Agoncillo vs Arnedo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
03/05/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 37', 0 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 58', 0 - 2, ,
  • 70', 1 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Agoncillo
24.3%
Draw
28.8%
Arnedo
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.7% 27.1% 40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1% 25.8% 42.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Agoncillo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Agoncillo's form might have worsened.
  • Arnedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arnedo's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Agoncillo than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Agoncillo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arnedo than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • Agoncillo - Arnedo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.8
    (2.65)
    3.2
    (3.2)
    1.97
    (2.16)
    8.3%
    (15.3%)
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )).
    • In recent matches, Agoncillo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Arnedo is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Agoncillo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Agoncillo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Agoncillo - Arnedo were as follows:
    04.01.2026 Arnedo - Agoncillo 1:1
    Latest results of Agoncillo
    19.04.2026 Agoncillo - La Calzada 1:1
    12.04.2026 Varea - Agoncillo 3:1
    29.03.2026 Autol - Agoncillo 0:2
    21.03.2026 Agoncillo - Berceo 0:0
    Latest results of Arnedo
    19.04.2026 Calahorra - Arnedo 1:1
    12.04.2026 Arnedo - Comillas 2:0
    02.04.2026 Vianés - Arnedo 1:1
    29.03.2026 Arnedo - Yagüe 3:0
    21.03.2026 Arnedo - San Marcial 7:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1UD Logrones B33258094:227283
    2Varea32217450:242670
    3Arnedo33209471:264569
    4Calahorra331711582:226062
    5Oyonesa33177953:411258
    6Anguiano33169847:361157
    7Haro Deportivo331491054:45951
    8Agoncillo331381258:471147
    9Vianes331091437:50-1339
    10San Marcial331091439:57-1839
    11Berceo331091441:48-739
    12Yague339121244:48-439
    13Pradejon32981529:45-1635
    14CDFC Calzada33981637:54-1735
    15Comillas331051831:58-2735
    16Villegas33771936:65-2928
    17Autol33362418:79-6115
    18Pena Balsamaiso330112227:81-5411

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation