Result
27/07/2025 at 12:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Nacional - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Chances of winning
Arsenal Sarandí
21.4% | Draw
33.7% | San Miguel
44.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arsenal Sarandí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arsenal Sarandí's form might have worsened.San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Miguel's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (+8.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arsenal Sarandí, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Miguel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Arsenal Sarandí - San Miguel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.25 ↑
(3.08) |
2.76 ↓
(2.99) |
2.1 ↓
(2.34) |
7.5%
(8.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Arsenal Sarandí - San Miguel?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. San Miguel will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
- Recent performances by Arsenal Sarandí have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- San Miguel is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- San Miguel will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Arsenal Sarandí won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Arsenal Sarandí won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Arsenal Sarandí won against San Miguel?
Arsenal Sarandí has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Miguel won against Arsenal Sarandí?
San Miguel has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arsenal Sarandí - San Miguel were as follows:
22.03.2025
San Miguel
-
Arsenal Sarandí
1:1
20.07.2024
San Miguel
-
Arsenal Sarandí
3:0
03.03.2024
Arsenal Sarandí
-
San Miguel
1:0
Latest results of Arsenal Sarandí
Latest results of San Miguel
Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
2025Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Martin T | 24 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 22:16 | 6 | 39 |
| 2 | Atletico Atlanta | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 21:15 | 6 | 39 |
| 3 | Deportivo Madryn | 23 | 9 | 10 | 4 | 27:19 | 8 | 37 |
| 4 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 22:14 | 8 | 36 |
| 5 | San Miguel | 23 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 22:15 | 7 | 36 |
| 6 | Tristan Suarez | 24 | 8 | 12 | 4 | 21:16 | 5 | 36 |
| 7 | Patronato | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 27:23 | 4 | 35 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 32 |
| 9 | Racing Cordoba | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 29:30 | -1 | 30 |
| 10 | Colegiales | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 14:19 | -5 | 30 |
| 11 | Los Andes | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23:24 | -1 | 28 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 22:20 | 2 | 27 |
| 13 | Almagro | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 17:21 | -4 | 27 |
| 14 | All Boys | 24 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 19:21 | -2 | 26 |
| 15 | Ferro | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 15:22 | -7 | 26 |
| 16 | Club A. Guemes | 23 | 4 | 13 | 6 | 19:22 | -3 | 25 |
| 17 | Alvarado | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 13:22 | -9 | 21 |
| 18 | Arsenal Sarandi | 23 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 18:33 | -15 | 18 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Chacarita Juniors | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 32:17 | 15 | 43 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 23 | 11 | 10 | 2 | 24:11 | 13 | 43 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 22 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 22:11 | 11 | 40 |
| 4 | Deportivo Moron | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 25:13 | 12 | 39 |
| 5 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 23 | 9 | 11 | 3 | 23:14 | 9 | 38 |
| 6 | Temperley | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 22:17 | 5 | 38 |
| 7 | Chaco For Ever | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 25:18 | 7 | 37 |
| 8 | CA Estudiantes | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 23:18 | 5 | 36 |
| 9 | CA Mitre | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 17:16 | 1 | 31 |
| 10 | Agropecuario | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 26:27 | -1 | 31 |
| 11 | Def. de Belgrano | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 18:17 | 1 | 30 |
| 12 | Nueva Chicago | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 21:21 | 0 | 29 |
| 13 | Colon Santa Fe | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 20:25 | -5 | 27 |
| 14 | San Telmo | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 27 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 20:29 | -9 | 25 |
| 16 | Almirante Brown | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 16:26 | -10 | 21 |
| 17 | Talleres (R.E) | 24 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 9:28 | -19 | 11 |
| 18 | Defensores Unidos | 23 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 9:38 | -29 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
