Somaspor vs Arnavutköy – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
26/10/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Lig Red Group - Round 10

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
11
Red Cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 32', 1 - 0, Cengiz C. ,
  • 38', Gunduz F. 🟨,
  • 38', Akgun I. 🟨,
  • 44', 1 - 1, Yaman F. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 52', 1 - 2, Dincer C. , Yaman F. (A),
  • 66', 1 - 3, Yildirim A. ,

Chances of winning


Somaspor
22.6%
Draw
25%
Arnavutköy
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.5% 25% 37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9% 23.5% 35.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Somaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Somaspor's form might have worsened.
  • Arnavutköy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arnavutköy's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Somaspor than the current prediction. (+17.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Somaspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arnavutköy than the current prediction. (-17.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arnavutköy, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Somaspor - Arnavutköy Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.29
    (2.4)
    3.88
    (3.6)
    1.85
    (2.4)
    3.3%
    (11.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Somaspor - Arnavutköy?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Arnavutköy (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Arnavutköy (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Arnavutköy (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Arnavutköy (1.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Arnavutköy will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Arnavutköy (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Somaspor won 5.
    • Somaspor has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Arnavutköy's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Somaspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Somaspor won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 1.5:0.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Somaspor won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Somaspor - Arnavutköy were as follows:
    13.04.2025 Somaspor - Arnavutköy 3:2
    30.11.2024 Arnavutköy - Somaspor 0:1
    20.01.2024 Arnavutköy - Somaspor 0:1
    03.09.2023 Somaspor - Arnavutköy 1:0
    19.04.2023 Somaspor - Arnavutköy 1:0
    Latest results of Somaspor
    12.10.2025 Somaspor - 1461 Trabzon 0:3
    28.09.2025 Somaspor - Aliaga 0:3
    21.09.2025 Muş Spor - Somaspor 4:0
    17.09.2025 Somaspor - Çankaya 1:3
    Latest results of Arnavutköy
    Turkish Second League Red Group Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bursaspor26193470:175360
    2K. u0130stiklalspor26183570:205057
    3Mardin 196926174556:193755
    4Aliaga26165558:193953
    5Musspor26165561:293253
    6Guzide Gebzespor26139447:192848
    7Isparta 32 Spor26119650:302042
    8Ankara Demirspor26125937:35241
    9Menemenspor26116944:341039
    10Aksaray Bld26911643:301338
    11Trabzon FK26971037:40-334
    12Fethiyespor26881044:321232
    13Arnavutkoy Bl26861229:31-230
    14Kirklarelispor26691133:38-527
    15Soma Spor26641629:56-2722
    16Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu26431922:76-5412
    17Adanaspor AS26112410:133-1234
    18Yeni Malatyaspor ✔ 2602248:90-82-43

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