Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk vs Arsenal Tula – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Russian FNL Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Arsenal Tula
29/09/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
31.5%
Draw
31%
Arsenal Tula
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35% 31.9% 33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36% 31% 32.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • Arsenal Tula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Tula than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arsenal Tula, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Arsenal Tula Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3
    (2.65)
    3.05
    (2.9)
    2.53
    (2.8)
    5.6%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neftekhimik won 1.
    • Neftekhimik is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Arsenal has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Arsenal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Neftekhimik won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Neftekhimik won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Arsenal Tula were as follows:
    16.11.2024 Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Arsenal Tula 2:2
    11.08.2024 Arsenal Tula - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk 1:1
    11.05.2024 Arsenal Tula - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk 1:0
    01.10.2023 Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Arsenal Tula 0:0
    02.04.2023 Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Arsenal Tula 1:0
    Latest results of Arsenal Tula
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1S. Kostroma1182120:11926
    2Ural1173119:81124
    3Fakel Voronezh1172210:7323
    4Chelyabinsk1163218:10821
    5R. Volgograd1163218:51321
    6Kamaz1154216:12419
    7Rodina Moscow1144317:13416
    8Neftekhimik1135312:13-114
    9Arsenal Tula1135317:14314
    10Shinnik Yaroslavl113537:7014
    11SKA Khabarovsk1134410:12-213
    12Ulyanovsk1132611:20-911
    13Ufa1124513:14-110
    14Yenisey112457:13-610
    15Chernomorets Novorossijsk1123613:16-39
    16Saratov111555:11-68
    17Torpedo Moscow111376:16-106
    18FK Chayka111379:26-176

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