Result
3:2
04/10/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- WSL - Round 5
- Referee: Burgin M. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Africa | W-sport |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Asia | W-Sport Asia |
Australia | Stan Sport |
Belgium | W-sport |
Brazil | Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Canada | Sportsnet+ |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | SportKlub 10 |
France | W-Sport |
Germany | Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+ |
Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
Indonesia | beIN SPORTS MAX |
Ireland | NOW |
Luxembourg | W-Sport |
Malaysia | beIN SPORTS MAX |
Mexico | Tubi TV |
Netherlands | W-Sport, Ziggo Sport |
Norway | VG+ |
Peru | Disney+, Fox Sports |
Philippines | beIN SPORTS MAX |
Portugal | W-Sport |
Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
Slovenia | SportKlub 6 |
South-america | ESPN 5 South |
Thailand | beIN SPORTS MAX |
Turkey | W-Sport |
United-kingdom | NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Showcase, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Premier League, Sky Sports UHD |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.22 | 1.43 |
Ball Possession |
---|
47% | 53% |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
9 | 7 |
Big Chances |
---|
5 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
82% (359/439) | 84% (419/500) |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.22 | 1.43 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
3.01 | 1.33 |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
9 | 7 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
15 | 10 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
5 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
27 | 34 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
5 | 9 |
Passes |
---|
82% (359/439) | 84% (419/500) |
Long passes |
---|
42% (23/55) | 47% (24/51) |
Passes in final third |
---|
73% (62/85) | 74% (142/192) |
Crosses |
---|
38% (6/16) | 42% (8/19) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.42 | 1.43 |
Throw-ins |
---|
14 | 17 |
Fouls |
---|
9 | 5 |
Tackles |
---|
63% (10/16) | 67% (10/15) |
Duels won |
---|
40 | 41 |
Clearances |
---|
21 | 14 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
2 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
5 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.33 | 3.01 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.67 | 0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 36', 1 - 0, Shaw K. ⚽, Casparij K. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', 1 - 1, Caldentey M. ⚽, Fox E. (A),
- 60', Clinton G. ↓, Beney I. ↑,
- 61', 2 - 1, Casparij K. ⚽,
- 68', Foord C. ↓, Mead B. ↑,
- 68', Pelova V. ↓, Blackstenius S. ↑,
- 68', Smith O. ↓, Kelly C. ↑,
- 76', Miedema V. ↓, Coombs L. ↑,
- 80', Caldentey M. ↓, Cooney-Cross K. ↑,
- 80', Little K. ↓, Leonhardsen-Maanum F. ↑,
- 83', 2 - 2, Kelly C. ⚽,
- 88', 3 - 2, Beney I. ⚽,
- 90+2', Blindkilde L. ↓, Lohmann S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Manchester City 34.9% | Draw 25.3% | Arsenal LFC 39.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Manchester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Arsenal LFC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)The ML Model estimate for Manchester City aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal LFC than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Manchester City - Arsenal LFC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.63 ↑ (2.59) |
3.63 ↑ (3.49) |
2.3 ↓ (2.36) |
9.1% (9.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Manchester City - Arsenal LFC?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Manchester City (votes: 1 - 50%). Arsenal LFC (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ Third stage: ) and 5)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manchester City won 2.
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Manchester City: Davies M.
(Knee Injury)
Fowler M.
(Knee Injury)
Hemp L.
(Ankle Injury)
Murphy L.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There will not play in Arsenal LFC: Williamson L.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Manchester City won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 26:29. (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Manchester City won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.9:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Manchester City won against Arsenal LFC?
Manchester City has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arsenal LFC won against Manchester City?
Arsenal LFC has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Manchester City - Arsenal LFC were as follows:
06.02.2025
Arsenal LFC
-
Manchester City
1:2
02.02.2025
Manchester City
-
Arsenal LFC
3:4
22.09.2024
Arsenal LFC
-
Manchester City
2:2
05.05.2024
Manchester City
-
Arsenal LFC
1:2
11.02.2024
Arsenal LFC
-
Manchester City
0:1
Latest results of Manchester City
Latest results of Arsenal LFC
English WSL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Chelsea W | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 13 |
2 | Manchester City W | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15:7 | 8 | 12 |
3 | Tottenham W | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 12 |
4 | Manchester Utd W | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12:2 | 10 | 11 |
5 | Arsenal W | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 8 |
6 | Brighton W | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
7 | London City Lionesses W | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:14 | -8 | 6 |
8 | Aston Villa W | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 5 |
9 | Everton W | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 4 |
10 | Leicester W | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 4 |
11 | Liverpool W | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:8 | -7 | 0 |
12 | West Ham W | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2:16 | -14 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ Third stage: )
WSL (Relegation)