Arsenal Tula vs Spartak Kostroma – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
13/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FNL - Round 10
  • Referee: Matveev S. (Rus)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
56
Shots on target
33
Corner Kicks
20
Yellow Cards
12
Total shots
56
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
23
Corner Kicks
20
Free Kicks
1511
Goalkeeper Saves
12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 34', Enin I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Enin I. , Chursin K. ,
  • 46', Botaka-Yoboma E. , Karmaev N. ,
  • 58', Lipovoy D. , Mirzov R. ,
  • 58', Brnovic M. , Troshechkin A. ,
  • 61', 1 - 0, Troshechkin A. ,
  • 61', Chikanchi M. , Gharibyan A. ,
  • 61', Nazarenko E. , Bokov D. ,
  • 64', Nemchenko A. 🟨,
  • 72', Sadov D. , Tlekhugov M. ,
  • 72', Nemchenko A. , Demyanov V. ,
  • 79', Tsaraev A. , Ahlinvi M. ,
  • 82', 1 - 1, Gharibyan A. ,
  • 90', 1 - 2, Chursin K. ,
  • 90+6', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Arsenal Tula
51.5%
Draw
30.7%
Spartak Kostroma
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.9% 28.1% 18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8% 28.6% 17.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arsenal Tula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Spartak Kostroma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Tula than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Kostroma than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Arsenal Tula - Spartak Kostroma Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (1.76)
    3.1
    (3.37)
    5.32
    (5.27)
    5.3%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Arsenal Tula - Spartak Kostroma?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Arsenal Tula will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )).
    • Recent performances by Arsenal have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Spartak Kostroma is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In this match, Arsenal is seen as the favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Arsenal Tula
    Latest results of Spartak Kostroma
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fakel Voronezh27185434:132159
    2Rodina Moscow271410345:232252
    3Ural28147741:271449
    4R. Volgograd28129736:221445
    5S. Kostroma281111640:33744
    6Kamaz28913641:281340
    7Chelyabinsk28912737:31639
    8Yenisey28910927:32-537
    9Neftekhimik28812831:32-136
    10Arsenal Tula28812838:34436
    11Shinnik Yaroslavl28812823:23036
    12Torpedo Moscow28981129:34-535
    13SKA Khabarovsk28811931:37-635
    14Ulyanovsk28871331:41-1031
    15Chernomorets Novorossijsk28781332:39-729
    16Ufa286101229:35-628
    17FK Chayka28471726:63-3719
    18Saratov282101612:36-2416

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )
          Relegation