Torpedo Moscow vs Arsenal Tula – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
12/04/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FNL - Round 28
  • Referee: Zaika M. (Rus)

Match Stats

Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
167
Shots on target
83
Corner kicks
33
Yellow cards
22
Total shots
167
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
84
Corner kicks
33
Free kicks
1610

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 33', Bagiev S. 🟨,
  • 38', Gorbunov I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 61', Reyes E. , Mirzov R. ,
  • 63', Berkovsky I. , Camara M. ,
  • 63', Shitov V. , Apekov R. ,
  • 65', Yushin A. , Tsypchenko D. ,
  • 65', Bagiev S. , Kalayda D. ,
  • 65', 0 - 1, Gorbunov I. ,
  • 73', Ahlinvi M. , Guliev A. ,
  • 73', Maksimov M. , Azyavin I. ,
  • 75', Orekhov A. , Kashtanov A. ,
  • 75', Putsko A. 🟨,
  • 82', Gorbunov I. , Botaka-Yoboma E. ,
  • 85', 1 - 1, Tsypchenko D. ,
  • 88', Roganovic B. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Torpedo Moscow
44.1%
Draw
30.1%
Arsenal Tula
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.7% 31% 28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41% 30.8% 28.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Torpedo Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Arsenal Tula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torpedo Moscow than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Tula than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • Torpedo Moscow - Arsenal Tula Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.17
    (2.33)
    3.18
    (3.07)
    3.7
    (3.36)
    4.6%
    (5.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Torpedo won 1.
    • Torpedo is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Arsenal has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Torpedo could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Torpedo won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Torpedo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Torpedo Moscow - Arsenal Tula were as follows:
    11.10.2025 Arsenal Tula - Torpedo Moscow 2:2
    30.03.2025 Arsenal Tula - Torpedo Moscow 0:1
    09.09.2024 Torpedo Moscow - Arsenal Tula 2:2
    20.04.2024 Torpedo Moscow - Arsenal Tula 1:1
    28.08.2023 Arsenal Tula - Torpedo Moscow 1:1
    Latest results of Torpedo Moscow
    Latest results of Arsenal Tula
    05.04.2026 Arsenal Tula - Fakel 1:2
    15.03.2026 Ural - Arsenal Tula 2:0
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fakel Voronezh27185434:132159
    2Rodina Moscow271410345:232252
    3Ural28147741:271449
    4R. Volgograd28129736:221445
    5S. Kostroma281111640:33744
    6Kamaz28913641:281340
    7Chelyabinsk28912737:31639
    8Yenisey28910927:32-537
    9Neftekhimik28812831:32-136
    10Arsenal Tula28812838:34436
    11Shinnik Yaroslavl28812823:23036
    12Torpedo Moscow28981129:34-535
    13SKA Khabarovsk28811931:37-635
    14Ulyanovsk28871331:41-1031
    15Chernomorets Novorossijsk28781332:39-729
    16Ufa286101229:35-628
    17FK Chayka28471726:63-3719
    18Saratov282101612:36-2416

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