Result
3:1
02/08/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Nacional - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Argentina | TyC Sports Play |
Match Stats
| |
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Ball Possession |
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45% | 55% |
Total shots |
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13 | 11 |
Shots on target |
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8 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
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3 | 4 |
Yellow Cards |
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3 | 1 |
Total shots |
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13 | 11 |
Shots on target |
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8 | 3 |
Shots off target |
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5 | 8 |
Corner Kicks |
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3 | 4 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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2 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 22', 🟨,
- 39', 0 - 1, Batista A. ⚽,
- 44', 1 - 1, Puca D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 55', Jerez Silva L. 🟨,
- 61', Orlando J. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
- 61', Amaya A. ↓, Purita E. ↑,
- 72', Puca D. ↓, Lopez T. ↑,
- 72', Lucero M. ↓, Vila J. ↑,
- 72', Batista A. ↓, Sayago D. ↑,
- 72', 2 - 1, Vitale J. ⚽,
- 78', Trombini M. ↓, Klusener G. ↑,
- 78', Sabatini I. ↓, Bordagaray F. ↑,
- 78', Serrano V. 🟨,
- 84', Dornell T. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 84', Baldunciel L. ↓, Punet L. ↑,
- 84', 🟨,
- 90+4', 3 - 1, Rodriguez A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Club Almagro 42.9% | Draw 32% | Arsenal Sarandí 25% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Club Almagro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Arsenal Sarandí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club Almagro than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Club Almagro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Club Almagro - Arsenal Sarandí Odds
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1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.18 ↑ (1.95) |
2.93 ↓ (3.25) |
3.67 ↓ (4) |
7.2% (7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Club Almagro - Arsenal Sarandí?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Almagro will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Arsenal Sarandí will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- Almagro has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Arsenal Sarandí has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Almagro could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Almagro won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Club Almagro won against Arsenal Sarandí?
Club Almagro has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arsenal Sarandí won against Club Almagro?
Arsenal Sarandí has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Club Almagro - Arsenal Sarandí were as follows:
30.03.2025
Arsenal Sarandí
-
Club Almagro
2:2
Latest results of Club Almagro
Latest results of Arsenal Sarandí
Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
2025Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Deportivo Madryn | 27 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 38:24 | 14 | 47 |
2 | Atletico Atlanta | 28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 27:19 | 8 | 47 |
3 | San Martin T | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 25:20 | 5 | 43 |
4 | San Miguel | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 28:24 | 4 | 43 |
5 | Patronato | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 29:24 | 5 | 41 |
6 | Tristan Suarez | 28 | 9 | 14 | 5 | 24:19 | 5 | 41 |
7 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 23:15 | 8 | 40 |
8 | Deportivo Maipu | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 25:25 | 0 | 36 |
9 | Los Andes | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 26:24 | 2 | 35 |
10 | Quilmes | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 27:27 | 0 | 33 |
11 | All Boys | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 22:22 | 0 | 33 |
12 | Racing Cordoba | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 31:35 | -4 | 33 |
13 | Colegiales | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 17:22 | -5 | 33 |
14 | Almagro | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 20:24 | -4 | 31 |
15 | Ferro | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 17:29 | -12 | 30 |
16 | Club A. Guemes | 28 | 4 | 15 | 9 | 24:31 | -7 | 27 |
17 | Alvarado | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | 17:24 | -7 | 27 |
18 | Arsenal Sarandi | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 28:40 | -12 | 27 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 27 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 29:13 | 16 | 52 |
2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 27 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 31:13 | 18 | 50 |
3 | Deportivo Moron | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 29:16 | 13 | 46 |
4 | Chacarita Juniors | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 33:21 | 12 | 46 |
5 | CA Estudiantes | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 30:19 | 11 | 45 |
6 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 27:17 | 10 | 44 |
7 | Temperley | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 23:17 | 6 | 44 |
8 | Chaco For Ever | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 28:23 | 5 | 43 |
9 | Agropecuario | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 38 |
10 | San Telmo | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 35 |
11 | Def. de Belgrano | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 22:22 | 0 | 34 |
12 | Nueva Chicago | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 24:27 | -3 | 33 |
13 | Central Norte | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 23:30 | -7 | 33 |
14 | CA Mitre | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 19:22 | -3 | 32 |
15 | Colon Santa Fe | 28 | 8 | 4 | 16 | 21:34 | -13 | 28 |
16 | Almirante Brown | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 21:31 | -10 | 25 |
17 | Talleres (R.E) | 28 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 13:34 | -21 | 17 |
18 | Defensores Unidos | 27 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 15:45 | -30 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation