Karlsruher vs Arminia Bielefeld – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 2 Bundesliga
Result
4:1
10/04/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 29
  • Referee: Lechner F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, ESPN
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Extra 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Now Player
icelandIcelandViaplay
israelIsraelSport 1
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 1
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandEleven Sports 1
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport 2
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 5, Arena Sport 1x2
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 4, Sport TV2, Voyo
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTivibu Spor 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.252.33
Ball possession
39%61%
Total shots
1222
Shots on target
65
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
413
Passes
65% (181/279)81% (342/421)
Yellow cards
21
Expected goals (xG)
1.252.33
xG on target (xGOT)
2.041.96
Total shots
1222
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
49
Blocked shots
28
Shots inside the box
914
Shots outside the box
38
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
413
Touches in opposition box
2028
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
41
Free kicks
119
Passes
65% (181/279)81% (342/421)
Long passes
35% (23/65)49% (25/51)
Passes in final third
59% (49/83)70% (85/121)
Crosses
27% (4/15)23% (9/40)
Expected assists (xA)
0.921.30
Throw ins
1730
Fouls
911
Tackles
92% (11/12)100% (5/5)
Duels won
6441
Clearances
5326
Interceptions
106
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
42
xGOT faced
1.962.04
Goals prevented
0.96-1.96

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Knoche R. ⚽,
  • 18', 1 - 1, Ben Farhat L. ⚽, Wanitzek M. (A),
  • 45+1', Kobald C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 59', Herold D. ↓, Forster P. ↑,
  • 62', Lannert C. ↓, Hagmann F. ↑,
  • 62', Grodowski J. ↓, Rochelt J. ↑,
  • 62', 2 - 1, Kobald C. ⚽,
  • 74', Rapp N. 🟨,
  • 75', Telalovic S. ↓, Uldrikis R. ↑,
  • 75', Momuluh T. ↓, Sarenren Bazee N. ↑,
  • 77', Ben Farhat L. ↓, Fukuda S. ↑,
  • 77', 3 - 1, Schleusener F. ⚽, Wanitzek M. (A),
  • 83', Knoche R. 🟨,
  • 84', Worl M. ↓, Young I. ↑,
  • 84', Rapp N. ↓, Kwon Hyeok-Kyu ↑,
  • 84', Schleusener F. ↓, Muller A. ↑,
  • 89', 4 - 1, Fukuda S. ⚽, Wanitzek M. (A),

Chances of winning


Karlsruher
28.9%		Draw
25.6%		Arminia Bielefeld
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33% 25.8% 41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4% 25.5% 40.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Karlsruher has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Arminia Bielefeld has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlsruher than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
    •

    Karlsruher - Arminia Bielefeld Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.26 ↑
    (2.82)    		 3.69 ↑
    (3.6)    		 2.08 ↓
    (2.26)    		 6%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Karlsruher - Arminia Bielefeld?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Karlsruher will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Arminia will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Karlsruher: 42.8% – 90.6%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Karlsruher (2.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Karlsruher (2.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Karlsruher (3.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Karlsruher (3.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Karlsruher (5.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Karlsruher will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Karlsruher (votes: 7 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karlsruher won 2.
    • Recent form of Karlsruher has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Arminia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Arminia will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Karlsruher won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:19. (average 1.5:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Karlsruher won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 2.3:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Karlsruher - Arminia Bielefeld were as follows:
    08.11.2025 Arminia Bielefeld - Karlsruher 4:0
    16.04.2023 Karlsruher - Arminia Bielefeld 4:2
    07.10.2022 Arminia Bielefeld - Karlsruher 1:2
    Latest results of Karlsruher
    05.04.2026 Schalke 04 - Karlsruher 1:0 ✺
    26.03.2026 Karlsruher - Wehen Wiesbaden 0:1
    20.03.2026 Karlsruher - Greuther Fürth 3:1 ✺
    15.03.2026 Kaiserslautern - Karlsruher 3:0 ✺
    08.03.2026 Karlsruher - Dynamo Dresden 3:3 ✺
    Latest results of Arminia Bielefeld
    04.04.2026 Arminia Bielefeld - Darmstadt 2:1 ✺
    25.03.2026 Arminia Bielefeld - Eintracht Braunschweig 4:1
    21.03.2026 Elversberg - Arminia Bielefeld 3:1 ✺
    14.03.2026 Arminia Bielefeld - Paderborn 2:2 ✺
    06.03.2026 Schalke 04 - Arminia Bielefeld 1:0 ✺
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke31197548:282064
    2Paderborn31177754:381658
    3Hannover31169653:371657
    4Elversberg31168755:352056
    5Darmstadt311312655:401551
    6Hertha Berlin31139944:36848
    7Kaiserslautern311441349:46346
    8Nurnberg311181240:41-141
    9Karlsruher SC311171348:59-1140
    10Bochum311091245:44139
    11Holstein Kiel311081340:43-338
    12SG Dynamo Dresden31981450:50035
    13Arminia Bielefeld31981446:47-135
    14Braunschweig31971534:50-1634
    15Dusseldorf311041730:48-1834
    16Magdeburg311031848:56-833
    17Greuther Furth31961644:65-2133
    18Preussen Munster316101534:54-2028

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