Arsenal Tula vs Spartak Kostroma – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
13/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FNL - Round 10
  • Referee: Matveev S. (Rus)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
56
Shots on target
33
Corner Kicks
20
Yellow Cards
12
Total shots
56
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
23
Corner Kicks
20
Free Kicks
1511
Goalkeeper Saves
12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 34', Enin I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Enin I. , Chursin K. ,
  • 46', Botaka-Yoboma E. , Karmaev N. ,
  • 58', Lipovoy D. , Mirzov R. ,
  • 58', Brnovic M. , Troshechkin A. ,
  • 61', 1 - 0, Troshechkin A. ,
  • 61', Chikanchi M. , Gharibyan A. ,
  • 61', Nazarenko E. , Bokov D. ,
  • 64', Nemchenko A. 🟨,
  • 72', Sadov D. , Tlekhugov M. ,
  • 72', Nemchenko A. , Demyanov V. ,
  • 79', Tsaraev A. , Ahlinvi M. ,
  • 82', 1 - 1, Gharibyan A. ,
  • 90', 1 - 2, Chursin K. ,
  • 90+6', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Arsenal Tula
51.5%
Draw
30.7%
Spartak Kostroma
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.9% 28.1% 18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8% 28.6% 17.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arsenal Tula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Spartak Kostroma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Tula than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Kostroma than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Arsenal Tula - Spartak Kostroma Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (1.76)
    3.1
    (3.37)
    5.32
    (5.27)
    5.3%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Arsenal Tula - Spartak Kostroma?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Arsenal Tula will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )).
    • Recent performances by Arsenal have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Spartak Kostroma is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In this match, Arsenal is seen as the favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Arsenal Tula
    Latest results of Spartak Kostroma
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fakel Voronezh24164430:121852
    2Rodina Moscow251210339:211846
    3Ural25136635:241145
    4S. Kostroma25911536:30638
    5Kamaz25910641:281337
    6Chelyabinsk25910633:26737
    7R. Volgograd2599728:20836
    8Neftekhimik24810630:27334
    9SKA Khabarovsk2589827:30-333
    10Arsenal Tula25711733:30332
    11Shinnik Yaroslavl25710822:23-131
    12Yenisey25710821:29-831
    13Torpedo Moscow25861123:31-830
    14Chernomorets Novorossijsk25771129:32-328
    15Ulyanovsk25761229:39-1027
    16Ufa25681128:33-526
    17FK Chayka25371523:53-3016
    18Saratov252101310:29-1916

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )
          Relegation