalke 04 2:1 ✺
    28.10.2025 Borussia Mönchengladbach - Karlsruher 3:1 ✺
    24.10.2025 Greuther Fürth - Karlsruher 1:4 ✺
    18.10.2025 Karlsruher - Kaiserslautern 2:3 ✺
    04.10.2025 Dynamo Dresden - Karlsruher 3:3 ✺
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke23144533:201346
    2Darmstadt23129244:251945
    3Elversberg23135542:251744
    4Paderborn23134638:261243
    5Hannover23126541:301142
    6Kaiserslautern23114839:33637
    7Hertha Berlin2397732:28434
    8Nurnberg2386930:32-230
    9Karlsruher SC2386934:43-930
    10Bochum2378831:28329
    11Arminia Bielefeld23761036:32427
    12Dusseldorf23741221:33-1225
    13Braunschweig23741226:40-1425
    14Holstein Kiel23661128:34-624
    15Preussen Munster23581027:35-823
    16Magdeburg23721434:44-1023
    17SG Dynamo Dresden23571132:40-822
    18Greuther Furth23641334:54-2022

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