Arsenal 2 Tula vs Kaluga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football FNL 2 Division B Group 3 Arsenal 2 Tula - Kaluga
Result
0:0
01/10/2023 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • RUSSIA: FNL 2 - DIVISION B - GROUP 3 - ROUND 11

Chances of winning


Arsenal 2 Tula
22.4%
Draw
24.6%
Kaluga
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.4% 26.5% 44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2% 27.6% 45.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arsenal 2 Tula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arsenal 2 Tula's form might have worsened.
  • Kaluga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kaluga's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal 2 Tula than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arsenal 2 Tula, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaluga than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kaluga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Arsenal 2 Tula - Kaluga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.03
    (3.08)
    3.66
    (3.41)
    1.7
    (2.06)
    11%
    (10.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 3 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Silver (Spring Season: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Arsenal 2 Tula won 2.
    • Arsenal 2 Tula in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Kaluga is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Kaluga could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Kaluga will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Arsenal 2 Tula won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7-9.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Arsenal 2 Tula won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-3.
    Latest results of Arsenal 2 Tula
    Latest results of Kaluga
    17.09.2023 Strogino Moskva - Kaluga 0:5
    13.09.2023 Dynamo Bryansk - Kaluga 1:0
    04.09.2023 Ryazan - Kaluga 0:1
    27.08.2023 Kaluga - Znamya Noginsk 7:1