Result
1:1
15/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Vysshaya Liga - Round 18
- Referee: Dmitriev D. (Blr)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 31 | 45 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', Mikhalenko A. 🟨,
- 3', 1 - 0, Levkovets A. (Pen),
- 4', 1 - 1, Lutik D. ⚽,
- 43', Volkov K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Volkov K. ↓, Shchetinin M. ↑,
- 46', Mikhalenko A. ↓, Oreshkevich I. ↑,
- 52', Doumbia S. 🟨,
- 53', Levkovets A. 🟨,
- 65', Lovets Y. ↓, Senko V. ↑,
- 66', Bamba M. ↓, Stankevich A. ↑,
- 66', Maslovskiy V. ↓, Dukso M. ↑,
- 71', Ishutin A. 🟨,
- 71', 🟨,
- 80', Bogdanovich I. ↓, Tishko A. ↑,
- 84', Budko M. ↓, Chebotar V. ↑,
- 88', Frantsuzov A. ↓, Mokin M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Smorgon 28.8% | Draw 28.8% | Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 42.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Smorgon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Smorgon than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Smorgon - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.22 ↓ (3.41) |
3.22 ↑ (3.1) |
2.2 ↓ (2.32) |
7.6% (4.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Smorgon - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga and 10).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Smorgon won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Smorgon won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Smorgon won against Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk?
Smorgon has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk won against Smorgon?
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Smorgon - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk were as follows:
06.04.2025
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
-
Smorgon
1:1
03.11.2024
Smorgon
-
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
1:0
16.06.2024
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
-
Smorgon
2:0
Latest results of Smorgon
Latest results of Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | ML Vitebsk | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 42:16 | 26 | 55 |
| 2 | Din. Minsk | 25 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 45:25 | 20 | 52 |
| 3 | Slavia Mozyr | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 45:28 | 17 | 50 |
| 4 | Dynamo Brest | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 39:25 | 14 | 45 |
| 5 | Zhodino | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 40:26 | 14 | 44 |
| 6 | Isloch | 26 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 42:23 | 19 | 44 |
| 7 | FC Minsk | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 41:41 | 0 | 42 |
| 8 | Neman | 25 | 12 | 2 | 11 | 34:25 | 9 | 38 |
| 9 | BATE | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 30:40 | -10 | 33 |
| 10 | FC Gomel | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 28:28 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | Vitebsk | 25 | 8 | 3 | 14 | 33:38 | -5 | 27 |
| 12 | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | 25 | 5 | 11 | 9 | 24:31 | -7 | 26 |
| 13 | Naftan | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 32:46 | -14 | 25 |
| 14 | Smorgon | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 21:38 | -17 | 24 |
| 15 | Slutsk | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 16:43 | -27 | 18 |
| 16 | Molodechno | 25 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 18:57 | -39 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga