Result
1:0
08/02/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- WSL - Round 15
- Referee: Byrne A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport OTT 4, W-sport |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Asia | W-Sport Asia |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Belgium | W-sport |
 Brazil | Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports, Zapping |
 Canada | SportsNet 1, Sportsnet+ |
 Chile | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Croatia | SportKlub 4 |
 France | Molotov TV, W-Sport |
 Germany | DF1, Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+ |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3, Now Player, NOW Sports 5 |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, Vidio |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Luxembourg | W-Sport |
 Malaysia | beIN Sports 2, Canal+ |
 Mexico | FOX One |
 Myanmar | Canal+ Myanmar |
 Netherlands | W-Sport, Ziggo Sport 3 |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 7 |
 Nigeria | SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport OTT 4 |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 3, Polsat Sport Premium 1 |
 Portugal | W-Sport |
 Singapore | beIN Sports 2 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 4 |
 South-africa | SuperSport OTT 4 |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones |
 Sweden | SVT Play, TV4 Play |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 8, Blue Sport 8, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Turkey | W-Sport |
 United-kingdom | Sky Go, Sky Showcase, Sky Sports+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 World | Onefootball, Sport 24 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.39 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (398/467) | 83% (373/447) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 0.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (398/467) | 83% (373/447) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (20/41) | 44% (20/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (106/135) | 69% (93/135) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.96 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 70% (19/27) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.07 | 1.71 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.07 | 0.71 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', 1 - 0, Smith O. ⚽, Caldentey M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Blindkilde L. ↓, Coffey S. ↑,
- 68', Mead B. ↓, Leonhardsen-Maanum F. ↑,
- 73', Kerolin ↓, Beney I. ↑,
- 80', van Domselaar D. 🟨,
- 84', McCabe K. ↓, Holmberg S. ↑,
- 84', Catley S. ↓, Williamson L. ↑,
- 84', Smith O. ↓, Kelly C. ↑,
- 89', Caldentey M. ↓, Codina L. ↑,
- 90+6', Miedema V. ↓, Clinton G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Arsenal LFC
37% | Draw
26.3% | Manchester City
36.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arsenal LFC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)Manchester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Manchester City's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal LFC than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arsenal LFC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Manchester City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Arsenal LFC - Manchester City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.48 ↑
(2.22) |
3.5 ↑
(3.37) |
2.53 ↓
(2.91) |
8.4%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Arsenal LFC - Manchester City?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Manchester City (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Manchester City (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arsenal LFC won 2.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- Recently, Arsenal LFC has had a series of home games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Arsenal LFC: Reid K.
(Knee Injury)
Zinsberger M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Manchester City: Davies M.
(Knee Injury)
Layzell N.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Arsenal LFC won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 31:27. (average 1.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Arsenal LFC won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:11. (average 1.5:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Arsenal LFC won against Manchester City?
Arsenal LFC has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Manchester City won against Arsenal LFC?
Manchester City has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arsenal LFC - Manchester City were as follows:
04.10.2025
Manchester City
-
Arsenal LFC
3:2
06.02.2025
Arsenal LFC
-
Manchester City
1:2
02.02.2025
Manchester City
-
Arsenal LFC
3:4
22.09.2024
Arsenal LFC
-
Manchester City
2:2
05.05.2024
Manchester City
-
Arsenal LFC
1:2
Latest results of Arsenal LFC
Latest results of Manchester City
English WSL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Manchester City W | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 47:13 | 34 | 42 |
| 2 | Manchester Utd W | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 35:16 | 19 | 34 |
| 3 | Chelsea W | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 29:13 | 16 | 33 |
| 4 | Arsenal W | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 26:10 | 16 | 29 |
| 5 | Tottenham W | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 26:24 | 2 | 29 |
| 6 | London City Lionesses W | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 18:27 | -9 | 19 |
| 7 | Brighton W | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 19:20 | -1 | 17 |
| 8 | Everton W | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 18:26 | -8 | 17 |
| 9 | Aston Villa W | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22:36 | -14 | 16 |
| 10 | West Ham W | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 15:35 | -20 | 11 |
| 11 | Liverpool W | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15:27 | -12 | 10 |
| 12 | Leicester W | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 8:31 | -23 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ Third stage: )
WSL (Relegation)
