Result
3:2
04/10/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- WSL - Round 5
- Referee: Burgin M. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | W-sport |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | W-Sport Asia |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Belgium | W-sport |
 Brazil | Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Canada | Sportsnet+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 10 |
 France | W-Sport |
 Germany | Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+ |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Indonesia | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Ireland | NOW |
 Luxembourg | W-Sport |
 Malaysia | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Mexico | Tubi TV |
 Netherlands | W-Sport, Ziggo Sport |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Peru | Disney+, Fox Sports |
 Philippines | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Portugal | W-Sport |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 6 |
 South-america | ESPN 5 South |
 Thailand | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Turkey | W-Sport |
 United-kingdom | NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Showcase, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Premier League, Sky Sports UHD |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.22 | 1.43 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (359/439) | 84% (419/500) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.22 | 1.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.01 | 1.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 34 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (359/439) | 84% (419/500) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (23/55) | 47% (24/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (62/85) | 74% (142/192) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (6/16) | 42% (8/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 1.43 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.33 | 3.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.67 | 0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 36', 1 - 0, Shaw K. ⚽, Casparij K. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', 1 - 1, Caldentey M. ⚽, Fox E. (A),
- 60', Clinton G. ↓, Beney I. ↑,
- 61', 2 - 1, Casparij K. ⚽,
- 68', Foord C. ↓, Mead B. ↑,
- 68', Pelova V. ↓, Blackstenius S. ↑,
- 68', Smith O. ↓, Kelly C. ↑,
- 76', Miedema V. ↓, Coombs L. ↑,
- 80', Caldentey M. ↓, Cooney-Cross K. ↑,
- 80', Little K. ↓, Leonhardsen-Maanum F. ↑,
- 83', 2 - 2, Kelly C. ⚽,
- 88', 3 - 2, Beney I. ⚽,
- 90+2', Blindkilde L. ↓, Lohmann S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Manchester City
34.9% | Draw
25.3% | Arsenal LFC
39.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Manchester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Arsenal LFC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)The ML Model estimate for Manchester City aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal LFC than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Manchester City - Arsenal LFC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.63 ↑
(2.59) |
3.63 ↑
(3.49) |
2.3 ↓
(2.36) |
9.1%
(9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Manchester City - Arsenal LFC?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Manchester City (votes: 1 - 50%). Arsenal LFC (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ Third stage: ) and 5)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manchester City won 2.
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Manchester City: Davies M.
(Knee Injury)
Fowler M.
(Knee Injury)
Hemp L.
(Ankle Injury)
Murphy L.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There will not play in Arsenal LFC: Williamson L.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Manchester City won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 26:29. (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Manchester City won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.9:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Manchester City won against Arsenal LFC?
Manchester City has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arsenal LFC won against Manchester City?
Arsenal LFC has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Manchester City - Arsenal LFC were as follows:
06.02.2025
Arsenal LFC
-
Manchester City
1:2
02.02.2025
Manchester City
-
Arsenal LFC
3:4
22.09.2024
Arsenal LFC
-
Manchester City
2:2
05.05.2024
Manchester City
-
Arsenal LFC
1:2
11.02.2024
Arsenal LFC
-
Manchester City
0:1
Latest results of Manchester City
Latest results of Arsenal LFC
English WSL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Chelsea W | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12:3 | 9 | 16 |
| 2 | Manchester City W | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17:8 | 9 | 15 |
| 3 | Manchester Utd W | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16:3 | 13 | 14 |
| 4 | Tottenham W | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 12 |
| 5 | Arsenal W | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 11 |
| 6 | London City Lionesses W | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:14 | -7 | 9 |
| 7 | Brighton W | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | Aston Villa W | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Leicester W | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 5 |
| 10 | Everton W | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 4 |
| 11 | Liverpool W | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2:10 | -8 | 0 |
| 12 | West Ham W | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2:17 | -15 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ Third stage: )
WSL (Relegation)
