Result
1:2
03/05/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 33
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 37', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 58', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 70', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Agoncillo 24.3% | Draw 28.8% | Arnedo 46.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Agoncillo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Agoncillo's form might have worsened.Arnedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arnedo's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Agoncillo than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Agoncillo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arnedo than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Agoncillo - Arnedo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.8 ↑ (2.65) |
3.2 (3.2) |
1.97 ↓ (2.16) |
8.3% (15.3%) | |
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )).
- In recent matches, Agoncillo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Arnedo is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Agoncillo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Agoncillo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Agoncillo won against Arnedo?
Agoncillo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arnedo won against Agoncillo?
Arnedo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Agoncillo - Arnedo were as follows:
04.01.2026
Arnedo
-
Agoncillo
1:1
Latest results of Agoncillo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | UD Logrones B | 33 | 25 | 8 | 0 | 94:22 | 72 | 83 |
| 2 | Varea | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 50:24 | 26 | 70 |
| 3 | Arnedo | 33 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 71:26 | 45 | 69 |
| 4 | Calahorra | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 82:22 | 60 | 62 |
| 5 | Oyonesa | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 53:41 | 12 | 58 |
| 6 | Anguiano | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 47:36 | 11 | 57 |
| 7 | Haro Deportivo | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 54:45 | 9 | 51 |
| 8 | Agoncillo | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 58:47 | 11 | 47 |
| 9 | Vianes | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37:50 | -13 | 39 |
| 10 | San Marcial | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 39:57 | -18 | 39 |
| 11 | Berceo | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 41:48 | -7 | 39 |
| 12 | Yague | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 44:48 | -4 | 39 |
| 13 | Pradejon | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 29:45 | -16 | 35 |
| 14 | CDFC Calzada | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 37:54 | -17 | 35 |
| 15 | Comillas | 33 | 10 | 5 | 18 | 31:58 | -27 | 35 |
| 16 | Villegas | 33 | 7 | 7 | 19 | 36:65 | -29 | 28 |
| 17 | Autol | 33 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 18:79 | -61 | 15 |
| 18 | Pena Balsamaiso | 33 | 0 | 11 | 22 | 27:81 | -54 | 11 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )
Relegation