Result
3:1
02/08/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Nacional - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Argentina | TyC Sports Play |
Match Stats
| |
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Ball Possession |
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45% | 55% |
Total shots |
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13 | 11 |
Shots on target |
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8 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
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3 | 4 |
Yellow Cards |
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3 | 1 |
Total shots |
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13 | 11 |
Shots on target |
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8 | 3 |
Shots off target |
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5 | 8 |
Corner Kicks |
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3 | 4 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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2 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 22', 🟨,
- 39', 0 - 1, Batista A. ⚽,
- 44', 1 - 1, Puca D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 55', Jerez Silva L. 🟨,
- 61', Orlando J. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
- 61', Amaya A. ↓, Purita E. ↑,
- 72', Puca D. ↓, Lopez T. ↑,
- 72', Lucero M. ↓, Vila J. ↑,
- 72', Batista A. ↓, Sayago D. ↑,
- 72', 2 - 1, Vitale J. ⚽,
- 78', Trombini M. ↓, Klusener G. ↑,
- 78', Sabatini I. ↓, Bordagaray F. ↑,
- 78', Serrano V. 🟨,
- 84', Dornell T. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 84', Baldunciel L. ↓, Punet L. ↑,
- 84', 🟨,
- 90+4', 3 - 1, Rodriguez A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Club Almagro 42.9% | Draw 32% | Arsenal Sarandí 25% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Club Almagro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Arsenal Sarandí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club Almagro than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Club Almagro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Club Almagro - Arsenal Sarandí Odds
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1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.18 ↑ (1.95) |
2.93 ↓ (3.25) |
3.67 ↓ (4) |
7.2% (7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Club Almagro - Arsenal Sarandí?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Almagro will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Arsenal Sarandí will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- Almagro has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Arsenal Sarandí has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Almagro could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Almagro won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Club Almagro won against Arsenal Sarandí?
Club Almagro has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arsenal Sarandí won against Club Almagro?
Arsenal Sarandí has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Club Almagro - Arsenal Sarandí were as follows:
30.03.2025
Arsenal Sarandí
-
Club Almagro
2:2
Latest results of Club Almagro
Latest results of Arsenal Sarandí
Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
2025Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Deportivo Madryn ✔ | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 45:28 | 17 | 60 |
2 | Atletico Atlanta ✔ | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 31:28 | 3 | 55 |
3 | Tristan Suarez ✔ | 34 | 12 | 16 | 6 | 33:23 | 10 | 52 |
4 | Gimnasia y Tiro ✔ | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 34:23 | 11 | 51 |
5 | San Miguel ✔ | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 32:28 | 4 | 50 |
6 | San Martin T. ✔ | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 32:29 | 3 | 49 |
7 | Deportivo Maipu ✔ | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 34:30 | 4 | 48 |
8 | Patronato ✔ | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 31:28 | 3 | 48 |
9 | Colegiales | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 26:26 | 0 | 47 |
10 | Racing Cordoba | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 38:45 | -7 | 41 |
11 | Ferro | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 24:33 | -9 | 41 |
12 | Los Andes | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 28:28 | 0 | 40 |
13 | Club A. Guemes | 34 | 8 | 16 | 10 | 28:32 | -4 | 40 |
14 | Quilmes | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 30:32 | -2 | 38 |
15 | All Boys | 33 | 7 | 17 | 9 | 23:25 | -2 | 38 |
16 | Almagro | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 24:31 | -7 | 35 |
17 | Arsenal Sarandi ✔ | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 38:47 | -9 | 34 |
18 | Alvarado ✔ | 34 | 6 | 15 | 13 | 18:33 | -15 | 33 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 33 | 16 | 12 | 5 | 34:18 | 16 | 60 |
2 | CA Estudiantes | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 40:21 | 19 | 58 |
3 | Deportivo Moron | 33 | 15 | 12 | 6 | 35:18 | 17 | 57 |
4 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 33 | 15 | 12 | 6 | 33:21 | 12 | 57 |
5 | Gimnasia Jujuy ✔ | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 34:20 | 14 | 54 |
6 | Chaco For Ever | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 33:25 | 8 | 52 |
7 | Temperley | 33 | 13 | 13 | 7 | 27:22 | 5 | 52 |
8 | Agropecuario | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 41:34 | 7 | 51 |
9 | Chacarita Juniors | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 37:27 | 10 | 49 |
10 | Def. de Belgrano | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 30:25 | 5 | 48 |
11 | Nueva Chicago | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 27:30 | -3 | 41 |
12 | San Telmo | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 31:40 | -9 | 41 |
13 | CA Mitre | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 27:30 | -3 | 39 |
14 | Central Norte | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 26:39 | -13 | 36 |
15 | Almirante Brown | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 26:37 | -11 | 33 |
16 | Colon Santa Fe | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 21:39 | -18 | 29 |
17 | Talleres (R.E) ✔ | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 16:38 | -22 | 23 |
18 | Defensores Unidos ✔ | 33 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 17:51 | -34 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Deportivo Madryn is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Super final )
Atletico Atlanta is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
Tristan Suarez is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
Gimnasia y Tiro is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
San Miguel is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
San Martin T. is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
Deportivo Maipu is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
Patronato is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
Arsenal Sarandi is Relegated to
Alvarado is Relegated to
Gimnasia Jujuy is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
Talleres (R.E) is Relegated to
Defensores Unidos is Relegated to