Result
0:1
06/07/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Vysshaya Liga - Round 15
- Referee: Stetsurin S. (Blr)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Belarus | Belarus 5 |
Match Stats
| |
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Ball Possession |
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48% | 52% |
Total shots |
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8 | 12 |
Shots on target |
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5 | 5 |
Corner Kicks |
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3 | 8 |
Yellow Cards |
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2 | 0 |
Total shots |
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8 | 12 |
Shots on target |
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5 | 5 |
Shots off target |
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3 | 7 |
Corner Kicks |
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3 | 8 |
Offsides |
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1 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
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6 | 12 |
Throw-ins |
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34 | 36 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 6 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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4 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Harutyunyan V. ↓, Senko V. ↑,
- 63', Kostomarov N. ↓, Sidor I. ↑,
- 63', Grudko I. ↓, Pranovich I. ↑,
- 69', Gaevoy M. ↓, Kaplenko N. ↑,
- 70', 🟨,
- 71', Drabatovich A. ↓, Kopytich A. ↑,
- 71', Rakhimov A. ↓, Roziev R. ↑,
- 75', Sotnikov N. ↓, Lutik D. ↑,
- 75', Frantsuzov A. ↓, Lovets Y. ↑,
- 86', 0 - 1, Kopytich A. ⚽,
- 89', Myalkovskiy R. ↓, Olimzoda F. ↑,
- 90+6', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 54.9% | Draw 26.2% | Naftan 18.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk's performance.Naftan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Naftan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naftan than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Naftan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Naftan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.71 ↓ (1.97) |
3.58 ↑ (3.5) |
4.95 ↑ (3.87) |
6.8% (5.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Naftan?
Users Predictions:
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk will win
(10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 14 in the zone Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk won 2.
- Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Naftan has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk is the team to beat.
- We predict that Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk will win today's game, with odds of 1.85.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk won against Naftan?
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Naftan won against Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk?
Naftan has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Naftan were as follows:
24.11.2024
Naftan
-
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
0:0
30.06.2024
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
-
Naftan
0:3
Latest results of Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | ML Vitebsk | 16 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 27:6 | 21 | 42 |
2 | Slavia Mozyr | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 28:15 | 13 | 32 |
3 | Zhodino | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 26:12 | 14 | 29 |
4 | Din. Minsk | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 23:15 | 8 | 29 |
5 | Dynamo Brest | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 27:18 | 9 | 28 |
6 | Neman | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 23:10 | 13 | 28 |
7 | Isloch | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 29:17 | 12 | 25 |
8 | FC Minsk | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 25:29 | -4 | 24 |
9 | Vitebsk | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 28:24 | 4 | 21 |
10 | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20:21 | -1 | 19 |
11 | FC Gomel | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 10:13 | -3 | 18 |
12 | BATE | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18:29 | -11 | 16 |
13 | Naftan | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 13:28 | -15 | 14 |
14 | Slutsk | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 9:25 | -16 | 11 |
15 | Smorgon | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 11:28 | -17 | 8 |
16 | Molodechno | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 8:35 | -27 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga