Manchester City vs Arsenal LFC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English WSL Manchester City - Arsenal LFC
Result
3:2
04/10/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WSL - Round 5
  • Referee: Burgin M. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaW-sport
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiaW-Sport Asia
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
belgiumBelgiumW-sport
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT, Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
canadaCanadaSportsnet+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 10
franceFranceW-Sport
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport, Sportdigital1+
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN SPORTS MAX
irelandIrelandNOW
luxembourgLuxembourgW-Sport
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN SPORTS MAX
mexicoMexicoTubi TV
netherlandsNetherlandsW-Sport, Ziggo Sport
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+, Fox Sports
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalW-Sport
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 6
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 5 South
thailandThailandbeIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyW-Sport
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomNOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Showcase, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Premier League, Sky Sports UHD
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.221.43
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1816
Shots on target
97
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
82% (359/439)84% (419/500)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.221.43
xG on target (xGOT)
3.011.33
Total shots
1816
Shots on target
97
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
1510
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
2734
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
59
Passes
82% (359/439)84% (419/500)
Long passes
42% (23/55)47% (24/51)
Passes in final third
73% (62/85)74% (142/192)
Crosses
38% (6/16)42% (8/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.421.43
Throw-ins
1417
Fouls
95
Tackles
63% (10/16)67% (10/15)
Duels won
4041
Clearances
2114
Interceptions
69
Errors leading to shot
21
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
55
xGOT faced
1.333.01
Goals prevented
-0.670.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 36', 1 - 0, Shaw K. , Casparij K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', 1 - 1, Caldentey M. , Fox E. (A),
  • 60', Clinton G. , Beney I. ,
  • 61', 2 - 1, Casparij K. ,
  • 68', Foord C. , Mead B. ,
  • 68', Pelova V. , Blackstenius S. ,
  • 68', Smith O. , Kelly C. ,
  • 76', Miedema V. , Coombs L. ,
  • 80', Caldentey M. , Cooney-Cross K. ,
  • 80', Little K. , Leonhardsen-Maanum F. ,
  • 83', 2 - 2, Kelly C. ,
  • 88', 3 - 2, Beney I. ,
  • 90+2', Blindkilde L. , Lohmann S. ,

Chances of winning


Manchester City
34.9%
Draw
25.3%
Arsenal LFC
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.2% 26.2% 38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9% 26% 38.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Manchester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Arsenal LFC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Manchester City aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal LFC than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Manchester City - Arsenal LFC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.63
    (2.59)
    3.63
    (3.49)
    2.3
    (2.36)
    9.1%
    (9.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Manchester City - Arsenal LFC?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Manchester City (votes: 1 - 50%). Arsenal LFC (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ Third stage: ) and 5)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manchester City won 2.
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Manchester City: Davies M. (Knee Injury) Fowler M. (Knee Injury) Hemp L. (Ankle Injury) Murphy L. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There will not play in Arsenal LFC: Williamson L. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Manchester City won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 26:29. (average 1.3:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Manchester City won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.9:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Manchester City - Arsenal LFC were as follows:
    06.02.2025 Arsenal LFC - Manchester City 1:2
    02.02.2025 Manchester City - Arsenal LFC 3:4
    22.09.2024 Arsenal LFC - Manchester City 2:2
    05.05.2024 Manchester City - Arsenal LFC 1:2
    11.02.2024 Arsenal LFC - Manchester City 0:1
    Latest results of Manchester City
    Latest results of Arsenal LFC
    English WSL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Chelsea W541011:3813
    2Manchester City W540115:7812
    3Tottenham W54017:6112
    4Manchester Utd W532012:21011
    5Arsenal W522112:668
    6Brighton W52126:427
    7London City Lionesses W52036:14-86
    8Aston Villa W41214:405
    9Everton W51136:7-14
    10Leicester W51133:8-54
    11Liverpool W40041:8-70
    12West Ham W50052:16-140

          Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ Third stage: )
          WSL (Relegation)